Trump Media primed for short squeeze days before U.S. election

Reuters

Trump Media primed for short squeeze days before U.S. election

2024 10월 30 일, 오전 11:03 GMT

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TRUMP MEDIA PRIMED FOR SHORT SQUEEZE DAYS BEFORE U.S. ELECTION

Trump Media & Technology Group DJT.O, largely owned by Donald Trump, is primed for a short squeeze as the U.S. presidential race enters its final stretch, analytics firm S3 Partners said.

Market analysts have said shares of Trump Media, which operates the Truth Social app, are highly correlated to bets on Donald Trump's return to the White House.

"With high short interest and election-driven volatility, DJT faces a potential squeeze risk as short sellers contend with substantial losses," analysts at S3 Partners said in a note.

Trump Media is a low float stock with only 77 million or about 39% of shares publicly available for trading. Of those short interest, or bets on a decline in shares, remain high at 14% of the free float, S3 said.

The stock has more than tripled in October and has surged nearly 350% from its late September lows.

The stock's 200% increase has caused "significant losses" for those shorting DJT, totalling about $322 million, the analysts said.

The options market are currently pricing in a potential move of 50% in either direction around the election, per S3.

"If Trump were to win, there could be a substantial upward movement in DJT, potentially triggering a squeeze. Conversely, ... DJT could become worthless if Trump were to lose," according to S3.

Trump owns about 57% of the company, making his stake worth over $5.9 billion as of Tuesday's close. An insider sales lock-up expired last month, meaning he is free to sell his shares.

(Medha Singh)

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