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EURUSD

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Pesquisa XM - Há 2 horas

Technical Analysis – EURUSD returns to its bullish race

EURUSD accelerates for the second consecutive day; hits the highest level since December 2023 Overbought signals detected but not confirmed yet; bulls need a close above 1.1045   EURUSD spiked to a new eight-month high of 1.1045 in the aftermath of a slightly weaker-than-expected US CPI report on Wednesday, extending Tuesday’s impressive rally which led the price above the tough trendline zone of 1.0950-1.0975. The 1.1045 area capped bullish actions a couple of times during 2023 a
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Pesquisa XM - Há 1 dia

Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 1 diaBullish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD bulls don’t want to give up

EURUSD maintains sideways move as 1.0940 barrier blocks the way up Technical risk is on the positive side; eyes on 1.0970 too US PPI due at 12:30 GMT; FOMC member Bostic speaks today   EURUSD continues to face restrictions near the 1.0940 level and the resistance trendline from July 2023, which squeezed the price below a seven-month low of 1.1007 last week.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 2 dias

US CPI and retail sales data to test Fed rate cut bets - Preview

Investors panicked after NFP report But incoming data eased fears and rate cut bets Still, market pricing remains overly dovish Focus turns to US CPI on Wednesday and retail sales on Thursday, at 12:30 GMT Latest data ease recession fears Following the weaker-than-expected US employment report for July, market participants entered panic mode as recession fears resurfaced.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 5 dias

Is the US data that bad to justify a rate cut?

The recent acute market reaction occurred due to increased recession fears Surprise indices point to a more balanced US economic situation Recessions tend to be caused by one-off major events The recent market drop has been attributed to higher chances of a US recession It has been a very volatile period in markets. The recent higher-than-expected rate hike by the BoJ caused a knee-jerk reaction in Japanese stock markets that led to the yen making significant gains across the boar
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Pesquisa XM - Há 1 semana

Market Comment – Yen weakens as positive market sentiment lingers

Markets continue to recover led by the Nikkei 225 index BoJ comments result in yen underperformance Light calendar again today, focus on geopolitics Kiwi benefits from strong labour market data The Nikkei 225 index sets the tone for recovery The positive momentum persisted yesterday as the key US stock indices finished in the green, recovering a tad from Monday’s lows.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 1 semana

Market angst pushes volatility higher across the board – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility skyrockets as recession fears resurface Volatility in commodities jumps as geopolitics takes centre stage Stock indices experience much stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, jumped to the highest level of the past month as fears of recession, on the back of last Friday’s weak US labour market report, resulted in the market pricing in an aggressive easing path for most central banks during 2024.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 1 semana

Market Comment – Markets breathe easier but will it last?

Slightly more positive tone in equity markets today Fear of recession fuels Fed rate cut expectations Light calendar today, focus on data during Asian session RBA remains hawkish, considers rate hike US stock markets set the tone for recovery With the US stock markets recovering slightly yesterday, the overall market sentiment is more positive today.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 1 semana

Technical Analysis – EURUSD has its best time of the year

EURUSD changes trajectory to the upside; jumps above 1.1000 Technical signals favor the bulls, but confirmation needed above 1.0940-1.0960   EURUSD marked its strongest daily performance of the year when downbeat US jobs data rekindled fears of a hard landing last Friday. The pair gained extra bullish traction on Monday, extending its post-NFP rally to 1.1007 - the highest level since January.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 2 semanas

Volatility remains elevated across the board – Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile after BoJ hike aids yen's recovery Volatility in commodity sphere jumps amid geopolitical flare ups Global stock indices in turbulent waters but for different reasons   Volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the latest interest rate hike by the BoJ has added more fuel to the yen’s recovery from multi-year lows against major peers.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 2 semanas

Market Comment – BoJ hikes but Fed could make a dovish tilt

BoJ announces rate hike and bond tapering Focus turns to US data and the Fed Australian CPI fails to record a significant downside surprise Gold and oil jump higher due to Middle East developments BoJ hikes rates and announces bond tapering The Bank of Japan confirmed market expectations and announced a 15bps rate hike earlier today.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 2 semanas

