Stocks fall, dollar and Treasury yields edge down after CPI and jobless claims data
U.S. CPI rises 0.2% m-o-m, 2.4% y-o-y
Jobless claims surge
Markets still se 25 bp Fed rate cut in November
Investors wait on details of China stimulus measures
Focus on Saturday's briefing on fiscal policy moves
French budget provides European focus for later in the day
Updates at 1300 GMT
By Alun John
LONDON, Oct 10 (Reuters) - U.S. share futures dropped, the dollar weakened and benchmark Treasury yields dipped as marginally-above-expectation U.S. inflation data and higher jobless claims did not challenge market bets the Fed will cut rates in November.
Nasdaq futures were last off 0.6% NQCv1 and S&P500 futures dropped 0.4%, EScv1 slightly extending declines, a day after the S&P 500 index .SPX hit a record high.
The consumer price index increased 0.2% last month after gaining 0.2% in August. In the 12 months through September, the CPI climbed 2.4%. That was the smallest year-on-year rise since February 2021, but was above the 0.1% and 2.3% expected by analysts polled by Reuters.
Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI increased 0.3% in September, again slightly above expectations.
Also in the mix was a surge in the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits last week, partially boosted by Hurricane Helene and furloughs at Boeing BA.N amid a nearly four-week-old strike at the U.S. planemaker.
The data reinforced market expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its November meeting, with market pricing reflecting around a 90% chance of such a move.
Ahead of the release, some analysts were concerned about of more substantially higher-than-expected print that would cause the Federal Reserve to not cut rates at its next meeting, building on strong non farm payrolls data last week.
“It's not terrible news, but it's certainly not good news and it just simply indicates that maybe the best gains, the best gains of inflation may be behind us for the next couple months,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist, Spartan Capital Securities.
The U.S. 10 year yield dropped marginally after the data and was last flat on the day at 4.07% US10YT=RR.
It hit its highest since late July earlier in the day, and has jumped more than 20 basis points in the past week, largely on the back of a Friday's much hotter than expected payrolls data. US10YT=RR US/
The dollar weakened a fraction and was last down 0.1% against a basket of major peers. =USD Its biggest move was against the rate-sensitive yen, falling 0.6% to 148.43 yen. JPY=EBS
The euro was up 0.06% at $1.0947, EUR=EBS and the pound was steady at $1.3078 GBP=D3.
In Europe, the new French government was set to deliver its 2025 budget late on Thursday with plans for 60 billion euros' ($66 billion) worth of tax hikes and spending cuts to tackle a spiralling fiscal deficit.
The now closely watched spread between French and German government bonds, a gauge of how much premium investors demand for holding French debt, was steady at 76 bps. FR10DE10=RR GVD/EUR
Its recent highs have been above 80, but it had stood around 50 bps before President Emmanuel Macron called a parliamentary election in June.
CHINA
Chineseshares continued to be volatile and gota lift early in the Asia session as China's central bank kicked off its 500 billion yuan facility to spur capital markets, a plan it announced inlate September as part of a series of stimulus measures.
But the onshoreblue-chip CSI300 index .CSI300 failed to hold all those gains and closed up just over 1%.
It had fallen7% on Wednesday, triggered by investor concern about the lack of details in the stimulus package. .SS
Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HIS surged over 3%, after slipping 1.3% on Wednesday, and is up 26% this year.
The market's attention is now firmly on a finance ministry press conference on Saturday that will provide details of the stimulus plan.
"We believe the consensus is expecting around 2 trillion to 3 trillion yuan in ...fiscal stimulus measures," Richard Tang, China strategist at Julius Baer, said.
Tang expected additional fiscal measures in coming weeks.
In commodities, oil prices rose as investors contended with rising tensions in the Middle East and the impacton oil supply, as well as a spike in demand as a major storm barrelled into Florida.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 were 1.8%higher at $78.0a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures CLc1 rose a similar amount to $74.44 a barrel. O/R
Gold was 0.2%higher at $2,613 an ounce. GOL/
World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
Reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore and Alun John in London, additional reporting by Suzanne McGee in New York; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharamanam, Sam Holmes, William Maclean, Kevin Liffey and Andrew Heavens
To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
Asset collegati
Ultime news
Disclaimer: le entità di XM Group forniscono servizi di sola esecuzione e accesso al nostro servizio di trading online, che permette all'individuo di visualizzare e/o utilizzare i contenuti disponibili sul sito o attraverso di esso; non ha il proposito di modificare o espandere le proprie funzioni, né le modifica o espande. L'accesso e l'utilizzo sono sempre soggetti a: (i) Termini e condizioni; (ii) Avvertenza sui rischi e (iii) Disclaimer completo. Tali contenuti sono perciò forniti a scopo puramente informativo. Nello specifico, ti preghiamo di considerare che i contenuti del nostro servizio di trading online non rappresentano un sollecito né un'offerta ad operare sui mercati finanziari. Il trading su qualsiasi mercato finanziario comporta un notevole livello di rischio per il tuo capitale.
Tutto il materiale pubblicato sul nostro servizio di trading online è unicamente a scopo educativo e informativo, e non contiene (e non dovrebbe essere considerato come contenente) consigli e raccomandazioni di carattere finanziario, di trading o fiscale, né informazioni riguardanti i nostri prezzi di trading, offerte o solleciti riguardanti transazioni che possano coinvolgere strumenti finanziari, oppure promozioni finanziarie da te non richieste.
Tutti i contenuti di terze parti, oltre ai contenuti offerti da XM, siano essi opinioni, news, ricerca, analisi, prezzi, altre informazioni o link a siti di terzi presenti su questo sito, sono forniti "così com'è", e vanno considerati come commenti generali sui mercati; per questo motivo, non possono essere visti come consigli di investimento. Dato che tutti i contenuti sono intesi come ricerche di investimento, devi considerare e accettare che non sono stati preparati né creati seguendo i requisiti normativi pensati per promuovere l'indipendenza delle ricerche di investimento; per questo motivo, questi contenuti devono essere considerati come comunicazioni di marketing in base alle leggi e normative vigenti. Assicurati di avere letto e compreso pienamente la nostra Notifica sulla ricerca di investimento non indipendente e la nostra Informativa sul rischio riguardante le informazioni sopra citate; tali documenti sono consultabili qui.
