Canada inflation cools to 2.7%, bets rise for rate cut next week
Adds market bets, context, currency in paragraphs 2, 3, 11
By Ismail Shakil
OTTAWA, July 16 (Reuters) -Canada's annual inflation rate cooled a tick more than expected to 2.7% in June, largely due to softer growth in gas prices, while core inflation measures were marginally down, data showed on Tuesday.
The inflation reading is the last critical data point before the Bank of Canada's interest rate announcement next week and the easing of consumer prices in June bolsters hopes the bank would cut its key overnight rate by another 25 basis points.
Financial markets advanced their bets for a rate cut at the central bank's July 24 rate announcement to 88% from 82% previously before the data was released.0#BOCWATCH
Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast the inflation rate would come downto 2.8% from 2.9% in May, which was an unexpected rise.
Month-over-month, the consumer price index was down 0.1%, compared with a forecast for no change. This was the first deceleration in the monthly inflation rate since December, Statistics Canada data showed.
Tuesday's data showed that headline inflation was cooler than the BoC's 2.9% inflation forecast for the end of the first half of 2024.
The central bank, in forecasts released in April, said inflation is expected to gradually slow down to under 2.5% in the second half of 2024 before reaching the bank's 2% target in 2025.
The BoC will publish updated forecasts on July 24, along with its rate decision.
Last month, the bank became the first central bank amongst the G7 nations to trim borrowing costs by25 basis points, after holding it at a more than two-decade high for about a year.
The average of two of the Bank of Canada's preferred measures of underlying inflation - CPI-median and CPI-trim - eased slightly to 2.75% in June from 2.80% in May.
The Canadian dollar CAD= shed gains after the data with the loonie trading down 0.1% to 1.3695 against the U.S. dollar, or 73.02 U.S. cents.
The deceleration in headline inflation was largely attributable to a slowdown in gasoline prices, which rose at an annual rate of 0.4% in June, down from 5.6% in May. Excluding gas prices, the CPI rose 2.8% on an annual basis, Statscan said.
An increasein prices for food purchased from stores as well as a smaller decline for cellular services in June offset somecooling in prices.
Excluding food and energy, prices rose 2.9% in June, the sameas in May.
Service prices increased 4.8% annually in June, compared with a 4.6% rise in May, while goods inflation slowed to 0.3% from 1%.
Reporting by Ismail Shakil and Promit Mukherjee; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama
Mga Kaugnay na Asset
Pinakabagong Balita
Disclaimer: Ang mga kabilang sa XM Group ay nagbibigay lang ng serbisyo sa pagpapatupad at pag-access sa aming Online Trading Facility, kung saan pinapahintulutan nito ang pagtingin at/o paggamit sa nilalaman na makikita sa website o sa pamamagitan nito, at walang layuning palitan o palawigin ito, at hindi din ito papalitan o papalawigin. Ang naturang pag-access at paggamit ay palaging alinsunod sa: (i) Mga Tuntunin at Kundisyon; (ii) Mga Babala sa Risk; at (iii) Kabuuang Disclaimer. Kaya naman ang naturang nilalaman ay ituturing na pangkalahatang impormasyon lamang. Mangyaring isaalang-alang na ang mga nilalaman ng aming Online Trading Facility ay hindi paglikom, o alok, para magsagawa ng anumang transaksyon sa mga pinansyal na market. Ang pag-trade sa alinmang pinansyal na market ay nagtataglay ng mataas na lebel ng risk sa iyong kapital.
Lahat ng materyales na nakalathala sa aming Online Trading Facility ay nakalaan para sa layuning edukasyonal/pang-impormasyon lamang at hindi naglalaman – at hindi dapat ituring bilang naglalaman – ng payo at rekomendasyon na pangpinansyal, tungkol sa buwis sa pag-i-invest, o pang-trade, o tala ng aming presyo sa pag-trade, o alok para sa, o paglikom ng, transaksyon sa alinmang pinansyal na instrument o hindi ginustong pinansyal na promosyon.
Sa anumang nilalaman na galing sa ikatlong partido, pati na ang mga nilalaman na inihanda ng XM, ang mga naturang opinyon, balita, pananaliksik, pag-analisa, presyo, ibang impormasyon o link sa ibang mga site na makikita sa website na ito ay ibibigay tulad ng nandoon, bilang pangkalahatang komentaryo sa market at hindi ito nagtataglay ng payo sa pag-i-invest. Kung ang alinmang nilalaman nito ay itinuring bilang pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, kailangan mong isaalang-alang at tanggapin na hindi ito inilaan at inihanda alinsunod sa mga legal na pangangailangan na idinisenyo para maisulong ang pagsasarili ng pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, at dahil dito ituturing ito na komunikasyon sa marketing sa ilalim ng mga kaugnay na batas at regulasyon. Mangyaring siguruhin na nabasa at naintindihan mo ang aming Notipikasyon sa Hindi Independyenteng Pananaliksik sa Pag-i-invest at Babala sa Risk na may kinalaman sa impormasyong nakalagay sa itaas, na maa-access dito.
