Dollar edges higher on yen after Tokyo's likely intervention last week

Reuters

Dollar edges higher on yen after Tokyo's likely intervention last week

2024 7월 16 일, 오전 11:43 GMT

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Updates prices at 1120 GMT

By Ankur Banerjee and Alun John

SINGAPORE/LONDON, July 16 (Reuters) -The dollar regained some lost ground on the Japanese yen on Tuesday even as traders remained waryof further intervention by Tokyo to prop up their currency after data showed they likely stepped into markets late last week.

The dollar was last up 0.3% on the yen at 158.44. It had been trading just shy of 162 yen last week before sudden falls, which took it to as low as 157.16 on Thursday. JPY=EBS

Bank of Japan data released on Tuesday suggested Tokyo may have spent 2.14 trillion yen ($13.5 billion) by stepping into the money market on Friday.

Combined with the estimated amount spent a day earlier, Japan is likely to have bought nearly 6 trillion yen via intervention last week.

Japanese authorities have made it standard practice to not confirm whether they have intervened, but Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi said Japan stands ready to take all possible steps to counter excessively volatile currency moves.

Moves in Europe were fairly calm as traders were nervous about placing too big bets on sterling ahead of crucial British inflation data due on Wednesday and on theeuro, with a European Central Bank (ECB)meeting on Thursday.

The pound was last flat at $1.29685, having hit a near one-year high just shy of $1.3 a day earlier. GBP=D3

The euro too was little changed at $1.09003 EUR=EBS, just shy of a four-month high touched on Monday, having erased losses from the past few weeks when it came under pressure from uncertainty over theFrench election.

The ECBis expected to hold rates, but attention will be on comments from PresidentChristine Lagarde on timingof the next rate cut.

Markets are pricing in 48 basis points (bps) more cutsfrom the ECB this year, after it cut rates by 25 bps in June.

"The key development, I think, will be if Lagarde hints at the prospect of another cut coming at the September meeting," said Stuart Cole, chief economist at Equiti Capital.

He said though this was unlikely as "the ECB is looking for more signs that pricing pressures are abating before being confident enough to cut again".

"Of course, what does make it easier for the ECB to cut is the growing likelihood of the Fed cutting in September too."

On Monday, Federal Reserve chair JeromePowell said the second quarter's three U.S. inflation readings "add somewhat to confidence" that the pace of price increases is returning to the Fed's targetin a sustainable way.

The comments, likely Powell's last until his press conference after a Fed meeting set for July 30 and 31, shifted rate cut expectations.

Markets now anticipate 68 bps of easing this year, with a rate cut in September fully priced in, the CME FedWatch tool showed.

U.S. retail sales for June due later in the day could further guide expectations for the Fed. They are expected to show a decline of 0.3% month-on-month.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar AUD=D3 was 0.26% lower at $0.6742, off a six-month high touched last week, and the Swiss franc was steady at 0.8956 per dollar and 0.9764 to the euro. EURCHF=EBS, EUR=EBS

Cryptocurrencies, along with shares of companies that could benefit from a Trump presidency, jumped on Monday after an assassination bid on the Republican candidate boosted expectations that he would win the November election.

Bitcoin BTC= and Ether ETH= eased slightly on Tuesday.

World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

Reporting by Alun John in London and Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Clarence Fernandez, Ros Russell and Arun Koyyur

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