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Trump's Taiwan talk rattles chip stocks, gold shines as rate cuts beckon



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Updates prices

By Tom Westbrook and Naomi Rovnick

SINGAPORE, LONDON July 17 (Reuters) -Gold hit a record and bonds rallied on Wednesday, while chip stocks tumbled after U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump sounded lukewarm about his commitment to defending Taiwan.

Sterling GBP=D3 ticked higher after British inflation held at 2% year-on-year in June against forecasts for 1.9%, with services inflation stuck at an uncomfortable 5.7%.

Europe's Stoxx share index .STOXX futures traded 0.2% lower. S&P 500 futures were also 0.5% lower ESc1 after the cash index .SPX hit a record high in the previous session.

In Taiwan, TSMC 2330.TW fell 3%, wiping out close to $30 billion from the market value of the world's largest chipmaker and a key player in the global supply chain.

The slide came after Trump questioned U.S. support for Taiwan in an interview with Bloomberg Businessweek, saying the closely monitored island that sits roughly 100 miles from the mainland Chinese coast should pay for U.S. protection.

ASML ASML.AS, the largest equipment supplier to chipmakers, reported better-than-expected profit in the second quarter, but its shares dropped as much as 7.7%.

It was unclear exactly what Trump was planning, but his selection of trade hawk J.D. Vance as his running mate had already put markets on notice that China will figure heavily in his foreign policy thinking.

Chinese stocks were subdued for a second straightday.

The Taiwan dollar TWD=TP slipped slightly to a two-week low. China's yuan CNY=CFXS steadied at 7.2673 per dollar as markets waited on news from a leadership meeting in Beijing which ends on Thursday.

"It is more and more clear to me that Trump should be bullish for USDfor at least a while," said Brent Donnelly, president at analytics firm Spectra Markets, as he isexpected to impose tariffs and run a higher budget deficit.

"It's hard to imagine USDCNH ending 2024 below 7.25 on a Trump victory in November but it's not hard to imagine it closing above 7.50," he said, referring to the dollar-yuan pair.

GOLD GLITTERS

In Asia, New Zealand shares .NZ50 hit their highest since March 2022 after data showed inflation slowing, though the rates market dipped and the currency NZD=D3 rose on sticky domestically driven inflation. .AXNZD/

Treasuries held gains that had pushed 10-year U.S. yields to four-month lows overnight after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said recent cooling in inflation "adds somewhat to confidence" that consumer prices are coming under control.

Fed funds futures 0#FF: have fully priced a U.S. rate cut for September, followed by two more before the end of January 2025. FEDWATCH

Ten-year yields US10YT=RR were steady at 4.167% and two-year yields US2YT=RR hovered at 4.45%, while German Bund yields DE10YT=RR fell 1 bp to 4.423%.

Lower yields helped propel gold XAU= sharply higher and through chart resistance around $2,450 per ounce despite a broadly firm dollar. It touched a record $2,482 overnight. GOL/

"Gold's ability to find support in any condition this year is worth highlighting," said Commonwealth Bank of Australia commodity strategist Vivek Dhar.

"While gold prices face uncertainty in coming months, the uncertainty has a positive skew, raising the risk that gold rises above our forecast of $2,500/oz by the end of the year."

The Japanese yen JPY=EBS strengthened as trading began in Europe on Wednesday, pushing the dollar down 0.75% to 157.08, well off early July's 38-year high of 161.96, after a few rounds of likely intervention from Tokyo authorities late last week.

The euro EUR=EBS was steady at $1.0905.

Oil prices slipped slightly, weighed by signs of weakening demand from China.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 rose 0.4% to $84.04 barrel and U.S. crude futures CLc1 gained 0.5% to trade at $81.12. O/R


World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Global asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn

Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4


Editing by Sam Holmes, Kim Coghill and Arun Koyyur

To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
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