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Wall Street muted as investors look to Fed after stocks recovery



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Updates with US labor data news in paragraph 8, updates prices

Wall Street stocks inch up

Weak dollar lifts euro above $1.11 for first time this year

Oil steadier, gold holds near record high

All eyes on Fed's Powell on Friday

JD.com shares down as Walmart seeks to sell stake

By Lawrence Delevingne and Huw Jones

Aug 21 (Reuters) -Global shares idled on Wednesday after a lengthy rebound propelled them towards recent record highs, and as investors awaited clues on interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve on Friday to decide their next move.

Oil LCOc1 was steady after a run of declines driven by expectations of reduced Chinese demand, while dollar weakness on the prospect of rate cuts kept gold near Tuesday's record high.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 0.03%, to 40,847.85, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.28%, to 5,612.60 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC gained 0.34%, to 17,877.54.

The MSCI All Country index for global stocks .MIWD00000PUS was little changed, still near its mid-July record high and up 13.5% for the year.

In Europe, the STOXX .STOXX index of 600 companies was up 0.27%, nearing its all-time high reached on June 7.

Stocks have been on a roller-coaster ride this month after investors took fright following U.S. jobs data that raised the prospect of recession in the world's biggest economy.

Those worries have given way to bets on a soft landing cushioned by cuts in U.S. borrowing costs expected to start in September.

U.S. employers added far fewer jobs than originally reported in the year through March, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, underscoring the growing concerns the Federal Reserve has about the health of the labor market as it gears up to start cutting interest rates in September.

Fed meeting minutes are also expected later on Wednesday to reinforce a dovish stance ahead of a speech from the central bank's chair Jerome Powell on Friday.

"We expect the Fed chairman to continue to signal that a first rate cut is on the cards for September. Yet there is a chance that investors could be disappointed by the comments, if there are any references to the stickiness of inflation," said Guy Stear, head of developed markets strategy at Amundi Investment Institute.

Interest-rate futures have fully priced in a 25-basis-point U.S. rate cut next month, with a one-in-three chance of a 50-bps cut. Almost 100 bps in cuts are priced in for this year, and another 100 bps next year. FEDWATCH

A potentially unique situation beckons with material rate cuts without a recession, unlike the backdrop for cutting borrowing costs in five of the past seven cutting cycles, said Ross Yarrow, U.S. equities managing director at investment bank Baird.

"If we get a scenario where the Fed is cutting, inflation is falling and employment continues to rise, it really does start to look like a Goldilocks scenario," Yarrow said.

"So I think the rebound in equities and their prospects from here are actually pretty good," Yarrow said.

Markets may still be constrained, said Sameer Samana, senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

"We see markets are range-bound until after the November (U.S.) elections," Samana wrote in an email.




STOCKS SLIDE IN ASIA

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS fell 0.34%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HIS slid 0.7% with JD.com 9618.HK dropping 8.7% as top shareholder Walmart WMD.N moved to sell its large stake.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 fell 0.3% as a recovery from its collapse in early August runs into resistance around the 38,000 level.

The falling dollar has spurred gold to record highs and returned the yen JPY=EBS to 145.75 per dollar following last month's 38-year trough.

The euro EUR=EBS is also up nearly 3% for August to date and, at $1.112, is at its highest since early December. FRX/

The mood kept bond markets supported and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields US10YT=RR were little changed at 3.801%.

Oil prices were muted on Wednesday, holding ground after steady sell-offs. U.S. crude CLc1 lost 0.11% to $73.09 a barrel and Brent LCOc1 rose to $77.25 per barrel, up 0.06% on the day.

Dalian iron ore prices climbed more than 4% after a Bloomberg report that China plans to allow local governments to buy unsold homes in the latest property-market support measure.

China is the world's biggest steel consumer and markets are sensitive to any signs that construction there could revive.

Gold prices XAU= hovered around $2,500 an ounce, just below record levels touched on Tuesday.


World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

U.S. stocks back up to levels seen before early August selloff https://tmsnrt.rs/4dT7Pkx


Reporting by Lawrence Delevingne in Boston and Huw Jones in London; additional reporting by Tom Westbrook in Singapore. Editing by Kim Coghill, Bernadette Baum, Christina Fincher, Barbara Lewis and Rod Nickel

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets
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