Crop Watch: Producers welcome cool weather but not the dry pattern -Braun
Repeats column first published on Monday. The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a market analyst for Reuters.
By Karen Braun
NAPERVILLE, Illinois, July 22 (Reuters) -Conditions for pollination in U.S. Crop Watch corn fields have been or will be mostly favorable, though the growers are not excited about the recent drying trend forecast to last at least another week.
The flip to dry comes after a wet spring and early summer, hampering corn emergence and causing some producers to continue questioning potential yield penalties.
Crop Watch locations in Ohio and the western Corn Belt have been relatively dry for two weeks now, but the widespread, cooler-than-normal temperatures have helped preserve some moisture.
Normal-to-cool temperatures are expected to continue this week for much of the Corn Belt, though warmer conditions are predicted in the Dakotas, which is needed. Lighter rainfall amounts are forecast across the board this week.
Crop Watch producers are rating crop conditions and yield potential on 1-to-5 scales. The condition scores are a primarily visual assessment similar to the U.S. government’s where 1 is very poor, 3 is average and 5 is excellent.
Yield potential is meant to capture both visible and nonvisible elements. On this scale, 3 is around farm average yield, 4 is solidly above average and 5 is among the best crops ever.
Average scores are little changed this week, but there was some movement within. The 11-field, unweighted average corn yield dropped to 3.34 from 3.36 in the prior week. Corn conditions eased to 3.45 from 3.48 last week.
Average soybean conditions were steady on the week at 3.84 and yield increased to 3.61 from 3.57 a week earlier.
Condition and yield improvements for both crops were prominent in Nebraska, southeastern Illinois and both Iowa locations. Scores were lowered across the board in Kansas after a second dry week, and bean conditions were trimmed in Indiana as heavy hurricane-linked rains in the prior week caused some field ponding.
Corn scores went down in western Illinois, which experienced strong storms a week ago. Damage was originally thought to be minimal, but the producer now estimates at least 15% of the field’s corn plants may be snapped below the ear. This assessment is ongoing.
The eastern Iowa location, which was blasted by a similar derecho event in 2020, escaped a repeat during last week’s storms and has observed nearly perfect pollination weather. But yield scores here remain somewhat conservative because of how high the farm averages have become in recent years.
The following are the states and counties of the 2024 Crop Watch corn and soybean fields: Kingsbury, South Dakota; Freeborn, Minnesota; Burt, Nebraska; Rice, Kansas; Audubon, Iowa; Cedar, Iowa; Warren, Illinois; Crawford, Illinois; Tippecanoe, Indiana; Fairfield, Ohio. The North Dakota soybeans are in Griggs County and the corn is in Stutsman County.
Karen Braun is a market analyst for Reuters. Views expressed above are her own.
Graphic- Crop Watch Producers 2024 https://tmsnrt.rs/44kerF2
Reporting by Karen Braun
Editing by Matthew Lewis
Pinakabagong Balita
Disclaimer: Ang mga kabilang sa XM Group ay nagbibigay lang ng serbisyo sa pagpapatupad at pag-access sa aming Online Trading Facility, kung saan pinapahintulutan nito ang pagtingin at/o paggamit sa nilalaman na makikita sa website o sa pamamagitan nito, at walang layuning palitan o palawigin ito, at hindi din ito papalitan o papalawigin. Ang naturang pag-access at paggamit ay palaging alinsunod sa: (i) Mga Tuntunin at Kundisyon; (ii) Mga Babala sa Risk; at (iii) Kabuuang Disclaimer. Kaya naman ang naturang nilalaman ay ituturing na pangkalahatang impormasyon lamang. Mangyaring isaalang-alang na ang mga nilalaman ng aming Online Trading Facility ay hindi paglikom, o alok, para magsagawa ng anumang transaksyon sa mga pinansyal na market. Ang pag-trade sa alinmang pinansyal na market ay nagtataglay ng mataas na lebel ng risk sa iyong kapital.
Lahat ng materyales na nakalathala sa aming Online Trading Facility ay nakalaan para sa layuning edukasyonal/pang-impormasyon lamang at hindi naglalaman – at hindi dapat ituring bilang naglalaman – ng payo at rekomendasyon na pangpinansyal, tungkol sa buwis sa pag-i-invest, o pang-trade, o tala ng aming presyo sa pag-trade, o alok para sa, o paglikom ng, transaksyon sa alinmang pinansyal na instrument o hindi ginustong pinansyal na promosyon.
Sa anumang nilalaman na galing sa ikatlong partido, pati na ang mga nilalaman na inihanda ng XM, ang mga naturang opinyon, balita, pananaliksik, pag-analisa, presyo, ibang impormasyon o link sa ibang mga site na makikita sa website na ito ay ibibigay tulad ng nandoon, bilang pangkalahatang komentaryo sa market at hindi ito nagtataglay ng payo sa pag-i-invest. Kung ang alinmang nilalaman nito ay itinuring bilang pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, kailangan mong isaalang-alang at tanggapin na hindi ito inilaan at inihanda alinsunod sa mga legal na pangangailangan na idinisenyo para maisulong ang pagsasarili ng pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, at dahil dito ituturing ito na komunikasyon sa marketing sa ilalim ng mga kaugnay na batas at regulasyon. Mangyaring siguruhin na nabasa at naintindihan mo ang aming Notipikasyon sa Hindi Independyenteng Pananaliksik sa Pag-i-invest at Babala sa Risk na may kinalaman sa impormasyong nakalagay sa itaas, na maa-access dito.
