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Bharti Airtel's free cash flow potential 'under-appreciated', Goldman says



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Corrects to say March 2025, not 2024, in bullet 4

** Goldman Sachs expects Indian telco Bharti Airtel's BRTI.NS free cash flow (FCF) to jump 25% CAGR over FY24-27 due to expected capex decline and impact of higher tariffs

** Says the market is "under-appreciating the impact on FCF" as the brokerage's revenue and EBITDA estimates are up to 7% ahead of consensus

** Brokerage also expects co's net debt to be near zero by FY28 vs 1.9X net debt-to-EBITDA as of June 30

** Estimates rival Vodafone Idea's VODA.NS net debt-to-EBITDA at 19X by March 2025 and expects FCF to be negative until at least FY31

** Says rev and EBITDA growth to be supported by market share gain (Goldman expects 200 bps increase over next three years) and future tariff hikes

** It retained "buy" rating and hiked PT to 1,700 rupees from 990 rupees

** Avg PT on the stock is 1,600 rupees, avg rating is "buy" - LSEG data

** BRTI stock down 0.1% to 1,546.1 rupees



Reporting by Varun Vyas in Bengaluru

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