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GBPJPY


XM Analysis

Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY climb continues

GBPJPY is edging higher today, recording another green session It remains around 10% below its recent peak Momentum indicators acknowledge this bullish reaction GBPJPY is edging higher again today, recording its third consecutive green candle and recovering by around 4% above its August 5 low. The market has settled down a bit following the recent rout, with GBP recovering a tad after the recent BoE rate cut.
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Market angst pushes volatility higher across the board – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility skyrockets as recession fears resurface Volatility in commodities jumps as geopolitics takes centre stage Stock indices experience much stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, jumped to the highest level of the past month as fears of recession, on the back of last Friday’s weak US labour market report, resulted in the market pricing in an aggressive easing path for most central banks during 2024.
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Midweek Technical Look - GBPJPY, US 500, WTI

GBPJPY records fresh 3-month low, losing 4% from 199.40 US 500 rebounds off long-term ascending trend line WTI crude oil recoups significant losses, jumping above 200-day SMA
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Volatility remains elevated across the board – Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile after BoJ hike aids yen's recovery Volatility in commodity sphere jumps amid geopolitical flare ups Global stock indices in turbulent waters but for different reasons   Volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the latest interest rate hike by the BoJ has added more fuel to the yen’s recovery from multi-year lows against major peers.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY selling drama stretches below 200-EMA

GBPJPY’s massive sell-off continues, reaches 3-month low Short-term risk bearish but oversold conditions detected BoE policy announcement might influence GBP at 11:30 GMT   GBPJPY suffered another bold attack this week, giving back 8% of its value since its peak at a 16-year high of 208.09 on July 11. With downside pressures intensifying below the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) today, more sellers could join the market.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY extends decline to a fresh 2-month low

GBPJPY pulls back from its 16-year peak of 208.10 The pair falls to its lowest level since May 16 RSI and MACD warn of an overstretched retreat GBPJPY has been in a prolonged uptrend since early 2024, posting a 16-year high of 208.10 on July 11. However, the pair has been undergoing a pullback since then, with the price violating both the supportive trendline in place since January and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY pulls back near uptrend line

GBPJPY correcting lower, but staying above uptrend line RSI and MACD point to further declines A rebound above trendline could aim for 208.15 A break below 200.00 could shift the outlook to bearish GBPJPY has been correcting lower since July 11, when it hit 208.15, a level last seen back in August 2008. That said, the pair remains above the uptrend line drawn from the low of January 2, currently hovering near the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA).
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Heightened volatility across all asset classes – Volatility Watch

• Yen crosses are volatile as they retreat from multi-year highs • Volatility in oil and gold surges, Bitcoin follows suit • US equities exhibit higher volatility amid correction fears The euro and dollar pairs maintain low volatility ahead of the US PCE release on Friday and a quiet week on the European data front. On the flipside, volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the pairs have been extending their latest pullbacks from multi-year highs.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY retraces lower after hitting 16-year high

GBPJPY pulls back from its highest level since August 2008 RSI and MACD ease but remain in positive territories GBPJPY has been in a prolonged uptrend since early 2024, posting a 16-year high of 208.10 on July 11. However, the pair has been undergoing a pullback since then probably due to the advance reaching overbought conditions. Should the slide extend further, the recent support of 202.08 could act as the first line of defense.
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Higher market volatility led by yen, gold and equities – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low despite weekend’s events Volatility in commodities jumps, apart from oil Stock indices experience stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Euro/dollar volatility remains very low despite last week’s weaker CPI report and the weekend’s gun attack on the Republican Presidential candidate. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses has increased considerably as the BoJ is rumoured to have intervened last week in dollar/yen, ahead of the
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY hits 20-day SMA after multi-year high

GBPJPY may start bearish correction Stochastics move down; RSI ticks up GBPJPY suffered significant losses following an aggressive rally to the multi-year high of 208.10. The pair found immediate support at the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of 203.80, keeping the bias bullish for now. Technically, the stochastic oscillator is div
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Midweek Technical Look – EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPJPY

EURUSD still finds strong support at 1.0800 AUDUSD posts new 6-month high  GBPJPY records extraordinary bullish rally towards uncharted levels
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Lower FX volatility as equities appear agitated – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility drops aggressively Volatility in commodities increases a tad, apart from oil S&P 500 and Nikkei 225 indices’ volatility jumps Euro/dollar volatility has eased further over the past week as the market is feeling more relaxed after Le Pen’s far-right party failed spectacularly to win the highest number of seats in the second round of the French parliamentary election.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY eases after hitting new 16-year high

GBPJPY remains in strong upside tendency in long-term RSI flirts with uptrend line above 70 Stochastic looks overstretched GBPJPY is declining somewhat after rallying to a fresh 16-year high of 206.15 earlier in the week. The pair posted 13 straight days of gains before falling near the 261.8% Fibonacci extension level of the down leg from 188.65 to 178.80 at 204.70. The technical oscillators indicate an overstretched market, as the RSI is heading south, meeting the uptrend line
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Could the post-UK elections market moves resemble 1997 and 2010?

Thursday's UK elections expected to bring political change Similar developments in both 1997 and 2010 weighed on the pound History points to a significant easing in pound volatility across the board Recent FTSE 100 performance matches the 2015 pre-election moves General election in sight The UK general election will be held this Thursday, July 4, the day that the US will be celebrating its 248th anniversary from the adoption of the Declaration of Independence.
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Yen volatility remains high as equities appear calmer – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility jumps after French elections Volatility in commodities eases, apart from oil Stock indices’ volatility falls ahead of key data releases Euro/dollar volatility has eased over the past week as the market is breathing slightly easier following Sunday’s French elections result. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains extremely high as market participants continue to provoke the BoJ by pushing dollar/yen above the level that led to the end-April
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY unlocks new 16-year high

GBPJPY posts several green days RSI and stochastics are overstretched GBPJPY is recording the tenth consecutive green day, posting a fresh 16-year high of 203.57. The market is looking positive, but the technical oscillators are suggesting overstretched momentum. The RSI is flattening near the 70 level, while the stochastic is moving horizontally above the 80 level.
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Besides commodities, volatility is heightened across the board - Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile as they approach intervention levels Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin follows suit Volatility in yen pairs has been elevated for the past few days as they have been trading within breathing distance from the levels that Japanese authorities were willing to defend in the recent past.
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Midweek Technical Look – GBPJPY, Oil, US 500

GBPJPY tries to retest 16-year high WTI crude oil eases somewhat after almost 2-month high US 500 skyrockets to another record peak above 5,500
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