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Volatility remains high as US voters elect a new president – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility climbs to a new monthly highVolatility remains very elevated in both gold and silverStock indices experience a jump in volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has climbed to a new 30-day high, as market participants are preparing for the US presidential election and Thursday’s Fed meeting. This heightened volatility is being observed across the FX space, including in the yen pairs.
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY builds base above 200-day SMA

EURJPY attempts to rebound from 50.0% FibonacciFaces rejection at 3-month high but remains positiveMomentum oscillators remain cautiously titled to the upsideEURJPY is still standing above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward wave from 175.37 to 154.40 at 164.80. The market added more than 7% after the pullback from the 155.15 support level, creating a bullish tendency in the short term.Technically, the MACD is moving above its trigge
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Midweek Technical Look – EURJPY, US 500, Gold

EURJPY tumbles from 3-month high ahead of BoJ policy meetingUS 500 posts notable losses near 5,800Gold slips from all-time high but remains above ascending channel
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Volatility jumps as markets prepare for action-packed period – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility climbs to a new monthly highVolatility remains very elevated in both gold and silverStock indices continue to experience average volatility Euro/dollar volatility continues to increase, achieving a new 30-day high, as the markets are preparing for Friday’s jobs report, and next week’s US presidential election and the Fed meeting.
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY slightly bullish ahead of key obstacles

EURJPY still consolidating but immediate bias is bullishMajor resistance area lies ahead EURJPY has been trading within a narrow sideways range since early October, but the immediate bias has turned positive over the last couple of sessions. The stochastic oscillator is trending upwards, while the RSI is slightly above its 50 neutral level.The price reached a two-month intra-day peak of 163.65 earlier on Tuesday before pulling back, reflecting a very weak upside momentum.
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Volatility remains elevated in FX space and commodities – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility reaches new 30-day highVolatility in both gold and silver jumpsStock indices continue to experience average volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has climbed to the highest level of the past month, as the ECB delivered its much-expected rate cut and the discussion about the November Fed meeting is underway. But more importantly, the market is preparing for the November 5 US presidential election.
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Midweek Technical Look – EURJPY, USDCAD, Gold

EURJPY in a wait-and-see mode ahead of ECB's rate decisionUSDCAD looks overbought after fast rally to two-month highGold starts a new bullish wave. Will it hit a new record high?
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Volatility eases slightly as the risk on sentiment lingers – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility is very close to the last 30 days’ highVolatility in commodities remains elevatedStock indices experience above average volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains very high, close to the highest level of the past month, as the US dollar continues to rally following a series of strong US data and some hawkish Fedspeak. Interestingly, the volatility of yen crosses has crashed across the board, with the yen surrendering another good part of its recent sizeable gains on th
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY posts strong fight with 163.45-164.00 barrier

EURJPY looks neutral in short-term view200-day SMA seems to be another real struggle for bullsMACD and stochastics weaken their momentumEURJPPY has been stuck within a tight range of 162.30 and 163.45, remaining in a broader sideways channel of 155.15-164.00. The pair has been consolidating over the last seven days and needs a further boost for a s
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY moves within consolidation area

EURJPY struggles to drop beneath 38.2% FibonacciMACD and RSI have weak momentumEURJPY has been developing within a trading range of 155.15-164.00 over the last couple of months, with strong resistance coming from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) around 164.40.Technically, the RSI is pointing slightly above the neutral threshold of 50; howeve
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Volatility skyrockets across the board after an eventful week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges to the highest level of the monthVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly highStock indices experience very high volatilityEuro/dollar volatility has reached the highest level of the past 30 days, as the FX market was rocked by the strong US labour market report, denting the possibility of another 50bps Fed rate cut in November.
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Volatility jumps as market prepares for an action-packed week – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility surges as dollar remains on the back footVolatility in commodities reaches new monthly high, led by oilStock indices experience strong volatility amidst a tentative rallyEuro/dollar volatility has jumped over the past week, as the FX market is whipsawed by the possibility of another strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has risen aggressively, with the yen surrendering part of its recent sizeable gains on the back of weaker data and a general el
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EURJPY trades within 159.30-161.20 range200-day SMA looks strong resistanceMACD and RSI point upEURJPY is hovering within the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg 175.37-145.40 and the 161.20 resistance over the last couple of days. Noteworthy that the market overcame the short-term descending trend line, adding some optimism of more bullish moves.According to momentum oscillators, the RSI is sloping marginally up near the neutral threshold of 50, while the MACD is extending its mov
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Volatility drops across the board after the Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar underperforms Volatility in commodities stays elevated, led by gold Stock indices experience decent volatility despite the rally Euro/dollar volatility has eased a bit over the past week, as the market digested the strong Fed rate cut. Similarly, volatility of most yen crosses has dropped aggressively lower, as the yen surrendered part of its recent sizeable gains, despite the fact that the BoJ maintained the chances of another rate
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Volatility eases a bit ahead of the key Fed meeting – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as dollar weakness lingers Volatility in commodities stays elevated led by silver Stock indices and bitcoin experience lower volatility Euro/dollar volatility remains low as the market is preparing for the key Fed meeting on Wednesday that could deliver a previously unexpected 50bps rate cut. Amidst these conditions, yen pairs are experiencing the highest volatility of the past month as the yen continues to outperform its main counterparties on
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Technical Analysis – EURJPY seems to have found a floor

EURJPY rebounds off 155.15 Immediate resistance at downtrend line RSI and MACD look negative EURJPY held losses for the second week in a row, dropping towards the 155.15 support, which stands slightly above the more-than-seven-month low. Technically, the price could lose some ground in the short term as the RSI is changing direction to the downside and towards its 30 mark, while the MACD is still standing beneath its trigger and zero lines.
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Daily Comment – Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting 

Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024 Another assassination attempt against Trump Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high Stocks are in anticipation mode A very important week has commenced with the US equity markets digesting last week’s impressive performance.
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Midweek Technical Look – EURJPY, USDCHF, Gold

EURJPY sends encouraging signals; confirmation awaited above 156.74 USDCHF builds a floor near 8-month low; bulls seek more power above 0.8540 Gold in a wait-and-see mode within the 2,500 area as risks remain
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Daily Comment – Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation  US presidential debate dominates headlines Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally Stocks are in anticipation mode US equity indices were mixed yesterday with the Nasdaq 100 index recording another green day and the Dow Jones mimicking the European stock indices’ negative performance.
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EURJPY is hovering around the 157.99 level EURJPY bears quickly erased the mid-August recovery attempt Momentum indicators confirm the ongoing bearish pressure EURJPY is trading lower today, hovering around the 157.99 level, and staying relatively close to the August 5 low of 154.38. Expectations for another ECB rate cut this week, the negative newsflow regarding the German economy, and the possibility of another BoJ rate hike have allowed JPY bulls to regain market control and era
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