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Australian, NZ dollars climb on yen, but lose ground to dollar

Australian, NZ dollars climb on yen, but lose ground to dollar SYDNEY, July 16 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars climbed on the yen on Tuesday after recent declines, although they lost further ground to the greenback as markets continued to digest the prospect of a Donald Trump victory in the White House. The Aussie strengthened 0.2% to 106.98 yen AUDJPY=R , rebounding for the first time in four sessions as the suspected intervention from Tokyo last week disrupted the popular ca
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Australia, NZ dollars fall as Trump shooting galvanises greenback

Australia, NZ dollars fall as Trump shooting galvanises greenback SYDNEY, July 15 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars fell on Monday as the assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump boosted his re-election odds, lifting the greenback, while the soft Chinese data failed to provide any support. The Aussie AUD=D3 slipped 0.1% to $0.6772, having climbed 0.5% last week to a six-month top of $0.6798 thanks to favourable yield differentials.
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Here's why HSBC is closing its short EUR/USD trade

BUZZ-COMMENT-Here's why HSBC is closing its short EUR/USD trade July 12 (Reuters) - On May 16 2024, HSBC opened a trade idea to sell EUR/USD at 1.0880 and target 1.0550 with a stop at 1.1050. They have since chosen to exit that trade close to entry and here's why. In a note to clients, HSBC FX research strategy analysts acknowledged that they are basically back to square one nearly two months after entering this trade, which says a lot.
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Australian dollar sails to six-month top as kiwi sinks

Australian dollar sails to six-month top as kiwi sinks By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 12 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar held near six-month peaks on Friday as markets sharply narrowed the odds on U.S. rate cuts, while the New Zealand dollar was sunk by bets on even steeper cuts at home. The Aussie stood at $0.6762 AUD=D3 , after touching a top of $0.6799 overnight.
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Australian dollar flies high on kiwi, yen as rate outlooks diverge

CORRECTED-Australian dollar flies high on kiwi, yen as rate outlooks diverge Corrects the milestone for AUD/NZD to NZ$1.1104, not NZ$1.1017, in paragraph 2 SYDNEY, July 11 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood near 20-month highs against the kiwi on Thursday as markets ramped up bets of imminent rate cuts in New Zealand, while it kept hitting new 33-year tops on the low-yielding yen.
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New Zealand dollar falls, bonds rally as RBNZ flags possible easing

New Zealand dollar falls, bonds rally as RBNZ flags possible easing SYDNEY, July 10 (Reuters) - The New Zealand dollar fell on Wednesday while bonds rallied as markets sharply ramped up bets for a rate cut as early as August after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand opened the door to possible easing if inflation slows as desired. The RBNZ held interest rates steady at 5.5%.
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Australian dollar sticks in soggy data, kiwi second-guesses RBNZ

Australian dollar sticks in soggy data, kiwi second-guesses RBNZ By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 9 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stalled near six-month highs on Tuesday as domestic data pointed to softness in consumption and employment, while the New Zealand dollar awaited an update on monetary policy due later in the week. The Aussie held at $0.6735 AUD=D3 , after stretching as far as $0.6762 on Monday.
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Why EUR/USD is more likely to return to its range low

BUZZ-COMMENT-Why EUR/USD is more likely to return to its range low July 8 (Reuters) - There are good reasons to think EUR/USD's upside potential will be limited and more chance of it heading back toward the lower end of the long term range at 1.1240-1.0448 over coming months. While the French election may have avoided the fiscal disaster associated with a win for the far right National Rally (RN) , it has resulted in a hung parliament which will being its own problems for France and potentially,
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Australian dollar holds gains as yields attract; kiwi edgy into RBNZ meet

Australian dollar holds gains as yields attract; kiwi edgy into RBNZ meet SYDNEY, July 8 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar hovered near a six-month high on Monday, drawing support from favourable yield differentials, although it lost some ground on the kiwi ahead of a central bank policy meeting in New Zealand. The Aussie AUD=D3 was holding at $0.6746, having jumped 1.2% last week to as far as $0.6753, the highest since early January.
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Are FX options signaling complacency over French election risks?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Are FX options signaling complacency over French election risks? July 5 (Reuters) - The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is an unknown, yet key parameter of their premiums, so dealers use implied volatility - their best guess. But this bellwether for real FX volatility expectations has almost erased all of the additional risk premium it had accumulated before the first round the of the French election and opens questions about complacency before Sunday's deciding second-ro
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Australian dollar breaks higher as yields swing its way

