Eyes on Jackson Hole as dollar drops against yen, euro keeps rising
Dollar/yen in spotlight again
Eyes on Jackson Hole summit, data
Euro trading near 2024 highs
Updated at 1130 GMT
By Rae Wee and Sruthi Shankar
SINGAPORE, Aug 19 (Reuters) -The yen rose sharply on Monday and the euro touched its highest this year as the dollar retreated broadly with traders bracing for dovish signals from Federal Reserve meeting minutes and Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole.
The minutes of the Fed's July meeting, due on Wednesday, and Powell's speech on Friday are likely to be the main currency drivers in a week that will also see inflation data from Canada and Japan and Purchasing Managers' Index readings across the United States, euro zone and UK.
Against the yen, the dollar was about 0.9% lower at 146.32 JPY=EBS, after earlier slipping below 146.
Analysts attributed the move to broad dollar weakness, along with the potential for further narrowing of the gap between interest rates in the U.S. and Japan.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda is expected to discuss the central bank's decision last month to raise interest rates when he appears in parliament on Friday,
"The relative rates narrative is certainly supporting a lower dollar," said Colin Asher, senior economist at Mizuho.
"Powell will probably be reiterating that rate cuts are coming fairly soon, and most likely Ueda will say that, assuming the base case continues to hold, we would expect to be hiking rates in Japan."
Asher however said the dollar is unlikely to go much lower against the yen in the short-term as he expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) in September, while markets are pricing in cut of 33 bps, likely paving the way for a firmer dollar.
Against a basket of other major currencies, the dollar =USD fell to a seven-month low of 102.15.
The euro EUR=EBS was 0.1% higher at $1.1036, having touched its strongest level of the year at $1.1051 earlier in the day. Sterling GBP=D3 rose to a one-month high of $1.2975 and was last at $1.2968.
The direction of those two European currencies depends on the trajectory of the dollar, and, in the short term, Powell's remarks Friday, analysts said.
"Markets will be laser focused on what Powell has to say... and on that, I think it will be a great opportunity for Powell to either endorse or push back market pricing," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
"I think he'll at least greenlight a rate cut at the September meeting. If anything, I think he'll try to retain optionality because we do have some more data before the next meeting."
The Australian and New Zealand dollars struck one-month highs of $0.6694 and $0.6086, respectively, as risk sentiment picked up on expectations for a dovish Fed outcome. AUD/
The swiss franc was also a touch firmer, with the dollar down 0.17% at 0.8648 francs. CHF=EBS
World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Reporting by Rae Wee in Singapore and Sruthi Shankar in Bengaluru, additional reporting by Alun John in London; Editing by Shri Navaratnam, Kirsten Donovan, Conor Humphries
Ativos relacionados
Últimas notícias
Isenção de Responsabilidade: As entidades do XM Group proporcionam serviço de apenas-execução e acesso à nossa plataforma online de negociação, permitindo a visualização e/ou uso do conteúdo disponível no website ou através deste, o que não se destina a alterar ou a expandir o supracitado. Tal acesso e uso estão sempre sujeitos a: (i) Termos e Condições; (ii) Avisos de Risco; e (iii) Termos de Responsabilidade. Este, é desta forma, fornecido como informação generalizada. Particularmente, por favor esteja ciente que os conteúdos da nossa plataforma online de negociação não constituem solicitação ou oferta para iniciar qualquer transação nos mercados financeiros. Negociar em qualquer mercado financeiro envolve um nível de risco significativo de perda do capital.
Todo o material publicado na nossa plataforma de negociação online tem apenas objetivos educacionais/informativos e não contém — e não deve ser considerado conter — conselhos e recomendações financeiras, de negociação ou fiscalidade de investimentos, registo de preços de negociação, oferta e solicitação de transação em qualquer instrumento financeiro ou promoção financeira não solicitada direcionadas a si.
Qual conteúdo obtido por uma terceira parte, assim como o conteúdo preparado pela XM, tais como, opiniões, pesquisa, análises, preços, outra informação ou links para websites de terceiras partes contidos neste website são prestados "no estado em que se encontram", como um comentário de mercado generalizado e não constitui conselho de investimento. Na medida em que qualquer conteúdo é construído como pesquisa de investimento, deve considerar e aceitar que este não tem como objetivo e nem foi preparado de acordo com os requisitos legais concebidos para promover a independência da pesquisa de investimento, desta forma, deve ser considerado material de marketing sob as leis e regulações relevantes. Por favor, certifique-se que leu e compreendeu a nossa Notificação sobre Pesquisa de Investimento não-independente e o Aviso de Risco, relativos à informação supracitada, os quais podem ser acedidos aqui.
