Power Up: Australia’s Power Paradox
Power Up is published on Mondays and Thursdays. Think your friend or colleague should know about us? Forward this newsletter to them. They can also subscribe here.
Oct 31 -Andy Home, Senior Metals Columnist
Welcome to Power Up. Today we look at how Australia risks missing out on the renewable energy transition despite having vast resources of the minerals that will be needed to replace fossil fuels.
Also in today’s issue, the implications of drought in the western United States, Chevron’s share price challenge, and why both the clean energy sector and U.S. liquefied natural gas exporters are wary of the U.S. presidential elections.
Power Paradox
Australia should be one of the countries best placed to reap the rewards of the clean energy revolution. The country boasts large resources of key energy transition minerals such as lithium, copper and manganese and has a rich mining history.
But the reality is that the country is struggling to live up to its potential. BHP’s nickel operations in Western Australia, for example, were billed as a future energy metals hub but they are currently mothballed with any restart decision not expected for a couple of years.
One problem is the collapse in pricing for many energy transition metals. This is due both to oversupply, particularly Chinese oversupply, and weaker-than-expected demand. The road to electrification is proving a bumpy ride for global automakers as car buyers opt for hybrid vehicles over pure battery models. The rise of the hybrids has changed the demand dynamics for many battery inputs, not least lithium.
However, another big problem is that Australia doesn’t have enough green energy to produce the metals that will power the green transition. Reuters columnist Clyde Russell attended this week’s International Mining and Resources Conference (IMARC) in Sydney, where the country’s power paradox was the big talking point.
Everyone can see the energy transition potential for Australia but turning vision into reality is proving a formidable challenge.
ESSENTIAL READING
Drought across much of the western United States has caused U.S. hydropower generation to drop to a 23-year low so far in 2024. The sharp reduction in dispatchable clean power has forced suppliers to deploy record volumes of natural gas to balance electricity systems. Reuters columnist Gavin Maguire runs the numbers on hydro’s falling share of the energy mix.
U.S. exporters of liquefied natural gas (LNG) could face new hurdles if Republican Donald Trump wins the presidential election despite the former president’s sympathetic stance on fossil fuels. Curtis Williams in Houston reports on fears that proposed tariffs on China could backfire on domestic LNG producers.
The U.S. election is also causing unease in the new energy sector of the stock market. After bubble-like euphoria in 2021-2022, alternative energy funds have been in retreat ever since. The prospect of a win for Trump, who has promised more investment in conventional fossil fuels, is fuelling worries there may be more trouble ahead for the sector, as Danilo Masoni writes here.
The Panama Canal has seen transit volumes of LNGdrop 65% over the last couple of years as U.S. exporters switched shipments to Europe. The Canal's administrator, Ricaurte Vazquez, gave an exclusive interview to Reuters reporters Marianna Parraga and Elida Moreno, explaining how Panama plans to recover the lost volumes.
Chevron CEO Michael Wirth is under pressure as the oil and gas company’s share price underperforms that of rival Exxon Mobil. Reuters reporters in Houston and London look at the reasons why Wirth has fallen out of favour with Wall Street.
We hope you're enjoying the Power Up newsletter. We'd love to hear your thoughts and feedback. You can reach us at: powerup@thomsonreuters.com.
Editing by Marguerita Choy
Asset collegati
Ultime news
Disclaimer: le entità di XM Group forniscono servizi di sola esecuzione e accesso al nostro servizio di trading online, che permette all'individuo di visualizzare e/o utilizzare i contenuti disponibili sul sito o attraverso di esso; non ha il proposito di modificare o espandere le proprie funzioni, né le modifica o espande. L'accesso e l'utilizzo sono sempre soggetti a: (i) Termini e condizioni; (ii) Avvertenza sui rischi e (iii) Disclaimer completo. Tali contenuti sono perciò forniti a scopo puramente informativo. Nello specifico, ti preghiamo di considerare che i contenuti del nostro servizio di trading online non rappresentano un sollecito né un'offerta ad operare sui mercati finanziari. Il trading su qualsiasi mercato finanziario comporta un notevole livello di rischio per il tuo capitale.
Tutto il materiale pubblicato sul nostro servizio di trading online è unicamente a scopo educativo e informativo, e non contiene (e non dovrebbe essere considerato come contenente) consigli e raccomandazioni di carattere finanziario, di trading o fiscale, né informazioni riguardanti i nostri prezzi di trading, offerte o solleciti riguardanti transazioni che possano coinvolgere strumenti finanziari, oppure promozioni finanziarie da te non richieste.
Tutti i contenuti di terze parti, oltre ai contenuti offerti da XM, siano essi opinioni, news, ricerca, analisi, prezzi, altre informazioni o link a siti di terzi presenti su questo sito, sono forniti "così com'è", e vanno considerati come commenti generali sui mercati; per questo motivo, non possono essere visti come consigli di investimento. Dato che tutti i contenuti sono intesi come ricerche di investimento, devi considerare e accettare che non sono stati preparati né creati seguendo i requisiti normativi pensati per promuovere l'indipendenza delle ricerche di investimento; per questo motivo, questi contenuti devono essere considerati come comunicazioni di marketing in base alle leggi e normative vigenti. Assicurati di avere letto e compreso pienamente la nostra Notifica sulla ricerca di investimento non indipendente e la nostra Informativa sul rischio riguardante le informazioni sopra citate; tali documenti sono consultabili qui.
