Dexcom plunges as revenue forecast cut spooks investors
Updates shares in paragraph 1, adds details from Abbott's device sales in paragraph 6
By Bhanvi Satija
July 26 (Reuters) -Dexcom DXCM.O shares slumped 41% after the glucose monitor maker slashed its annual revenue forecast, a move it attributed to the fallout from a revamp of its salesforce but which some analysts said raised questions about its long-term prospects.
Shares touched a four-year low of $64.37 in early trading on Friday, with nearly $17 billion of the company's market value set to be wiped out if losses hold.
The surprise forecast cut cast doubts over Dexcom's long-term growth, analysts said, amid rising competition from Abbott ABT.N and Medtronic MDT.N.
Baird analyst Jeff Johnson said Dexcom does not seem to be growing as fast as investors hoped to capture "basal only" diabetes patients who take one insulin injection a day, downgrading the stock to "neutral" from "outperform".
"More importantly ... it appears that Abbott is doing a better share of taking those basal only Type 2 patients and Dexcom's share is not keeping up," said Johnson.
Last week, Abbott reported an 18% jump in second-quarter sales of its FreeStyle Libre devices. It expects the device, including a recently approved over-the-counter version, to bring in sales of $10 billion by 2028.
Dexcom now expects 2024 revenue forecast to about $4 billion to $4.05 billion, versus $4.20 billion to $4.35 billion earlier.
As part of the restructuring, Dexcom changed which doctors its salespeople would approach, resulting in fewer-than-expected new patients.
Some analysts said the process was more disruptive than feared, while others termed the company's problems "self-inflicted", stemming from poor management execution.
At least half of the brokerages covering Dexcom's stock slashed their price targets.
The company, which signaled it had lost some market share for devices sold through distributors, added rebates, or after-market refunds, for its G7 glucose monitors affected how much revenue it made per customer in the second quarter.
The rebates were implemented in little over a year, versus the expected two-year timeline.
Recent share performance of glucose monitor makers https://reut.rs/3y4aDvX
Reporting by Kanchana Chakravarty and Bhanvi Satija in Bengaluru; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila
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