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Stocks stable, oil rises as wary investors eye Middle East hostilities



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks stable, oil rises as wary investors eye Middle East hostilities</title></head><body>

Europe's STOXX flat, Asian shares rise despite conflict concerns

Oil prices rise nearly 3% on supply concerns after Iran's missile strike

Market fallout of escalating tensions muted, for now

Updates prices at 1030 GMT

By Lawrence White

LONDON, Oct 2 (Reuters) -Stocks held firm on Wednesday and safe haven assets such as government bonds and the dollar gained ground, as investors held back from panic selling amid escalating Middle East hostilities that also pushed oil prices nearly 3% higher.

Europe's benchmark STOXX index .STOXX edged down just 0.1% and MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares .MIAP00000PUS climbed 1.38%, despite the prospect of a wider conflict following Iran's missile strike on Israel and Israel's incursion into Lebanon.

The safe-haven dollar traded close to its strongest in three weeks versus the euro.

Macroeconomics also buoyed the dollar, with a resilient U.S. job market arguing for a smaller Federal Reserve interest-rate cut in November, and euro zone inflation trends backing a European Central Bank easing this month.

U.S. S&P 500 stock index futures EScv1 weakened 0.4%, after the cash index .SPX lost 0.9% overnight.

Mainland Chinese markets were shut for the Golden Week holiday.

"In the chain of potential market volatility shocks, geopolitics will typically trump economics, corporate earnings, or a central bank response - largely because most market players are poor at pricing risk around these events," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.

"While these events typically reconcile in a market-positive fashion, the tail risk it can throw up is clearly significant," Weston said. "The situation remains fluid, and the slightest calming or increased aggression in the rhetoric from Israel or Iran could result in a sizeable impact on sentiment in markets."

Iran said early on Wednesday that its missile attack on Israel was finished barring further provocation, although Israel and the U.S. promised retaliation.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 gained 2.71% to $75.55 per barrel, extending a 2.5% advance from Tuesday. U.S. WTI futures CLc1 climbed 2.91% to $71.86 per barrel, after Tuesday's 2.4% rally.

"Speculation of an Israeli strike on Iranian oil fields seems unlikely, as such a move would likely drive oil prices toward $80, displeasing Israel's allies, who are making strides against inflation," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.

"Instead, strategic Israeli strikes on critical weapons factories and military objectives are more probable," he said.

The cost of insuring exposure to Israel's sovereign debt against default rose to its highest in almost 12 years, with five-year credit default swaps for Israel jumping 10 basis points from their Tuesday close to 160bps. ILGV5YUSAC=MG


FALLOUT CONTAINED

Elsewhere asset prices moved tentatively, suggesting longer-term macroeconomic concerns were for now outweighing any impulsive investor reactions to Middle East events.

Gold XAU= eased 0.4% to $2,653.12 per ounce, following a more than 1% jump in the previous session that brought it close to last month's record high at $2,685.42, as a flight to the safe-haven dollar constrained the precious metal's gains.

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR ticked up about 4 basis points (bp) to 3.7467%, as did Germany's equivalent DE10YT=RR as investors shifted into the safety of government bonds.

The dollar index =USD, which tracks the U.S. currency versus the euro and five other major rivals, was steady at 101.22 after pushing as high as 101.39 on Tuesday for the first time since Sept. 19.

Europe's shared currency was little changed at $1.1072 following a 0.6% drop in the previous session, when it dipped to $1.1046 for the first time since Sept. 12.

Euro area data on Tuesday showed inflation fell below the ECB's 2% target last month, bolstering bets for a quarter-point rate cut on Oct. 17.

Meanwhile, U.S. figures overnight showed a solid economy, a day after Fed Chair Jerome Powell pushed back against the likelihood of another 50 basis point rate cut when the U.S. central bank meets next month.

Job openings unexpectedly increased in August after two straight monthly decreases, but hiring was soft and consistent with a slowing labour market.

