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Technical Analysis – USDJPY heads up, but for how long?



  • USDJPY rebounds off 143.40

  • Remains well below the 200-day SMA

  • Momentum oscillators move higher

USDJPY is rising somewhat after the bounce off the 143.40 support level, which failed several times to have a closing session beneath it. The MACD oscillator climbed above its trigger line in the negative region, while the RSI is pointing slightly up beneath the neutral threshold of 50.

If the bulls continue to have control, then immediate resistance could come from the 20-day SMA at 145.90, ahead of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 161.94 to 141.60 at 146.45. Moving higher, the significant battle would be with the penetrated uptrend line and the 38.2% Fibonacci of 149.50, as well as with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 151.20.

On the flip side, a new low below 143.40 may come, retesting the spike of August 5 at 141.60. Below that, traders may turn their focus to the 140.20 support, taken from the bottom on December 24.

In brief, USDJPY changed its short-term outlook to bearish, especially after the break below the 200-day SMA and the ascending trend line.

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