Shares hold near record high with Powell in focus, dollar in the doldrums
Updates at 0835 GMT
By Alun John and Stella Qiu
LONDON/SYDNEY, Aug 23 (Reuters) -World shares steadied on Friday, sitting just 1% shy of all-time highs, while the dollar languished around one-year lows ahead of a speech by the world's most powerful central banker which markets will peruse for guidance on the shape of U.S. rate cuts.
Europe's broad Stoxx 600 index .STOXX rose 0.14% in early trading, Asian shares outside Japan nudged down 0.1%, but Japan's Nikkei .N225 gained 0.4% as investors digested inflation data and remarks from Bank of Japan governor Kazuo Ueda flagging a willingness to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation turn out as forecast.
That left MSCI's all country world index .MIWD00000PUS up a whisker, and with early August's turmoil in the rear view mirror, it is now trading around 1% off its mid July all time peak. S&P500 futures .SPX rose 0.3%.
The main event of the week is still to come however: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's keynote speech to the Kansas City Fed's annual Jackson Hole Research conference, which comes as U.S. economic data gives the Federal Reserve the green light to cut interest rates.
Markets are fully priced for a 25 bp rate cut in September and see a cut at each of the Fed's three remaining meetings this year, and for one to be a larger 50 bp move.
The speech will be watched carefully to see whether it challenges or underscores such pricing, though Powell's opportunities to give too much of a surprise seem limited.
"As any decision that deviates from market pricing will rest on as yet unknown data, it is hard to see how Powell can commit to much beyond some easing of some sort in September, and even then, only barring data accidents," said Rob Carnell, regional head of research, Asia-Pacific, at ING.
Expectations that rate cuts are coming have kept U.S. Treasury prices supported and not giving back their safe-haven gains from early August.
The benchmark 10 year Treasury yield was flat at 3.857% - it has only been above 4% for a very brief period in August, after spending almost all of 2024 there. US10YT=RR
Its German equivalent was also steady at 2.25%. DE10YT=RR GVD/EUR
The low U.S. yields have hurt the dollar, which has lost ground on almost all major peers in August. FRX/
The euro EUR=EBS was last at $1.1119, steady on the day and just off a 13 month peak hit earlier this week, and sterling GBP=D3 was up 0.2% at $1.312, struggling to push through its July 2023 level, which would take it to its highest in well over two years. GBP/
The Japanese yen gained with the dollar down 0.3% at 145.85 JPY=EBS after Bank of Japan Kazuo Ueda flagged an willingness to raise interest rates if the economy and inflation turn out as forecast.
"The yen buying today is understandable given Governor Ueda showed very little sign of a shift in the views and plans of the BoJ following the financial market turmoil earlier this month," said Derek Halpenny, head of research global markets EMEA at MUFG in a note to clients.
Data out early in the day showed Japan's core inflation accelerated for a third straight month, but a slowdown in demand-drive price gains suggest no urgency for any immediate rate hikes.
Commodities looked set to end the week lower.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were up 0.5% at $77.59 a barrel, although they are down more than 3% for the week as swelling U.S. crude stocks and a weakening demand outlook in China have raised pessimism. O/R
Gold prices XAU= are up 0.5% to $2,496.6 an ounce, recharging towards its record high of $2,531.6 hit just on Tuesday.
Asia stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Asia-Pacific valuations https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA
Reporting by Stella Qiu in Sydney and Alun John in London
Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Kim Coghill
To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
Mga Kaugnay na Asset
Pinakabagong Balita
Disclaimer: Ang mga kabilang sa XM Group ay nagbibigay lang ng serbisyo sa pagpapatupad at pag-access sa aming Online Trading Facility, kung saan pinapahintulutan nito ang pagtingin at/o paggamit sa nilalaman na makikita sa website o sa pamamagitan nito, at walang layuning palitan o palawigin ito, at hindi din ito papalitan o papalawigin. Ang naturang pag-access at paggamit ay palaging alinsunod sa: (i) Mga Tuntunin at Kundisyon; (ii) Mga Babala sa Risk; at (iii) Kabuuang Disclaimer. Kaya naman ang naturang nilalaman ay ituturing na pangkalahatang impormasyon lamang. Mangyaring isaalang-alang na ang mga nilalaman ng aming Online Trading Facility ay hindi paglikom, o alok, para magsagawa ng anumang transaksyon sa mga pinansyal na market. Ang pag-trade sa alinmang pinansyal na market ay nagtataglay ng mataas na lebel ng risk sa iyong kapital.
Lahat ng materyales na nakalathala sa aming Online Trading Facility ay nakalaan para sa layuning edukasyonal/pang-impormasyon lamang at hindi naglalaman – at hindi dapat ituring bilang naglalaman – ng payo at rekomendasyon na pangpinansyal, tungkol sa buwis sa pag-i-invest, o pang-trade, o tala ng aming presyo sa pag-trade, o alok para sa, o paglikom ng, transaksyon sa alinmang pinansyal na instrument o hindi ginustong pinansyal na promosyon.
Sa anumang nilalaman na galing sa ikatlong partido, pati na ang mga nilalaman na inihanda ng XM, ang mga naturang opinyon, balita, pananaliksik, pag-analisa, presyo, ibang impormasyon o link sa ibang mga site na makikita sa website na ito ay ibibigay tulad ng nandoon, bilang pangkalahatang komentaryo sa market at hindi ito nagtataglay ng payo sa pag-i-invest. Kung ang alinmang nilalaman nito ay itinuring bilang pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, kailangan mong isaalang-alang at tanggapin na hindi ito inilaan at inihanda alinsunod sa mga legal na pangangailangan na idinisenyo para maisulong ang pagsasarili ng pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, at dahil dito ituturing ito na komunikasyon sa marketing sa ilalim ng mga kaugnay na batas at regulasyon. Mangyaring siguruhin na nabasa at naintindihan mo ang aming Notipikasyon sa Hindi Independyenteng Pananaliksik sa Pag-i-invest at Babala sa Risk na may kinalaman sa impormasyong nakalagay sa itaas, na maa-access dito.