Malaysia economy likely grew at its fastest pace in six quarters in Q2

Reuters

Malaysia economy likely grew at its fastest pace in six quarters in Q2

2024 8월 14 일, 오전 12:05 GMT

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reuters://realtime/verb=Open/url=cpurl://apps.cp./Apps/econ-polls?RIC=MYGDP%3DECI poll data

Malaysia's GDP seen expanding 5.8% in Q2 vs 4.2% in Q1 2024

Q2 GDP data due on Aug. 16

By Rahul Trivedi

BENGALURU, Aug 14 (Reuters) -Malaysia's economy likely grew at its fastest pace in 18 months in the second quarter of 2024, thanks to a strong rebound in exports and higher household consumption, according to a Reuters poll of economists.

The Aug. 7-13 poll of 20 economists predicted Southeast Asia's third-largest economy expanded 5.8% in the April-June quarter, in line with advance estimates released in July, compared with the same period a year earlier.

That would mark the fastest growth since Q4 2022, with forecasts for the data due on Aug. 16 ranging from 5.0% to 6.8%.

"A downturn in exports, especially those for technology and electronics products that Malaysia has been suffering since last year and into the early part of this year, seems to be bottoming out and ... we're starting to get that pick up into the second quarter of this year," said Brian Tan, senior regional economist at Barclays.

Exports rose 9.1% in April and 7.3% in May, respectively, before moderating to 1.7% in June on a year-on-year basis. Government data showed exports grew 3.9% in the first half of 2024.

Malaysian exports, which heavily rely on Chinese demand, are likely to experience a boost from renewed economic ties between the two nations.

"We continue to hold an optimistic view on Malaysia's cyclical growth outlook, and will watch for investment trends, given increased investors' interest especially on the foreign direct investment front," wrote Chua Han Teng, economist at DBS.

Economic growth was expected to average 4.4% in 2024, a separate Reuters poll showed, which was in line with Bank Negara Malaysia's estimate of 4.0% to 5.0%.

Reporting by Rahul Trivedi; Polling by Susobhan Sarkar and Alison Williams

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