• AMD stock not giving up on setting a new all-time high

• Positive momentum gains traction

• But 261.8% Fibonacci extension may be hard to overcome

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock hit a new intra-day record of 184.79 in January but the price has since been drifting lower, with a battle ground forming around the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the late December – early January selloff. This extension level at 178.85 is in the spotlight again today as it’s putting up a barrier against the latest upside attempt.

The technical indicators suggest there might be enough bullish momentum to push the price past this wall in the near term, as the %K and %D lines of the stochastic oscillator are rising and positively aligned, while the MACD has started to trend upwards again. It should be noted, though, that the narrowing Bollinger bands might be a sign of a possible trend reversal soon.

If today’s rally pauses at the 261.8% Fibo but the price manages to close above the short-term descending trendline, the bullish bias should stay intact. However, even if the 178.85 hurdle is overcome, the upper Bollinger band at 181.54 is another obstacle for the bulls before the January peak of 184.79 is revisited. Successfully conquering these levels would turn the focus to the 361.8% Fibonacci extension of 196.12.

To the downside, there is immediate support from the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), also the mid-Bollinger band, at 172.48. Lower down, the medium-term ascending trendline is a crucial support to watch, especially if the breach takes place around the 161.8% Fibonacci of 161.58. A break below this trendline would turn the short-term bias to negative, while additionally slipping below the 50-day SMA, currently at 152.61, would bring the medium-term uptrend into question as well.