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Forint eases as Hungarian rate setters cut further



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-Forint eases as Hungarian rate setters cut further</title></head><body>

Updates with latest figures

WARSAW, July 23 (Reuters) -The forint eased on Tuesday, backing further away from a 1-1/2 month high as the Hungarian central bank lowered rates extended a long-running rate easing cycle.

Hungary's central bank cut its base rate by 25 basis points to 6.75% on Tuesday, as expected by a slim majority of economists who had projected little room for further easing in the second half of 2024 after steep cuts over the past 15 months.

Hungary's Deputy Governor Barnabas Virag said after the decision that market expectations of one or two more rate cuts this year were realistic, and added that upcoming decisions would be about no change or a small rate reduction.

The forint EURHUF= had slipped 0.4% against the euro to 391 by 1335 GMT, as it retreated from its strongest since early June which it had hit on Monday.

Analysts had been split on whether Hungary's central bank might already pause its cutting cycle.

But data showed Hungary's headline inflation easing more than expected in June to an annual 3.7%, after its two-month rebound, as price growth subsides from its early 2023 peak of 25.7%, the highest rate in any EU country.

In the Czech Republic, the crown EURCZK= retreated 0.5% to 25.39 per euro, as Czech central bank (CNB) Vice-Governor Jan Frait said in an interview with the Bloomberg news agency that he could not rule out another 50-basis-point interest rate cut when policymakers meet next week.

The CNB has cut its main two-week repo rate by 225 basis points since December to 4.75%, surprising some at the last meeting in June by delivering a fourth straight 50-bp reduction before signalling a likely slowdown in the pace of easing.

Below-forecast inflation there, however, has left open some bets the bank may still to its current easing pace.

In Poland, the zloty EURPLN= held steady at 4.2815 per euro.

Data on Monday showed Polish retail sales growing by less than expected in June, as consumers remained cautious about the cost of living even with wages rising strongly.

Poland is betting on a wage growth-driven consumer revival to underpin its economic recovery in 2024.




CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1535 CET





CURRENCIES






Latest

Previous

Daily

Change



trade

close

change

in 2024

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.3900

25.2525

-0.54%

-2.71%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

391.0000

389.3250

-0.43%

-2.00%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2815

4.2804

-0.03%

+1.47%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9727

4.9715

-0.02%

+0.03%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

116.9500

117.0500

+0.09%

+0.25%

Note: daily change

calculated from


1800 CET










Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




close

change

in 2024

Prague

.PX

1616.80

1615.2600

+0.10%

+14.34%

Budapest

.BUX

73654.44

73375.88

+0.38%

+21.50%

Warsaw

.WIG20

2438.16

2481.28

-1.74%

+4.06%

Bucharest

.BETI

18727.02

18588.28

+0.75%

+21.83%











Spread

Daily





vs Bund

change in

Czech Republic





spread

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.6130

-0.0360

+083bps

+1bps

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.6430

-0.0410

+123bps

+0bps

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

3.7920

-0.0410

+134bps

-1bps

Poland






2-year

PL2YT=RR

5.1180

0.0360

+234bps

+8bps

5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.5060

-0.0240

+309bps

+2bps

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.6430

-0.0230

+319bps

+1bps


FORWARD







3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

4.13

3.73

3.54

4.58

Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.77

6.45

6.11

6.77

Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.83

5.71

5.40

5.86

Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices




**************************************************************




Reporting by Karol Badohal in Warsaw, Boldizsar Gyori in Budapest and Jason Hovet in Prague; Editing by Sharon Singleton and Angus MacSwan

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