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A fragile reversal for Norway's crown

BUZZ-COMMENT-A fragile reversal for Norway's crown Sept 17 (Reuters) - A direction change is underway for NOK/SEK but the bullish reversal from the key 0.9500 support point lacks conviction and the market reaction to this Thursday's Norges Bank meeting could be pivotal. Not a classic trend reversal but back-to-back doji candles, Sept. 10-11, set the stage for a move higher and from a 0.9539 one-month low the Viking cross has removed a minimum correction level at 0.9606 and climbed above the 10-d
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Looking for value in the Viking cross

BUZZ-COMMENT-Looking for value in the Viking cross Sept 13 (Reuters) - The decline in NOK/SEK since May's 2024 high of 1.0125 is nearing a key support point and, with interest rate differentials still favouring the NOK, a bullish opportunity may present itself in the coming sessions. Apart from a brief dip below the support level in December 2023, the 0.9500 support point has held the market since November 2020. A drop to 0.9505 in early August found bids and the subsequent rebound took the Viki
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Sweden's crown vulnerable but showing resilience

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sweden's crown vulnerable but showing resilience Sept 12 (Reuters) - The Swedish crown remains vulnerable but, despite a bearish backdrop, is beginning to show signs of resilience versus the euro, helped by technical factors . Falling Swedish inflation, 1.2% y/y CPIF in August, a deteriorating labour market and interest rate cuts abroad continue to support the Riksbank's dovish stance.
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US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut

FOREX-US dollar mixed after inflation report supports smaller Fed rate cut US core inflation rises 0.3% in August US dollar hits three-week high versus Swiss franc Dollar falls to lowest level since late December Fed funds futures lower odds of 50-basis-point cut this month Updates as of 3:27 p.m. ET/1927 GMT By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Chibuike Oguh NEW YORK, Sept 11 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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Sweden's crown in danger despite cloud support

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sweden's crown in danger despite cloud support Sept 10 (Reuters) - Following a EUR/SEK trend reversal on Aug. 30 the Swedish crown has been under increasing pressure and the outlook is dimming. The daily EUR/SEK chart is showing potential for back-to-back Ichimoku cloud failures and the cloud base line, 11.4615, has slowed the SEK fall. However, the market has broken above the 200-day moving average and eyes the 100-day average, currently at 11.4838. A close inside the Ichimoku clou
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Dollar recovers as traders scale back bets of big Fed rate cut

FOREX-Dollar recovers as traders scale back bets of big Fed rate cut Dollar firms against yen after four-day decline Investors focus on upcoming U.S. CPI, ECB decision Pound slides to over two-week low Updated at 1150 GMT By Rae Wee and Sruthi Shankar Sept 9 (Reuters) - The dollar rallied against the yen and other major currencies on Monday as investors looked ahead to U.S.
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Sweden's Riksbank could surprise the market

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sweden's Riksbank could surprise the market Sept 9 (Reuters) - A half-point interest rate cut shouldn’t be ruled out when the Riksbank holds its next policy meeting on Sept 24-25. Swedish inflation is low, core prices rose 1.7% in July - below the 2.0% Riksbank target, and a further drop in CPIF is expected when August inflation data is released later this week.
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Traders may be gambling on the wrong currency

BUZZ-COMMENT-Traders may be gambling on the wrong currency Sept 3 (Reuters) - The dollar index, which is 58 percent euro, may lead traders into the wrong position, and that may have happened in August when speculators established the biggest bet on euro rising so far this year. Where a drop for the index mainly depends on the euro rising, many of those who have sold it are expecting the dollar to drop, and have little interest in the path of the single currency.
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A dollar on the defensive brings relief to policymakers globally

RPT-GRAPHIC-A dollar on the defensive brings relief to policymakers globally Repeats story published on Monday with no changes to text By Alun John and Karin Strohecker LONDON, Sept 2 (Reuters) - The dollar fell more than 2% against other major currencies in August, marking its biggest monthly drop this year and providing some relief to economies that have suffered under the weight of dollar strength.
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A dollar on the defensive brings relief to policymakers globally

RPT-GRAPHIC-A dollar on the defensive brings relief to policymakers globally Repeats story published on Monday with no changes to text By Alun John and Karin Strohecker LONDON, Sept 2 (Reuters) - The dollar fell more than 2% against other major currencies in August, marking its biggest monthly drop this year and providing some relief to economies that have suffered under the weight of dollar strength.
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A dollar on the defensive brings relief to policymakers globally

