Brent likely to hold $75/bbl floor despite macro fears, Goldman says
Adds details and context from paragraph 3
Aug 5 (Reuters) -Brent crude pricesare likely to stay above $75 per barrel as the oil market will withstand macro recessionary fears and find support in the coming weeks, Goldman Sachs said on Monday.
Limited recession risk, strong demand in the West and from India, and very low speculative positioning having room to recover will support oil prices in the coming weeks, analysts at Goldman Sachs GS.N said in a note.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 settled down 51 cents, or 0.7%, at $76.30 a barrel on Monday, with prices earlier trading around their lowest levels since January. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 fell 58 cents, or 0.8%, to $72.94. O/R
However, "while the increase in recession risk following the weak U.S. July employment report and the impact of volatile financial conditions on oil demand further skew the risks to our $75-90 range for Brent prices to the downside, especially in 2025, our base case remains that oil prices will find support in coming weeks," the bank said.
Wall Street tumbled as fears of the United States tipping into recession following weak economic data last week rippled through global markets.MKT/GLOB
"The downward shift in the risks around our oil price range increases our conviction that long gold positions now offer portfolios the greatest hedging value across commodities," Goldman said.
Reporting by Brijesh Patel and Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru
Editing by Marguerita Choy
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
