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EURGBP


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FX options wrap - billions, value, GBP call, intervention, ZAR

BUZZ-FX options wrap - billions, value, GBP call, intervention, ZAR Trader option data from DTCC shows 12.5 billion euros of EUR/USD FX options , most around 1.0900, expiring on Monday and Tuesday, so no surprise to see a limited EUR/USD spot range around this level. Quite a busy data week which includes a European central bank policy announcement could increase volatility and add value to shorter-dated expiry EUR/USD options , where 1-week expiry implied volatility is currently trading lows sin
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Sterling steadies after biggest weekly jump in 2 months, eyes on CPI

Sterling steadies after biggest weekly jump in 2 months, eyes on CPI By Samuel Indyk LONDON, July 15 (Reuters) - Sterling steadied against the dollar on Monday after its biggest weekly jump since May last week as markets tempered expectations for an August rate cut from the Bank of England. Traders were now awaiting UK inflation data on Wednesday for more clues on interest rate policy.
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Value in EUR/USD options without the currency risk

BUZZ-COMMENT-Value in EUR/USD options without the currency risk July 15 (Reuters) - FX options can be utilized to trade FX volatility without direct exposure to currency risk. With the current low pricing of EUR/USD options, there might be an opportunity to find value during this busy data week, which also includes the European Central Bank policy announcement .
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Sterling may come off the boil if UK CPI cools

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sterling may come off the boil if UK CPI cools July 15 (Reuters) - The pound might cede some of its recent gains against the dollar, euro and other major currencies if UK inflation data for June comes in cooler than expected on Wednesday at 0600 GMT. Below-forecast UK inflation data would be a welcome boost for doves on the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, including Swati Dhingra , who want interest rates cut on Aug.
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FX options wrap - JPY success, big EUR, low FX volatility

BUZZ-FX options wrap - JPY success, big EUR, low FX volatility FX option implied volatility is at, or edging toward, long-term lows in the major currency pairs, reflecting broader risk appetite and a continued lack of FX volatility . Benchmark one-month expiry implied volatility trades three-year at 4.9 , while one-month GBP/USD is trading just above its post-Brexit lows of 5.5. Other currency pairs and maturity dates are following suit as markets head in to the traditional summer lull.
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Here's why HSBC is closing its short EUR/USD trade

BUZZ-COMMENT-Here's why HSBC is closing its short EUR/USD trade July 12 (Reuters) - On May 16 2024, HSBC opened a trade idea to sell EUR/USD at 1.0880 and target 1.0550 with a stop at 1.1050. They have since chosen to exit that trade close to entry and here's why. In a note to clients, HSBC FX research strategy analysts acknowledged that they are basically back to square one nearly two months after entering this trade, which says a lot.
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Sterling heads for best two-week run since November

Sterling heads for best two-week run since November LONDON, July 12 (Reuters) - The pound coursed towards its best two-week performance against the dollar in eight months on Friday, after data pointed to an improvement in UK growth, while the U.S. economy shows signs of fatigue. Action in the foreign exchange market in the last 24 hours has been dominated by the yen, which rose by the most since early May on Thursday after the Bank of Japan likely intervened to prop it up, just as the dollar wea
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Stand-out FX option expiries for the week ahead

BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option expiries for the week ahead July 12 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some huge strikes worth noting for Friday, July 12 , and for the week ahead. Stand-out EUR/USD strike expiries are on Monday at 1.0800 on 2.1 billion euros, between 1.0815-30 on 3.5 billion euros, 1.0850 on 1.1 billion euros, 1.0895-1.0900 on 4.6 billion euros and between
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FX options wrap - Low FX vol justified but JPY caught off guard

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Low FX vol justified but JPY caught off guard Low overnight expiry FX option implied volatility flagged expectations of a minimal reaction to the U.S. CPI data, which proved to be justified . That is except for USD/JPY, where the price action would suggest officials may have taken advantage of the weaker U.S. data to give the JPY an intervention-led boost .
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Sterling hits four-month high, markets await US inflation data

FOREX-Sterling hits four-month high, markets await US inflation data Updates at 1040 GMT By Sameer Manekar and Alun John SINGAPORE/LONDON, July 11 (Reuters) - Sterling hit a four-month high on Thursday as comments from Bank of England policymakers and better-than-forecast GDP data led traders to reduce bets on an August rate cut in Britain, while they awaited crucial U.S.
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Sterling hits four-month high, markets await US inflation data

