Stocks rise on lift from bank earnings, US yields dip

Reuters

Stocks rise on lift from bank earnings, US yields dip

2024 10월 11, 오후 7:23 GMT

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U.S. stocks gain as banks lead after earnings

Bets for quarter point Fed rate cut intact after PPI data

Oil slips but set for weekly gain

Updates to mid-afternoon

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK, Oct 11 (Reuters) -Global stocks rose on Friday, powered by U.S. bank earnings, on trackfor a weekly gain while U.S. Treasury yields dipped afterinflation and consumer confidence reports solidified expectationsfor the path of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

The U.S. producer price index for final demand wasunchanged in September, slightly below the forecast of economists polled by Reuters for a gain of 0.1%. It followedan unrevised 0.2% increase in August, indicating inflation continues to cool and giving the Fed leeway to continue cutting interest rates.

In the 12 months through September, the PPI increased 1.8% versus the 1.6% estimate.

On Thursday, theconsumer price index turned out to beslightly higher than expected as goods costs increased.

The University of Michigan's preliminary reading on the overall index of consumer sentiment came in at 68.9 this month, compared with a final reading of 70.1 in September and below the 70.8 estimate as high prices discouraged shopping.

On Wall Street, U.S. stocks advanced, with the Dow and S&P 500 hitting record highs, asbank shares .SPXBK jumped nearly 5% at the start of the quarterly earnings season.JP Morgan JPM.N rose 5.3% and Wells Fargo WFC.N shot up 6.3%.

"As we get to the latter part of this year and into next year, you're going to see earnings growth in the broader market and not just a small group of stocks and what the banks are telling us today is that's happening," said Craig Sterling, head of U.S. equity research at Amundi U.S. in Boston.

"Banks have been as big a question mark as anybody - the level of rates, the yield curve, capital markets activity, et cetera - and two of our biggest banks today are saying well everything's going to be pretty good."

S&P 500 earnings growth is expected to be 4.9%, LSEG data showed, down slightly from 5.2% at the start of October.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 371.94 points, or 0.88%, to 42,826.06, the S&P 500 .SPX advanced34.36 points, or 0.59%, to 5,814.41 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC climbed63.04 points, or 0.34%, to 18,345.09.

Gains were capped, however, by an 8.2% drop in Tesla TSLA.O shares as the electric vehicle maker promised much at itsrobotaxi event withfew practical details.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS rose 0.55%, to 852.84and was on track for its fourth weekly gain in five weeks. In Europe, the STOXX 600 .STOXX index closed up 0.55% as investors shifted their focus to China's fiscal stimulus, corporate earnings seasons and the European Central Bank's (ECB) expected rate cut next week.

Betsthat the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at its November meeting have been choppy in recent sessions, and currently standat 89.2%,with markets pricing in a 10.8% chance of no change in rates, CME's FedWatch Tool showed.

Markets had been fully pricing in a cut of at least 25 basis points,with a chance for another outsized 50 bps cut last week, until a strong U.S. payrolls report prompted investors to dial back expectations.

Comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other central bank officials have signaled a shift in focus from combating high inflation to labor market stability.

On Thursday, several policymakers said the data gives the Fed room to continue cutting rates, but Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic told the Wall Street Journal he was open to skipping a rate cut.

U.S. yields were choppy around the data asinvestors gauged the Fed's rate path before heading lower. The benchmark U.S. 10-year note yield US10YT=RR fell 1.7 basis points to 4.077% while the 2-year note US2YT=RR yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, declined 5.8 basis points to 3.941%.

The 10-year yield is up about 11 bps for the week, on pace for its fourth straight weekly advance. The 2-year yield is nearly 7bps on the week, on track for a second straight weekly climb.

In currency markets, the dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, shed 0.03% to 102.86, with the euro EUR= up 0.06% at $1.0942. The greenback is up 0.4% on the week, on track for a second straight weekly gain after four straight weeks of declines.

Against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar strengthened 0.34% to 149.06. Sterling GBP= strengthened 0.13% to $1.3075 but remained near a one-month low after data showed Britain's economy grew in August after two consecutive months of stagnation.

Crude prices slipped, but were set for a second straight weekly climb, as investors weighed the impact of hurricane damage on U.S. demand against any broad supply disruption if Israel attacks Iranian oil sites.

U.S. crude CLc1 fell 0.36% to $75.58 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 fell to $79.18 per barrel, down 0.28% on the day.

World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Annual change in US Producer Price Index https://reut.rs/3BGtoa8

Reporting by Chuck Mikolajczak, additional reporting by Lisa Mattackal and Pranav Kashyap in Bengaluru; editing by Jonathan Oatis and Richard Chang

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