GRAPHIC-A dollar on the defensive brings relief to policymakers globally By Alun John and Karin Strohecker LONDON, Sept 2 (Reuters) - The dollar fell more than 2% against other major currencies in August, marking its biggest monthly drop this year and providing some relief to economies that have suffered under the weight of dollar strength. The dollar's downtrend, which has long been anticipated, is driven by expectations that the U.S.
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Swedish crown on course to re-visit 2024 highs

BUZZ-COMMENT-Swedish crown on course to re-visit 2024 highs Aug 29 (Reuters) - A combination of bearish technical pointers for EUR/SEK and a market beginning to entertain the idea of a half-point rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve in September could help send the crown back to levels around 11.00-11.1000. A mixed bag of Swedish data, released early in the Thursday session, may have stalled the EUR/SEK fall around the 11.3130 level (new bear trend low) but the cross remains bearish on the day
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FX traders may stretch USD's elastic too far

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX traders may stretch USD's elastic too far Aug 28 (Reuters) - FX traders may stretch USD's elastic too far, selling too many dollars while hoping that the U.S. Federal Reserve embarks on an unlikely series of interest rate reductions that see an easing cycle almost completed 11 months after it has begun. If expectations for the U.S. interest rate are overcooked and therefore resulting selling of the dollar overdone, the elastic that has been stretched will snap back and that's goi
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Three more Riksbank meetings and three more rate cuts

BUZZ-COMMENT-Three more Riksbank meetings and three more rate cuts Aug 28 (Reuters) - The stage is set for further cuts in Swedish interest rates before the year is out, with the three remaining policy meetings expected to deliver a total reduction of 75 basis points, taking the key rate to 2.75%. Swedish inflation is under control, there are signs of weakness in the labour market and the crown is benefitting from lower global interest rates.
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Sweden sees slower growth this year, plans spending boost

UPDATE 2-Sweden sees slower growth this year, plans spending boost Government cuts 2024 GDP forecast to 0.8% from 1.4% Sees room for 60 bln SEK in extra spending in 2025 Budget to be published on Sept. 19 Adds finance minister comment in paragraph 4 STOCKHOLM, Aug 22 (Reuters) - The Swedish government on Thursday lowered its forecast for GDP growth this year and said it would boost spending in its budget for 2025 to kick-start economic growth.
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Those selling dollars may have gone too far

BUZZ-COMMENT-Those selling dollars may have gone too far Aug 22 (Reuters) - There is a significant chance of a dollar rally to correct a stretched drop that has been fuelled by traders selling short before key levels are broken. Those selling dollars hope that a series of U.S. interest rate cuts starting in September drive the dollar lower, and are preparing for an easing cycle involving the U.S.
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Dollar hits 7-month low before Powell, Swedish crown volatile after rate cut

REFILE-FOREX-Dollar hits 7-month low before Powell, Swedish crown volatile after rate cut Corrects spelling of Kamala in paragraph 15 By Stefano Rebaudo Aug 20 (Reuters) - The dollar hit a fresh seven-month low on Tuesday with traders bracing for comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell due on Friday, which could provide clues about the speed of the U.S.
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Dollar nears 7-month low ahead of Powell, Swedish crown falls after rate cut

FOREX-Dollar nears 7-month low ahead of Powell, Swedish crown falls after rate cut Recasts lead, adds comments and background in paragraphs 3-6, 8-9 and 19 By Ankur Banerjee and Stefano Rebaudo Aug 20 (Reuters) - The dollar wobbled near a seven-month low on Tuesday on bets the U.S. central bank will start cutting interest rates from next month, with traders bracing for comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday.
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Euro climbs to seven-month highs ahead of US inflation test

FOREX-Euro climbs to seven-month highs ahead of US inflation test Dollar on the backfoot Pound eases after inflation data Kiwi slides on rate cut Updated at 1127 GMT By Sruthi Shankar Aug 14 (Reuters) - The euro hit a seven-month peak against the dollar on Wednesday, as traders bet U.S. consumer prices data later in the day will keep the Federal Reserve on course to cut interest rates next month.
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Promising start to August for the Swedish crown

BUZZ-COMMENT-Promising start to August for the Swedish crown Aug 1 (Reuters) - A four-day recovery versus the euro and despite a mixed Swedish PMI report for July, there is potential for a trend reversal in EUR/SEK through August. A bearish harami candlestick on July 26 set the ball rolling. The harami reversal signal is made up of two candles, a small real body candle holds within the prior session's much larger real body.
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