Market Comment – Markets in waiting mode ahead of earnings releases and risk events

Key earnings releases and numerous central bank meetings coming up US stocks in waiting mode, dollar recovering across the board Key euro area data today but all eyes are on Wednesday's BoJ meeting Gold, oil and bitcoin move in parallel Stocks are mixed ahead of this week’s key events US stock indices were mixed yesterday as the market is preparing for this week’s big events.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 2 semanas

Market Comment – Yen on the front foot as BoJ hike eyed; stocks stage a recovery

Yen looks to extend gains as BoJ set to press ahead with policy normalization Wall Street bounces back on hopes of upbeat tech earnings, Fed rate cut signal Gold and oil in tepid rebound despite heightened tensions in Middle East BoJ to kick off trio of central bank meetings The Japanese yen edged higher on Monday as investors anticipate the Bank of Japan to take the next steps in its policy normalization plans when it announces its latest decision on Wednesday.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 2 semanas

Will the Fed signal a September rate cut? – Preview

Fed sees inflation on a path to remain low Investors expect three 25bps rate cuts by January Fed to keep rates untouched, focus on guidance The decision is published on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT   Data bolster Fed’s confidence At its latest gathering in June, the FOMC appeared more hawkish than expected, revising its interest rate projections from three quarter-point reductions by the end of the year to just one.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 3 semanas

Week Ahead – BoJ, Fed and BoE meetings: a hike, a hold and a cut?

A trio of central bank decisions coming up from the BoJ, Fed and BoE One might hike, one might stand pat and the other cut rates ECB to also be in focus as Eurozone flash GDP and CPI data are due Week will culminate with crucial US jobs report BoJ expected to taper; will it hike too? The Bank of Japan has barely left the headlines lately.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 3 semanas

What to expect from markets in the run up to US elections?

Presidential race dominates headlines and complicates Fed’s job Equities suffered in the two months leading up to the last six presidential elections Market’s performance in the 2016 pre-election period could be a useful guide Dollar strengthened in 2016 but equities were under pressure Significant developments in the race lately  The recent gun attack against Donald Trump and US President Biden's candidacy withdrawal last weekend have raised even more the profile of
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Pesquisa XM - Há 3 semanas

Market Comment – Stock market correction picks up speed

Fed expectations and US election affect sentiment Euro remains on the back foot against the dollar PBoC announces a surprise rate cut Gold suffers, aussie and kiwi losses pile up Stocks’ weakness intensifies Stocks are under severe pressure as the main US equity indices recorded yesterday their worst daily performance since late-2022. Considering the fact that yesterday’s US PMI surveys were mixed, and therefore not the trigger for this move, the cause of the continued w
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Pesquisa XM - Há 3 semanasBearish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD pulls back towards converging SMAs

EURUSD retraces lower after hitting 4-month high The bears eye converging 50- and 200-day SMAs Oscillators deteriorate but remain in positive zones   EURUSD had been rising steadily following its bullish breakout from a downward sloping trendline in early July, posting a fresh four-month peak of 1.0947 last week. However, the pair has been experiencing a correction since then, with the price approaching the converging 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
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Pesquisa XM - Há 3 semanas

Market Comment – Dollar remains strong ahead of key data, yen surges

Dollar keeps marching north, PMIs on tap Yen extends rally as traders unwind carry trades Aussi and kiwi slide on China concerns, loonie awaits BoC Stocks trade in the red, tech earnings in the spotlight Traders continue to buy the US dollar The dollar traded higher against all but one of its major peers on Tuesday and continued to do so today.
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Pesquisa XM - Há 3 semanas

Technical Analysis – EURUSD tests descending trend line

EURUSD eases from 1.0950 level Bullish cross between SMAs still intact Momentum oscillators head south EURUSD is still diving from the 1.0950 resistance level, finding strong support near the long-term descending trend line. The simple moving averages (SMAs) posted a strong bullish crossover; however, the technical oscillators are suggesting more downside pressure.
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