Sanofi sale is critical health check for mega LBOs
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.
By Aimee Donnellan
LONDON, Oct 10 (Reuters Breakingviews) -Sanofi SASY.PA is about to deliver a critical health check to the buyout world. The $140 billion French pharmaceutical group is in talks with rival bidders Clayton Dubilier & Rice and PAI Partners to sell its consumer drugs unit for 15 billion euros, per Bloomberg reports. Whether CEO Paul Hudson goes ahead, or instead lists the division, will be a critical moment for private equity dealmakers.
Hudson unveiled his plan to offload the unit which makes ACT mouthwash last October, in order to raise cash for new drugs. But he kept open the possibility of listing it instead of a sale. A buyout would mark a departure from other recent deals in the sector: GSK GSK.L chose to float its consumer unit Haleon HLN.L in 2022, as did Johnson & Johnson JNJ.N in May last year.
A sale to private equity would also highlight how debt markets have recovered from 2022, when a surge in interest rates and war in Ukraine left banks stuck holding unsold loans. The volume of buyouts has already surpassed 2023’s total of $562 billion, LSEG data shows. But to get the Sanofi deal away, banks including Goldman Sachs GS.N and Morgan Stanley MS.N are lining up a package of loans worth around 9 billion euros, with leverage around 7 times EBITDA. The size of the deal and gearing levels are at the upper limit of what can be sold in European debt markets, according to bankers. The risk is that if markets turn, banks could get stuck holding the loans and have to sell them at a discount, as they did with the ill-fated Wm Morrison deal.
Such juicy leverage should at least mean CD&R and PAI stand a chance of making a good return. If the deal values the consumer drugs unit at the reported 15 billion euros, it would be equivalent to nearly 13 times last year’s EBITDA of 1.2 billion euros. Assume EBITDA grows at around 5% annually, the average for Haleon according to LSEG forecasts, and that the buyers sell in five years on Haleon’s current 14 times enterprise value to EBITDA multiple. The unit would then be worth over 21 billion euros including debt, and the new owners would have more than doubled their equity investment. That’s according to a Breakingviews calculation that assumes they use free cash flow to pay down debt, while investing 200 million euros of capital expenditure each year.
Hudson might still try his luck in the equity markets and list the unit instead, especially with rival Haleon trading at a higher multiple than that apparently offered by the private equity bidders. But a sale would bring him certain cash at a time when the market for new listings is choppy. If the buyout goes ahead smoothly, it will show that debt markets are wide open, and corporates willing to sell. Private equity dealmakers’ animal spirits would get an extra shot in the arm.
Follow @aimeedonnellan on X
CONTEXT NEWS
Sanofi has received two separate bids from private equity firms for its consumer health unit, which could be valued at 15 billion euros ($16.74 billion) or more, Bloomberg reported on Sept. 24.
The drugmaker is still deciding whether to pursue a spinoff of the business if the bids aren’t attractive.
Both private equity firms named in the report, PAI Partners and Clayton Dubilier & Rice, declined to comment.
Graphic: Global buyout volumes are picking up https://reut.rs/3NmClIe
Editing by Neil Unmack, Streisand Neto and Oliver Taslic
Mga Kaugnay na Asset
Pinakabagong Balita
Disclaimer: Ang mga kabilang sa XM Group ay nagbibigay lang ng serbisyo sa pagpapatupad at pag-access sa aming Online Trading Facility, kung saan pinapahintulutan nito ang pagtingin at/o paggamit sa nilalaman na makikita sa website o sa pamamagitan nito, at walang layuning palitan o palawigin ito, at hindi din ito papalitan o papalawigin. Ang naturang pag-access at paggamit ay palaging alinsunod sa: (i) Mga Tuntunin at Kundisyon; (ii) Mga Babala sa Risk; at (iii) Kabuuang Disclaimer. Kaya naman ang naturang nilalaman ay ituturing na pangkalahatang impormasyon lamang. Mangyaring isaalang-alang na ang mga nilalaman ng aming Online Trading Facility ay hindi paglikom, o alok, para magsagawa ng anumang transaksyon sa mga pinansyal na market. Ang pag-trade sa alinmang pinansyal na market ay nagtataglay ng mataas na lebel ng risk sa iyong kapital.
Lahat ng materyales na nakalathala sa aming Online Trading Facility ay nakalaan para sa layuning edukasyonal/pang-impormasyon lamang at hindi naglalaman – at hindi dapat ituring bilang naglalaman – ng payo at rekomendasyon na pangpinansyal, tungkol sa buwis sa pag-i-invest, o pang-trade, o tala ng aming presyo sa pag-trade, o alok para sa, o paglikom ng, transaksyon sa alinmang pinansyal na instrument o hindi ginustong pinansyal na promosyon.
Sa anumang nilalaman na galing sa ikatlong partido, pati na ang mga nilalaman na inihanda ng XM, ang mga naturang opinyon, balita, pananaliksik, pag-analisa, presyo, ibang impormasyon o link sa ibang mga site na makikita sa website na ito ay ibibigay tulad ng nandoon, bilang pangkalahatang komentaryo sa market at hindi ito nagtataglay ng payo sa pag-i-invest. Kung ang alinmang nilalaman nito ay itinuring bilang pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, kailangan mong isaalang-alang at tanggapin na hindi ito inilaan at inihanda alinsunod sa mga legal na pangangailangan na idinisenyo para maisulong ang pagsasarili ng pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, at dahil dito ituturing ito na komunikasyon sa marketing sa ilalim ng mga kaugnay na batas at regulasyon. Mangyaring siguruhin na nabasa at naintindihan mo ang aming Notipikasyon sa Hindi Independyenteng Pananaliksik sa Pag-i-invest at Babala sa Risk na may kinalaman sa impormasyong nakalagay sa itaas, na maa-access dito.
