Shein would lose all its shine in a Hong Kong IPO
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are her own. Refiles to add index codes.
By Una Galani
MUMBAI, July 2 (Reuters Breakingviews) -As geopolitics deteriorate, capital is becoming less global. For fast-fashion giant Shein, it means the destination for its initial public offering will make a big difference to its fortunes.
The online retailer will debut in Hong Kong if its plan to list in London at a 50-billion-pound ($63 billion) valuation falls apart, the Financial Times reported on Friday, citing five people familiar with the situation. The company has given up on New York and is encountering rising scrutiny in the UK because of its Chinese roots and supply chain, as well as its contribution to fashion waste. But there are major downsides to its Plan C.
An IPO in the Chinese territory would slash the valuation Shein can secure, because there would be less demand for it.U.S. funds, such as the $857 billion Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board, are shunning Hong Kong stocks on fears Washington may tighten investment restrictions.
Nor would Shein have any peers in Hong Kong to benchmark itself against; rivals including Zara-owner Inditex ITX.MC, Amazon AMZN.O, and even Temu - via its Chinese parent Pinduoduo PDD.O - trade on Western bourses, not Asian ones.
Worst of all, a Hong Kong listing might leave Shein as a large orphan stock in the city with inadequate equity research coverage. Analysts in the Asian hub may not understand the competitive nuances of fast-fashion in the United States, Shein’s most important market where it competes against Amazon. Other global companies traded in the Asian hub, like L'Occitane 0973.HK and Samsonite 1910.HK, want to leave the bourse, or are planning back-up listings elsewhere.
Finally, opting to go public in Hong Kong will bolster the perception that Shein is a Chinese company ripe for Western scrutiny. The company chaired by Donald Tang moved its headquarters to Singapore to distance itself from its roots in the People's Republic. It has not, though, convinced stakeholders that it is, like Apple AAPL.O or Tesla TSLA.O, just another global company with a big supply chain there.
Ultimately, stocks in the Asian hub suffer from a discount: Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index .HSI trades at 9 times 12-month forward earnings, versus 11 for London's FTSE 100 .FTSE and 21 times for New York's S&P 500 Composite .SPX.
All these issues help explain why the city's bourse has not hosted a multi-billion-dollar IPO for years, which adds another risk to the heap. The closer Shein edges to Asia, the worse its fortunes look.
Follow @ugalani on X
CONTEXT NEWS
Online fast-fashion group Shein has a back-up plan to seek a listing in Hong Kong, as its ambition for an initial public offering in London encounters rising scrutiny in the UK and China, the Financial Times reported on June 29, citing five people familiar with the situation.
($1 = 0.7886 pounds)
Hong Kong stock market valuations are low Hong Kong stock market valuations are low https://www.reuters.com/graphics/BRV-BRV/jnvwaaobqvw/chart.png
Editing by Antony Currie and Katrina Hamlin
Mga Kaugnay na Asset
Pinakabagong Balita
Disclaimer: Ang mga kabilang sa XM Group ay nagbibigay lang ng serbisyo sa pagpapatupad at pag-access sa aming Online Trading Facility, kung saan pinapahintulutan nito ang pagtingin at/o paggamit sa nilalaman na makikita sa website o sa pamamagitan nito, at walang layuning palitan o palawigin ito, at hindi din ito papalitan o papalawigin. Ang naturang pag-access at paggamit ay palaging alinsunod sa: (i) Mga Tuntunin at Kundisyon; (ii) Mga Babala sa Risk; at (iii) Kabuuang Disclaimer. Kaya naman ang naturang nilalaman ay ituturing na pangkalahatang impormasyon lamang. Mangyaring isaalang-alang na ang mga nilalaman ng aming Online Trading Facility ay hindi paglikom, o alok, para magsagawa ng anumang transaksyon sa mga pinansyal na market. Ang pag-trade sa alinmang pinansyal na market ay nagtataglay ng mataas na lebel ng risk sa iyong kapital.
Lahat ng materyales na nakalathala sa aming Online Trading Facility ay nakalaan para sa layuning edukasyonal/pang-impormasyon lamang at hindi naglalaman – at hindi dapat ituring bilang naglalaman – ng payo at rekomendasyon na pangpinansyal, tungkol sa buwis sa pag-i-invest, o pang-trade, o tala ng aming presyo sa pag-trade, o alok para sa, o paglikom ng, transaksyon sa alinmang pinansyal na instrument o hindi ginustong pinansyal na promosyon.
Sa anumang nilalaman na galing sa ikatlong partido, pati na ang mga nilalaman na inihanda ng XM, ang mga naturang opinyon, balita, pananaliksik, pag-analisa, presyo, ibang impormasyon o link sa ibang mga site na makikita sa website na ito ay ibibigay tulad ng nandoon, bilang pangkalahatang komentaryo sa market at hindi ito nagtataglay ng payo sa pag-i-invest. Kung ang alinmang nilalaman nito ay itinuring bilang pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, kailangan mong isaalang-alang at tanggapin na hindi ito inilaan at inihanda alinsunod sa mga legal na pangangailangan na idinisenyo para maisulong ang pagsasarili ng pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, at dahil dito ituturing ito na komunikasyon sa marketing sa ilalim ng mga kaugnay na batas at regulasyon. Mangyaring siguruhin na nabasa at naintindihan mo ang aming Notipikasyon sa Hindi Independyenteng Pananaliksik sa Pag-i-invest at Babala sa Risk na may kinalaman sa impormasyong nakalagay sa itaas, na maa-access dito.
