Currencies linger, stocks drift lower ahead of US PCE data
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U.S. PCE, GDP data awaited
China's yuan, stocks pare early losses
Thai baht edges higher; rupiah, ringgit slip
Markets in Taiwan closed due to typhoon
By Sameer Manekar
July 24 (Reuters) -Currencies and stocks in Asian emerging markets were in a holding pattern on Wednesday as traders awaited U.S. inflation print and the Federal Reserve meeting next week to validate expectations of two U.S. rate cuts over the rest of the year.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS as well as an emerging markets index .MIMS00000PUS drifted lower. Most currencies also largely drifted around their previous closing levels.
On the macro side, investors are waiting for U.S. economic growth data for the second quarter and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data - the Fed's favoured measure of inflation - on Friday to gauge the expectations of interest rate cuts this year.
Robert Carnell, head of Asia-Pacific research at ING, said a softer U.S. PCE print alongside a low inflation reading next month "opens the possibility that .... the market which seems to be pricing in two rate cuts could start pushing a third one."
A soft landing scenario in the United States should prompt return of flows to the emerging markets which should support the currencies and bond markets, Carnell added.
Markets are pricing in 62 basis points of easing this year, with a cut in September priced in at 95%, the CME FedWatch tool showed.
In Asia, Indian equities .NSEI and currency INR=IN drifted lower a day after a volatile reaction to the budget that raised the tax rate on equity derivatives trade and on capital gains.
In China, the Shanghai Composite index .SSEC and the blue-chip CSI300 index .CSI300 fell as much as 0.9% before recovering later in the day, although the former still lingered near its five-month low.
The yuan CNY=CFXS edged lower to 7.2756 per dollar, meandering near its two-week low. Earlier in the day it slipped to 7.2770, its lowest level since mid-November last year.
Elsewhere, stocks in Singapore .STI ticked lower. In Malaysia, the benchmark .KLSE declined 0.6% weighed by a broad-based sell-off, while shares in Thailand .SETI and Indonesia .JKSE fell about 0.4% each.
The Thai baht THB=TH and the Singaporean dollar SGD= edged higher, while the Malaysian ringgit MYR= and the Indonesian rupiah IDR= slipped.
Meanwhile, the central bank Sri Lanka surprised the market with a quarter-point rate cut to propel the In South Asian nation out of its worst financial crisis in decades.
Markets in Taiwan .TWII, TWD=TP and the Philippines .PSI, PHP= were closed due to inclement weather.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Indonesia's 10-year benchmark yield ID10YT=RR tick higher to 7.022%
** TSMC 2330.TW expects factories to maintain normal production
** Thailand says $13.8 bln handout scheme a vital boost for sluggish economy
Asia stock indexes and currencies at 0400 GMT | ||||||
COUNTRY | FX RIC | FX DAILY % | FX YTD % | INDEX | STOCKS DAILY % | STOCKS YTD % |
Japan | JPY= | +0.34 | -9.02 | .N225 | -0.59 | 17.59 |
China | CNY=CFXS | -0.01 | -2.44 | .SSEC | 0.10 | -1.90 |
India | INR=IN | -0.01 | -0.58 | .NSEI | -0.26 | 12.35 |
Indonesia | IDR= | -0.11 | -5.10 | .JKSE | -0.37 | 0.19 |
Malaysia | MYR= | -0.04 | -1.73 | .KLSE | -0.60 | 11.36 |
Philippines | PHP= | - | -5.22 | .PSI | - | -100.00 |
S.Korea | KRW=KFTC | +0.09 | -6.99 | .KS11 | -0.19 | 4.28 |
Singapore | SGD= | +0.01 | -1.95 | .STI | -0.08 | 6.73 |
Taiwan | TWD=TP | - | -6.40 | .TWII | - | 27.56 |
Thailand | THB=TH | +0.17 | -5.31 | .SETI | -0.28 | -8.33 |
Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Reporting by Sameer Manekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Stephen Coates
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