Australian dollar breaks higher as yields swing its way By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 5 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood near six-month highs on Friday as yield spreads swung in its favour, delivering a break of major chart resistance and hefty gains on the Japanese yen. The Aussie was up at $0.6731 AUD=D3 , having gained 0.9% for the week so far to reach $0.6733. The next major bull target is a peak from December last year at $0.6871. The kiwi dollar was lagging at $0.6115 NZD=D3 , to be up
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Societe Generale advocates topside AUD/USD option calls

BUZZ-COMMENT-Societe Generale advocates topside AUD/USD option calls July 4 (Reuters) - Societe Generale recommends buying a 3-month expiry AUD call/USD spread via foreign exchange options with strikes at 0.6900 and 0.7000. Designed to be held until expiry, the option can return five times the premium paid if AUD/USD is above 0.7000. SocGen FX derivatives strategist Olivier Korber's rationale is that the Australian dollar may be the most resilient in the face of U.S.
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Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook

Australian dollar hovers near six-month high on US rate outlook SYDNEY, July 4 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar stood tall near a six-month high on Thursday, after cracking major resistance levels overnight as soft U.S. economic data fanned hopes of a September rate cut, supporting bonds. The Aussie also made further gains on its New Zealand cousin and scaled a fresh 33-year peak versus the battered yen due to robust demand from carry trades - where traders borrow a currency with low interest r
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Australian dollar inches up on upbeat retail data, kiwi struggles

Australian dollar inches up on upbeat retail data, kiwi struggles SYDNEY, July 3 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar edged up against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday as domestic data on retail spending surprised on the upside, but gains were capped by a weak Chinese yuan. The kiwi, however, struggled to pull up from a key chart level. The two, however, stood tall v ersus the battered yen , at near three-decade highs thanks to robust demand from carry trades - where a currency with low interest rates
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French election risk to euro, according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-French election risk to euro, according to FX options July 2 (Reuters) - When the French election was first called on June 9, there was a significant increase in FX option premium to reflect the volatility and directional risk to the euro, and these premiums remain a reliable bellwether. Volatility is an unknown yet key component of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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Australian dollar scales 33-year peak on yen as yields attract

Australian dollar scales 33-year peak on yen as yields attract By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, July 2 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar was near 33-year peaks on the Japanese yen on Tuesday as rising bond yields made it an attractive destination for carry trades, while also fuelling further gains on its New Zealand cousin. Market pricing for steady, if not higher, interest rates at home saw Australian 10-year yields AU10YT=RR strike a two-month top of 4.508% overnight.
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Australia, NZ dlrs edge up on dollar, give back on euro

Australia, NZ dlrs edge up on dollar, give back on euro SYDNEY, July 1 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars started the week on the front foot as a cooling in a key U.S. inflation reading reinforced rate cut bets, while they lost ground to a buoyant euro after France's first round election votes. The Aussie AUD=D3 rose 0.1% to $0.6672, having eked out 0.4% last week to as high as $0.6689 thanks to the benign U.S.
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Huge demand for one particular French election hedge

BUZZ-COMMENT-Huge demand for one particular French election hedge June 28 (Reuters) - There has been a significant increase in premium and demand for an array of Euro related FX options since the announcement of impending French elections, but one particular trade stands out - risk reversals. Risk reversals are simple vanilla FX options that consist of a put strike set against a call strike - the right to sell a currency versus buy it.
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Australian dollar slips to 10-day low, bonds rally to end tough week

Australian dollar slips to 10-day low, bonds rally to end tough week SYDNEY, June 28 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar fell to a 10-day low on Friday as markets pared the chance of a rate hike on dovish comments from a top central banker, while bonds got much needed relief to end a brutal week of sell-offs. With the first U.S. presidential debate out of the way and evoking a muted market reaction so far, traders are looking ahead to the U.S.
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Australia dollar saved by rate hike bets, bonds hammered

Australia dollar saved by rate hike bets, bonds hammered By Stella Qiu SYDNEY, June 27 (Reuters) - The Australian dollar fell back against a strong U.S. dollar on Thursday but held at 17-year highs on the battered yen, while domestic bonds were hammered by risks of a rate hike this year. The Aussie also jumped on the kiwi to the highest in a month as the rate outlook for their respective central banks diverged.
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