Dollar set to snap 5-week losing run while yuan rallies
Updates prices at 1135 GMT
By Harry Robertson and Kevin Buckland
LONDON/TOKYO, Aug 30 (Reuters) -The dollar held steady near a one-week high against major peers on Friday and is on track to snap a five-week losing streak after robust economic data caused investors to pare bets on aggressive Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
The Chinese yuan rose to its strongest since June 2023, while the euro was little changed as inflation data confirmed the message of national readings on Thursday that euro zone price pressures are quickly easing.
Investors were waiting for the release of core personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, at 1230 GMT (8:30 a.m. ET).
The U.S. dollar index =USD, which measures the currency against a basket of six major peers, was flat at 101.37, after rising 0.36% on Thursday and touching the highest since Aug. 22 at 101.58.
Overnight, U.S. data showed gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a 3.0% annualised rate in the second quarter, an upward revision from the 2.8% rate reported last month.
"That's been the market mover from the price action overnight, particularly when you look at currencies and U.S. Treasury yields," said Rodrigo Catril, senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank, referring to the GDP reading.
"The takeaway there - the highlight - is that the consumer was stronger than had previously been thought," he added.
The dollar is on course for a 0.6% gain this week, which would be its best week since the start of April. Over August, though, it is set for a drop of about 2.6% on the back of cooling inflation and a slowing labour market.
Traders see a September rate cut as a done deal but, after the data, laid only 34% odds of a 50-basis point cut, down from 38% a day earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
China's yuan firmed to a 14-month high on Friday, heading for its biggest monthly jump since November, amid growing corporate demand for the Chinese currency as expectations heighten for U.S. rate cuts.
The onshore yuan CNY=CFXS strengthened as far as 7.0825 per dollar before last changing hands at 7.0913, on track for a rise of around 2% for August.
"In the short term we cannot rule out the possibility of a 'stampede' for currency conversion" that could boost the yuan above 7.0 per dollar, China International Capital Corp (CICC) said in a note.
The euro EUR=EBS was very slightly higher at $1.1086 after data showed euro zone inflation slowed to 2.2% year-on-year in August, down from 2.6% in July, leaving the European Central Bank on track to lower interest rates again next month.
The single currency fell to a more than one-week low on Thursday and ended down 0.4% after German inflation cooled more than expected, bolstering investors' expectations of ECB cuts.
Sterling GBP=D3 rose 0.1% to $1.318 after dipping to $1.3146 overnight, a one-week low, as the dollar climbed.
The yen held near the closely watched 145-per-dollar level after weakening on Thursday, as the greenback tracked a rise in U.S. Treasury yields.
The Japanese currency largely ignored data on Friday showing core consumer prices in Tokyo climbing at a faster-than-expected 2.4% in August.
The Aussie AUD=D3 was little changed at $0.68 after hitting the highest since Jan. 2 at $0.6824 a day earlier, as it continued to draw support from hotter-than-expected consumer price figures this week. The currency shrugged off an unexpected stagnation in retail sales data on Friday.
World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
August blues: Looming U.S. rate cuts weigh on dollar https://reut.rs/4g13RrL
Reporting by Harry Robertson in London and Kevin Buckland in Tokyo; Editing by Sam Holmes, Jacqueline Wong and Andrew Heavens
Ativos relacionados
Últimas notícias
Isenção de Responsabilidade: As entidades do XM Group proporcionam serviço de apenas-execução e acesso à nossa plataforma online de negociação, permitindo a visualização e/ou uso do conteúdo disponível no website ou através deste, o que não se destina a alterar ou a expandir o supracitado. Tal acesso e uso estão sempre sujeitos a: (i) Termos e Condições; (ii) Avisos de Risco; e (iii) Termos de Responsabilidade. Este, é desta forma, fornecido como informação generalizada. Particularmente, por favor esteja ciente que os conteúdos da nossa plataforma online de negociação não constituem solicitação ou oferta para iniciar qualquer transação nos mercados financeiros. Negociar em qualquer mercado financeiro envolve um nível de risco significativo de perda do capital.
Todo o material publicado na nossa plataforma de negociação online tem apenas objetivos educacionais/informativos e não contém — e não deve ser considerado conter — conselhos e recomendações financeiras, de negociação ou fiscalidade de investimentos, registo de preços de negociação, oferta e solicitação de transação em qualquer instrumento financeiro ou promoção financeira não solicitada direcionadas a si.
Qual conteúdo obtido por uma terceira parte, assim como o conteúdo preparado pela XM, tais como, opiniões, pesquisa, análises, preços, outra informação ou links para websites de terceiras partes contidos neste website são prestados "no estado em que se encontram", como um comentário de mercado generalizado e não constitui conselho de investimento. Na medida em que qualquer conteúdo é construído como pesquisa de investimento, deve considerar e aceitar que este não tem como objetivo e nem foi preparado de acordo com os requisitos legais concebidos para promover a independência da pesquisa de investimento, desta forma, deve ser considerado material de marketing sob as leis e regulações relevantes. Por favor, certifique-se que leu e compreendeu a nossa Notificação sobre Pesquisa de Investimento não-independente e o Aviso de Risco, relativos à informação supracitada, os quais podem ser acedidos aqui.