Private payrolls data is due later on Wednesday, ahead of potentially crucial monthly non-farm payrolls numbers on Friday.

A crippling U.S. dock strike, that could cost the economy $5 billion each day, will also be at the front of investor minds, with hopes for a quick end dashed by a lack of active negotiation overnight.


World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4


Reporting by Lawrence White in London and Kevin Buckland in Tokyo; Editing by Jacqueline Wong, Sonali Paul, Jane Merriman and Angus MacSwan

 
To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets
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अस्वीकरण: XM Group के सत्व केवल निष्पादन वाली सेवा और हमारी ऑनलाइन व्यापार सुविधा में पहुँच प्रदान करते हैं, ताकि व्यक्ति वेबसाइट पर या उसके जरिए उपलब्ध सामग्री को देख सके और/या उसका उपयोग कर सके। इसका प्रयोजन इसे बदलना या विस्तार देना नहीं है, न ही वह इसे बदलता या विस्तार देता है। इस तरह की पहुँच हमेशा ही निम्नलिखित के अधीन रहेगी: (1) नियम और शर्तें; (2) जोखिम चेतावनियाँ; और (3) पूर्ण अस्वीकरण। इसलिए ऐसी जानकारी सामान्य सूचना से अधिक कुछ भी नहीं है। विशेष रूप से, कृपया इससे अवगत रहें कि हमारी ऑनलाइन व्यापार सुविधा की सामग्रियाँ न तो किसी चीज का अनुरोध करती हैं, न ही वित्तीय बाजारों में प्रवेश करने की पेशकश ही करती हैं। किसी भी वित्तीय बाजार में व्यापार करने के साथ आपकी पूँजी को उल्लेखनीय जोखिम है।

हमारी ऑनलाइन व्यापार सुविधा में प्रकाशित सभी सामग्रियाँ शैक्षणिक/सूचनात्मक प्रयोजनों मात्र के लिए हैं, और इनमें वित्तीय, निवेश टैक्स या व्यापार सलाह और सुझाव नहीं हैं - न ही ऐसा समझना चाहिए कि इनमें ये सब हैं; न ही इनमें हमारी व्यापार कीमतों का अभिलेख है; न ही इनमें किसी वित्तीय उपकरण में लेन-देन करने का निमंत्रण या अनुरोध है; न ही ये आपको अवांछित वित्तयी प्रोमोशन पेश करती हैं।

इस वेबसाइट में मौजूद कोई भी तृतीय पक्षीय सामग्री, तथा XM द्वारा तैयार की गई सामग्रियाँ, जैसे: अभिप्राय, समाचार, अनुसंधान, विश्लेषण, कीमतें और अन्य सूचनाएँ या तृतीय पक्षों की साइटों के लिंक, "जैसा-है-वैसा" के आधार पर बाजार के बारे में सामान्य टिप्पणी के रूप में उपलब्ध कराई गई हैं, और वे निवेश हेतु सलाह नहीं हैं। जिस हद तक कीसी सामग्री को निवेश अनुसंधान मान लिया जाता है, उस हद तक आपको ध्यान में रखना होगा और इसे स्वीकार करना होगा कि वह सामग्री इस उद्देश्य से और निवेश अनुसंधान की स्वतंत्रता को बढ़ावा देने के लिए कानूनी आवश्यकताओं के मुताबिक, तैयार नहीं की गई है, और इसलिए उसे प्रासंगिक कानूनों और विनियमों के तहत विपणन संप्रेषण माना जाएगा। कृपया सुनिश्चित करें कि आपने गैर-आश्रित निवेश के बारे में हमारी सूचना को पढ़ और समझ लिया है। पीछे दी गई जानकारी के बारे में अनुसंधान और जोखिम चेतावनी यहाँ उपलब्ध है।

जोखिम की चेतावनी: आपकी पूँजी जोखिम में है। लीवरेज वाले उत्पाद सबके उपयुक्त नहीं होते हैं। कृपया हमारे जोखिम खुलासे पर विचार करें।