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Futures rise as focus shifts to retail sales data



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Retails sales report due at 8:30 a.m. ET

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Futures: Dow flat, S&P 500 up 0.13%, Nasdaq up 0.20%

Updated at 6:56 a.m. ET/1056 GMT

By Lisa Pauline Mattackal and Ankika Biswas

July 16 (Reuters) - Futures tied to the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq climbed on Tuesday as investors perused a set of corporate earnings including Bank of America and awaited monthly retail sales numbers for insight into where U.S. inflation currently stands.

Bank of America's BAC.Nsecond-quarter profit fell as its interest income shrank and it set aside more money to cover potential credit losses. However, the second-largest U.S. bank's shares were up 1% in premarket trading.

Morgan Stanley MS.N alsorose 0.9% ahead of its results before markets open.

The blue-chip Dow.DJI closed at a record high in Monday's upbeat session on strong betsof a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut in September and a second term for presidential candidate Donald Trump following an assassination attempt.

Futures tracking the Russell 2000 RTYcv1 jumped 1% after the small-cap index .RUT closed at its highest level since January 2022, asinvestors continue to moveaway from heavily weighted tech stocks, which have driven most of Wall Street's rally this year.

Attention now shifts to retail sales data, due at 8:30 a.m. ET, to assess how U.S. consumershave responded to persistent inflation. June retail sales are expected to fall 0.3% on a monthly basis, according to economists polled by Reuters, after a 0.1% rise in the prior month.

"Macro policy still trumps US election uncertainty for now, as recent data confirms the disinflation trend," strategists at J.P.Morgan said in a note.

Markets took it as a dovish signal when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said on Monday that the latest economic data "add(s) somewhat to confidence" that inflation was returning to the central bank's 2% target.

Traders now see interest rates falling by September, with a nearly 88% chance of a 25-basis-point reduction by that meeting, according to the CME's FedWatch.

Although investors perceived a potential second presidential term for Trump as a positive sign for equities after he survived the shooting at his campaign rally on Saturday, there were signs of uncertainty creeping in, with Wall Street's "fear gauge" .VIX briefly touching its highest level in three weeks.

The former president formally selected Senator J.D. Vance as his running mate on Monday.

However, Trump-linked stocks retreated after Monday's rally, with Trump Media & Technology Group DJT.O, software firm Phunware PHUN.O and video-sharing platform Rumble RUM.O losing between 2.4% and 7.9%.

At 6:56 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis 1YMcv1 were down 2 points, or -0%, S&P 500 e-minis EScv1 were up 7.25 points, or 0.13%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis NQcv1 were up 40.25 points, or 0.2%.

UnitedHealth Group UNH.N reported a second-quarter profit beat. However, the stock dropped 1.5%, reversing early gains, after it also reported higher-than-expected medical costs in the quarter.

Tinder owner Match MTCH.O jumped 7.4% after a report activist investor Starboard has a stake of more than 6.5% in the company and was pushing for a possible sale if a turnaround wasn't successful.

Tesla TSLA.O gained 1.6% after a report CEO Elon Musk planned to commit around $45 million a month to a new pro-Trump super political action committee.



Reporting by Lisa Mattackal in Bengaluru; Editing by Pooja Desai

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