Volatile Mexican peso rises slightly against dollar as US votes

Reuters

Volatile Mexican peso rises slightly against dollar as US votes

2024 11월 5, 오후 4:43 GMT

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Updates value of peso

MEXICO CITY, Nov 5 (Reuters) -Mexico's peso rose against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday after earlier leading losses among currencies as the U.S. election injected volatility into the market.

The currency MXN= traded at 20.0590 pesos per greenback, or up 0.15% before 2 p.m. local time, as traders brace for more fluctuations as the United States enters its final hours of voting in a hotly contested presidential election.

The morning hit to the peso was seen as traders pricing in the possibility that Republican Donald Trump could defeat Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. Trump has vowed to impose new tariffs on Mexican exports.

A Trump victory could pressure the currency to levels around 20.50 pesos per dollar, while a Harris win would likely push the currency to strengthen to around 19 pesos per dollar, according to Gerardo Copca, a MetAnalisis consultancy analyst.

But if the outcome of the election is disputed, volatility would deepen, he added.

Earlier this year, the value of the local Mexican currency was battered after the ruling Morena party of leftist President Claudia Sheinbaum secured large majorities in Congress following June's general election in Latin America's second-biggest economy.

The congressional majorities paved the way for lawmakers to pass a controversial judicial overhaul in September that has provoked market jitters, with some investors doubting the safety of their investments under a more politicized judiciary.

Officials in the United States, by far Mexico's top trade partner, have also criticized the overhaul.

Also on Tuesday, Mexico's top court began a debate over the constitutionality of the judicial reform.

The peso has shed 18.5% of its value so far this year against the U.S. dollar.

Reporting by Noe Torres; Editing by David Alire Garcia and Lisa Shumaker

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