Technical Analysis – Gold rallies ahead of key US events
- Gold is trading higher again today
- Volatility is high ahead of key US data prints
- Momentum indicators remain bullish
Gold is trading higher again today, recording a new all-time high, following a very strong performance on Tuesday. This move could be attributed to the dollar being slightly on the back foot today, but, most likely, the incoming key US data releases and the market’s angst regarding next week’s events are the main reasons for the latest upleg. In addition, with the developments in the Middle East generating headlines, volatility in gold is expected to remain elevated.
In the meantime, the momentum indicators are bullish. The RSI is trading comfortably above its midpoint and is trying to record a higher high. Similarly, the Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) is edging higher, well above its 25 midpoint, confirming the bullish trend dictating gold’s price action. More importantly, the stochastic oscillator is hovering inside its overbought territory (OB) and showing little appetite, at this stage, for a downside move. Should it eventually manage to break below its OB, it could be seen as a strong bearish signal.
If the bulls remain confident, they could keep pushing gold higher, recording new all-time highs on a daily basis. The next target level is at 2,800, but, considering the current demand for this precious metal, next week’s events could allow the bulls to record an even more forceful rally.
On the flip side, the bears are keen for an overdue correction. They could lead gold lower towards the October 23, 2024 high at 2,758 with the first key support area coming at 2,685, where the September 26, 2024 high and the August 5, 2024 ascending trendline currently cross. Even lower, the 50-day SMA at 2,626 could be the last obstacle before the bears are able test the support set by the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of March 8, 2022 – September 28, 2022 downtrend at 2,601.
To sum up, gold is recording another upleg as market angst about the next big US events is keeping demand strong for this safe haven asset.
Related Assets
Latest News
Disclaimer: The XM Group entities provide execution-only service and access to our Online Trading Facility, permitting a person to view and/or use the content available on or via the website, is not intended to change or expand on this, nor does it change or expand on this. Such access and use are always subject to: (i) Terms and Conditions; (ii) Risk Warnings; and (iii) Full Disclaimer. Such content is therefore provided as no more than general information. Particularly, please be aware that the contents of our Online Trading Facility are neither a solicitation, nor an offer to enter any transactions on the financial markets. Trading on any financial market involves a significant level of risk to your capital.
All material published on our Online Trading Facility is intended for educational/informational purposes only, and does not contain – nor should it be considered as containing – financial, investment tax or trading advice and recommendations; or a record of our trading prices; or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instruments; or unsolicited financial promotions to you.
Any third-party content, as well as content prepared by XM, such as: opinions, news, research, analyses, prices and other information or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an “as-is” basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. To the extent that any content is construed as investment research, you must note and accept that the content was not intended to and has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such, it would be considered as marketing communication under the relevant laws and regulations. Please ensure that you have read and understood our Notification on Non-Independent Investment. Research and Risk Warning concerning the foregoing information, which can be accessed here.