FOREX-Sterling hits four-month high, markets await US inflation data Updates at 0840 GMT By Sameer Manekar and Alun John SINGAPORE/LONDON, July 11 (Reuters) - Sterling hit a four-month high on Thursday as comments from Bank of England policymakers and a better-than-forecast GDP data led traders to reduce bets on an August rate cut, while they awaited crucial U.S.
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August BoE hold could shoot pound towards new goals

BUZZ-COMMENT-August BoE hold could shoot pound towards new goals July 11 (Reuters) - Sterling could rack up further wins against its FX opposition if the Bank of England opts to keep interest rates unchanged for an eighth consecutive meeting next month, rather than cutting them. Hawks opposed to a BoE rate cut on Aug. 1 were heartened by Thursday's news that Britain's economy grew by a double-the-forecast 0.4% in May.
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Pound hits four-month high on upbeat British GDP, hawkish chief economist

UPDATE 1-Pound hits four-month high on upbeat British GDP, hawkish chief economist Updates at 0700 GMT, adds analyst comment, chief economist context LONDON, July 11 (Reuters) - Sterling GBP=D3 rose to its highest in four months on Thursday, after data showed the UK economy grew more quickly than expected in May, potentially lowering the chances of an August rate cut.
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FX options wrap - FX outlook, big profits, CPI risk, GBP 1.30

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook, big profits, CPI risk, GBP 1.30 FX option implied volatility remains under pressure across all currency pairs and maturit y dates, with a lack of FX realised volatility set to be further impeded by the typical summer lull . EUR/USD is a fine example for the broader FX outlook, with its benchmark 1-month expiry implied volatility testing 3-year lows at 4.9 .
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Sterling steady at one-month highs as Powell remarks dent dollar

Sterling steady at one-month highs as Powell remarks dent dollar By Amanda Cooper LONDON, July 10 (Reuters) - The pound held near one-month highs on Wednesday, supported by the belief among investors that U.S. interest rates are set to fall sooner than many had predicted, which dented the dollar. Two Bank of England policymakers speak later in the day, which may offer the pound more near-term direction.
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Asia shares dip; New Zealand dollar firms ahead of RBNZ

GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia shares dip; New Zealand dollar firms ahead of RBNZ By Rae Wee and Sameer Manekar SINGAPORE, July 10 (Reuters) - Asian stocks edged marginally lower on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell offered little hints on the timing of U.S. rate cuts expected later this year, even as he signalled greater confidence that inflation was coming to heel.
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FX options wrap - Fed risk, appeal, Brexit, JPY digital, RBNZ

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Fed risk, appeal, Brexit, JPY digital, RBNZ FX option implied volatility continues to drift lower amid a lack of FX realised volatility, which should serve to enhance the appeal of FX carry trades . Benchmark 1-month expiry EUR/USD implied volatility eyes 3-year lows at 4.9 4.9 and 1-month GBP/USD eyes its post Brexit lows from May and March at 5.5. Even 1-month expiry USD/JPY implied volatility has fallen from 10.4 to 8.8 in a week as spot is drawn to alleged 161.00 digit
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Sterling holds near one-month peak in wake of UK election

Sterling holds near one-month peak in wake of UK election By Harry Robertson LONDON, July 9 (Reuters) - The pound was little changed on Tuesday, down very slightly from Monday's one-month peak as investors weighed up new political landscapes in Britain and France . Sterling GBP=D3 was unchanged from the previous day at $1.2804, down from Monday's one-month high of $1.2846, with traders also waiting for testimony from U.S.
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FX options wrap - FX signals, AUD up, EUR down, expensive

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX signals, AUD up, EUR down, expensive USD weakness and risk appetite have been weighing on FX option implied volatility and there is little to change that narrative unless Thursday's U.S CPI data beats expectations. EUR/USD implied volatility has almost erased all of the sharp gains seen after the French election was first called in mid June, while risk reversals contracts have given back most of their additional risk premium for EUR puts over calls.
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Sterling threatening to better its 2024 high

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sterling threatening to better its 2024 high July 8 (Reuters) - Investors have backed the pound since last week's Labour party election win and coupled with surprisingly soft U.S. payroll data Friday GBP has gained 0.4% versus the dollar, bringing the 1.2894 March 8 and 2024 high into view. Sterling completed a seven-day uninterrupted bull run versus the dollar Friday and remains the best performing currency versus the U.S.
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