Markets hit tentative pause on selloff
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Ankur Banerjee
Markets hit the pause button after a selloff in equities since the start of the week but sentiment remained fragile, as worries re-emerged over the prospects for the U.S. economy and investors focused squarely on this week's job reports.
Labour data on Wednesday suggested the U.S. jobs market was losing steam, raising expectations the Federal Reserve may resort to large interest rate cuts, while additional reports including Friday's non-farm payrolls data are keeping sentiment on edge.
Futures indicated European bourses were set for a subdued open after Asian shares rose 0.4% on Thursday, clawing back some of the week's losses, although the MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS is still down 2.2% so far this week.
Risk sentiment remained frail, with the yen JPY=EBS holding on to its gains for the week as traders seek safe assets while the dollar was steady in Asian hours after weakness overnight.
Hawkish rhetoric from the Bank of Japan also supported the yen after BOJ board member Hajime Takata hinted the central bank should stay on course to raise interest rates.
While the spotlight this week will be on Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls report, in the meantime Thursday's U.S. jobless claims reading and euro zone retail sales data will keep investors busy.
The markets are keen for clues on whether data will dictate that the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) or 50 bps when it meets later this month. Traders added to wagers of a 50 bps cut following the job openings data and are now pricing in a 44% chance, up from 38% a day earlier.
Investors are also pricing in 110 bps of cuts from the remaining three Fed meetings this year, and when you factor in the Fed's focus on the labour market, it looks like economic data in the next few weeks will be put under the microscope by increasingly skittish investors.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
Economic events: Euro zone August retail sales; August construction PMI data for Germany, France and euro zone
U.S. inflation is cooling https://reut.rs/3Ta4TYQ
Rates and inflation Rates and inflation https://tmsnrt.rs/3U8HdD2
By Ankur Banerjee; Editing by Edmund Klamann
Mga Kaugnay na Asset
Pinakabagong Balita
Disclaimer: Ang mga kabilang sa XM Group ay nagbibigay lang ng serbisyo sa pagpapatupad at pag-access sa aming Online Trading Facility, kung saan pinapahintulutan nito ang pagtingin at/o paggamit sa nilalaman na makikita sa website o sa pamamagitan nito, at walang layuning palitan o palawigin ito, at hindi din ito papalitan o papalawigin. Ang naturang pag-access at paggamit ay palaging alinsunod sa: (i) Mga Tuntunin at Kundisyon; (ii) Mga Babala sa Risk; at (iii) Kabuuang Disclaimer. Kaya naman ang naturang nilalaman ay ituturing na pangkalahatang impormasyon lamang. Mangyaring isaalang-alang na ang mga nilalaman ng aming Online Trading Facility ay hindi paglikom, o alok, para magsagawa ng anumang transaksyon sa mga pinansyal na market. Ang pag-trade sa alinmang pinansyal na market ay nagtataglay ng mataas na lebel ng risk sa iyong kapital.
Lahat ng materyales na nakalathala sa aming Online Trading Facility ay nakalaan para sa layuning edukasyonal/pang-impormasyon lamang at hindi naglalaman – at hindi dapat ituring bilang naglalaman – ng payo at rekomendasyon na pangpinansyal, tungkol sa buwis sa pag-i-invest, o pang-trade, o tala ng aming presyo sa pag-trade, o alok para sa, o paglikom ng, transaksyon sa alinmang pinansyal na instrument o hindi ginustong pinansyal na promosyon.
Sa anumang nilalaman na galing sa ikatlong partido, pati na ang mga nilalaman na inihanda ng XM, ang mga naturang opinyon, balita, pananaliksik, pag-analisa, presyo, ibang impormasyon o link sa ibang mga site na makikita sa website na ito ay ibibigay tulad ng nandoon, bilang pangkalahatang komentaryo sa market at hindi ito nagtataglay ng payo sa pag-i-invest. Kung ang alinmang nilalaman nito ay itinuring bilang pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, kailangan mong isaalang-alang at tanggapin na hindi ito inilaan at inihanda alinsunod sa mga legal na pangangailangan na idinisenyo para maisulong ang pagsasarili ng pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, at dahil dito ituturing ito na komunikasyon sa marketing sa ilalim ng mga kaugnay na batas at regulasyon. Mangyaring siguruhin na nabasa at naintindihan mo ang aming Notipikasyon sa Hindi Independyenteng Pananaliksik sa Pag-i-invest at Babala sa Risk na may kinalaman sa impormasyong nakalagay sa itaas, na maa-access dito.
