Philippine peso leads decline among weak Asian FX; US inflation data awaited
Philippine stocks hit over 1-1/2 year high
US dollar strengthens for third straight session
US inflation data due on Wednesday
By Roushni Nair and Sneha Kumar
Sept 10 (Reuters) -Asian currencies were subdued on Tuesday, with the Philippine peso leading losses, as investors took a cautious stance ahead of a highly anticipated U.S. inflation report that could trigger a substantial interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
The Philippine peso PHP= lost as much as 0.5% by 0316 GMT, declining for a third straight session. The South Korean won KRW=KFTC and the Taiwanese dollar TWD=TP followed suit to give up 0.3% each.
The U.S. dollar index =USD, which measures the currency against six major peers, was at 101.69 after rising 0.4% on Monday.
The index has traded higher ever since a mixed labor report on Friday stoked uncertainty about whether the Fed would opt for a regular 25 basis point rate cut or a larger 50 basis point reduction at its Sept. 17-18 policy meeting, with investors turning to Wednesday's U.S. inflation data for more cues.
"If that's the case (higher-than-expected inflation), I would think recent outperforming EM Asia FX like THB could be (more) negatively affected than most due to a high correlation with not only the USD but also the gold price," Poon Panichpibool, a markets strategist at Krung Thai Bank said.
Back in the Philippines, July imports rose 7.2% from a year earlier, resulting in the largest trade deficit since a $4.9 billion shortfall in March 2023, which could deplete the country's foreign exchange reserves and increase demand for foreign currencies, putting downward pressure on the peso.
The Malaysian ringgit MYR=, however, added 0.3% and was the outlier among its peers after the country's industrial production rose 5.3% in July and came in better than markets had predicted. The share market in Kuala Lumpur .KLSE rose 0.4%.
Equities in Southeast Asia clocked marginal gains, with those in Manila .PSI rising as much as 1.8% to their highest since Jan. 24, 2023. The benchmark has traded higher for the past four sessions.
Prospects of another rate cut by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) and the Fed's dovish pivot have driven the country's main stock index closer to the 7,000 mark.
Shares in Jakarta .JKSE and Singapore .STI added 0.4% each, while those in Bangkok .SETI lost 0.5%. Equities in Singapore touched their highest level since late May 2018.
Imports in China, Southeast Asia's largest trading partner, fell short of expectations due to weak domestic demand in an economy that has failed to fire amid a prolonged property sector downturn. The Chinese yuan CNY=CFXS was last down 0.4%, and equities in Shanghai .SSEC dipped 0.5%.
With China's exports growing by 8.7%, there are concerns Chinese goods could hurt the export prospects of countries such as Thailand at the same time as they may face difficulties exporting to China given its weak demand, Panichpibool said.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Philippines trade deficit at $4.9 billion in July
** Malaysia end-August palm oil stocks up 7.34%, MPOB says
Asia stock indexes and currencies at 01519 GMT | ||||||
COUNTRY | FX RIC | FX DAILY % | FX YTD % | INDEX | STOCKS DAILY % | STOCKS YTD % |
Japan | JPY= | -0.06 | -1.54 | .N225 | 0.39 | 9.22 |
China | CNY=CFXS | -0.06 | -0.29 | .SSEC | -0.53 | -8.50 |
India | INR=IN | -0.01 | -0.90 | .NSEI | 0.26 | 15.04 |
Indonesia | IDR= | +0.05 | -0.31 | .JKSE | 0.38 | 6.31 |
Malaysia | MYR= | +0.25 | +5.35 | .KLSE | 0.34 | 13.92 |
Philippines | PHP= | -0.30 | -1.92 | .PSI | 1.54 | 9.95 |
S.Korea | KRW=KFTC | -0.30 | -4.24 | .KS11 | -0.22 | -4.70 |
Singapore | SGD= | -0.02 | +1.04 | .STI | 0.40 | 8.34 |
Taiwan | TWD=TP | -0.30 | -4.51 | .TWII | 0.01 | 17.93 |
Thailand | THB=TH | -0.10 | +0.89 | .SETI | -0.03 | 1.05 |
Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E
Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Reporting by Roushni Nair and Sneha Kumar in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonali Paul
면책조항: XM Group 회사는 체결 전용 서비스와 온라인 거래 플랫폼에 대한 접근을 제공하여, 개인이 웹사이트에서 또는 웹사이트를 통해 이용 가능한 콘텐츠를 보거나 사용할 수 있도록 허용합니다. 이에 대해 변경하거나 확장할 의도는 없습니다. 이러한 접근 및 사용에는 다음 사항이 항상 적용됩니다: (i) 이용 약관, (ii) 위험 경고, (iii) 완전 면책조항. 따라서, 이러한 콘텐츠는 일반적인 정보에 불과합니다. 특히, 온라인 거래 플랫폼의 콘텐츠는 금융 시장에서의 거래에 대한 권유나 제안이 아닙니다. 금융 시장에서의 거래는 자본에 상당한 위험을 수반합니다.
온라인 거래 플랫폼에 공개된 모든 자료는 교육/정보 목적으로만 제공되며, 금융, 투자세 또는 거래 조언 및 권고, 거래 가격 기록, 금융 상품 또는 원치 않는 금융 프로모션의 거래 제안 또는 권유를 포함하지 않으며, 포함해서도 안됩니다.
이 웹사이트에 포함된 모든 의견, 뉴스, 리서치, 분석, 가격, 기타 정보 또는 제3자 사이트에 대한 링크와 같이 XM이 준비하는 콘텐츠 뿐만 아니라, 제3자 콘텐츠는 일반 시장 논평으로서 "현재" 기준으로 제공되며, 투자 조언으로 여겨지지 않습니다. 모든 콘텐츠가 투자 리서치로 해석되는 경우, 투자 리서치의 독립성을 촉진하기 위해 고안된 법적 요건에 따라 콘텐츠가 의도되지 않았으며, 준비되지 않았다는 점을 인지하고 동의해야 합니다. 따라서, 관련 법률 및 규정에 따른 마케팅 커뮤니케이션이라고 간주됩니다. 여기에서 접근할 수 있는 앞서 언급한 정보에 대한 비독립 투자 리서치 및 위험 경고 알림을 읽고, 이해하시기 바랍니다.