BOJ hikes, Fed next
Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com
BOJ HIKES, FED NEXT
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Ankur Banerjee
Investors in Europe will wake up to a volatile yen after the BOJ raised interest rates in a long-awaited move and a growing divide in the AI world following contrasting earnings from tech bellwether Microsoft and chipmaker AMD.
The Bank of Japan hiked the overnight call rate target to 0.25% from 0-0.1% by a 7-2 vote and laid out a detailed quantitative tightening plan that will reduce monthly bond buying in several stages to around 3 trillion yen as of January-March 2026.
The yen and the Nikkei were initially choppy, with bank stocks in Tokyo spiking higher. The yen was last at 152.73 per dollar.
Having started July wallowing near 38-year lows of 161.96 per dollar, the yen JPY=EBS is now stalking a three-month high. The more than 5% rise in the month is the currency's first month of gains this year.
A slew of factors including likely official intervention, a sell-off in equities and a reassessment of popular carry trades have helped the yen rebound although the currency is still down 7.6% against the dollar for the year.
With the BOJ out of the way, investors will now be waiting for the Federal Reserve to indicate that rate cuts in the U.S. are around the corner even if the central bank stands pat on rates later on Wednesday.
The risk is, of course, that the Fed is unwilling to commit to rate cuts, with markets having already priced in 68 basis points of easing this year. FEDWATCH
But before that, the euro zone's inflation report will be the main economic focus for the day and comes after data on Tuesday showed the economy in the region grew slightly more than expected in the three months to June.
Meanwhile, quarterly results from major tech firms are highlighting a divide in the AI landscape as chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices AMD.O reported strong earnings and Samsung Electronics 005930.KS anticipated robust demand for chips in the second half of this year.
In contrast, Microsoft MSFT.O disappointed investors with its slow cloud growth suggesting that the payoff from the billions in AI investments may take longer than investors might have hoped.
Thus it remains to be seen whether chipmakers' strong results pull European tech shares .SX8P higher or if lacklustre earnings from mega stocks drag them lower.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
Economic events: Euro zone inflation for July
Earnings: Adidas, Danone and GSK
*****
Japan's history of yen interventions https://tmsnrt.rs/3MiQrHT
Mga Kaugnay na Asset
Pinakabagong Balita
Disclaimer: Ang mga kabilang sa XM Group ay nagbibigay lang ng serbisyo sa pagpapatupad at pag-access sa aming Online Trading Facility, kung saan pinapahintulutan nito ang pagtingin at/o paggamit sa nilalaman na makikita sa website o sa pamamagitan nito, at walang layuning palitan o palawigin ito, at hindi din ito papalitan o papalawigin. Ang naturang pag-access at paggamit ay palaging alinsunod sa: (i) Mga Tuntunin at Kundisyon; (ii) Mga Babala sa Risk; at (iii) Kabuuang Disclaimer. Kaya naman ang naturang nilalaman ay ituturing na pangkalahatang impormasyon lamang. Mangyaring isaalang-alang na ang mga nilalaman ng aming Online Trading Facility ay hindi paglikom, o alok, para magsagawa ng anumang transaksyon sa mga pinansyal na market. Ang pag-trade sa alinmang pinansyal na market ay nagtataglay ng mataas na lebel ng risk sa iyong kapital.
Lahat ng materyales na nakalathala sa aming Online Trading Facility ay nakalaan para sa layuning edukasyonal/pang-impormasyon lamang at hindi naglalaman – at hindi dapat ituring bilang naglalaman – ng payo at rekomendasyon na pangpinansyal, tungkol sa buwis sa pag-i-invest, o pang-trade, o tala ng aming presyo sa pag-trade, o alok para sa, o paglikom ng, transaksyon sa alinmang pinansyal na instrument o hindi ginustong pinansyal na promosyon.
Sa anumang nilalaman na galing sa ikatlong partido, pati na ang mga nilalaman na inihanda ng XM, ang mga naturang opinyon, balita, pananaliksik, pag-analisa, presyo, ibang impormasyon o link sa ibang mga site na makikita sa website na ito ay ibibigay tulad ng nandoon, bilang pangkalahatang komentaryo sa market at hindi ito nagtataglay ng payo sa pag-i-invest. Kung ang alinmang nilalaman nito ay itinuring bilang pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, kailangan mong isaalang-alang at tanggapin na hindi ito inilaan at inihanda alinsunod sa mga legal na pangangailangan na idinisenyo para maisulong ang pagsasarili ng pananaliksik sa pag-i-invest, at dahil dito ituturing ito na komunikasyon sa marketing sa ilalim ng mga kaugnay na batas at regulasyon. Mangyaring siguruhin na nabasa at naintindihan mo ang aming Notipikasyon sa Hindi Independyenteng Pananaliksik sa Pag-i-invest at Babala sa Risk na may kinalaman sa impormasyong nakalagay sa itaas, na maa-access dito.