Risk spotlight swings to earnings avalanche
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland
Earnings are very much front and centre on Tuesday, particularly with markets mostly treading water as a huge week of event risk gets underway.
Five of the megacap tech stocks dubbed the "Magnificent 7" - responsible for powering Wall Street to record peaks this year - report financial results over the next three days, starting later today with Google parent Alphabet. Meta and Microsoft follow on Wednesday, with Amazon and Apple a day later.
Tesla set the tone last week with bold sales forecasts that sent the stock surging 22% for its biggest rally in a decade. Analysts, however, are wary of Elon Musk's tendency to overpromise.
AI poster child Nvidia, which has been vying with Apple for the mantle of most valuable company in recent days, doesn't report results until much later in November.
On that theme though, chipmaker results over coming days will give a feel for how brightly the AI frenzy continues to burn. AMD reports today, and Intel follows on Thursday.
In Europe, banks hold the spotlight, with HSBC announcing an additional $3 billion share buyback earlier today, along with an estimate-topping 10% profit boost. The lender made headlines last week with a sweeping restructuring and a streamlined executive committee.
Santander also reports Tuesday, except for its UK arm, which postponed results while it assesses the impact of a court ruling on motor finance commissions. UBS is on Wednesday.
While the bank sector is healthier than at any point since the global financial crisis, investors want reassurance they can trust longer-term earnings with the European Central Bank leading its major global peers in cutting rates.
By contrast, the Federal Reserve can take its time easing policy after a raft of robust economic data, particularly in employment.
The jobs market has become the Fed's focus, so it's hardly surprising that the dollar and Treasury yields would pause for breath near three-month peaks ahead of today's JOLTS job openings data, a measure favoured by the central bank.
Friday brings the all-important monthly payrolls figures, setting the stage for the policy decision on Nov. 7. No hints will be coming from Fed officials who are already in the blackout period.
The U.S. presidential election on Nov. 5 looms as the most momentous risk event for markets globally this year.
Opinion polls are too close to call, but the momentum in markets and on some betting platforms is increasingly for a Republican sweep.
The race has created a lot of uncertainty for businesses, as reflected in one factory survey.
"Our own election outcome cannot be known soon enough," reads one anecdote from the Dallas Fed's manufacturing report, out overnight. "We have prospective deals of significance on hold pending who takes office."
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
-HSBC, Santander earnings in Europe
-Alphabet, AMD earnings in US
-US JOLTS (Sep), consumer confidence (Oct)
Intel vs other chipmakers https://tmsnrt.rs/48oz590
Editing by Sam Holmes
Actifs liés
Dernières actualités
Avertissement : Les entités de XM Group proposent à notre plateforme de trading en ligne un service d'exécution uniquement, autorisant une personne à consulter et/ou à utiliser le contenu disponible sur ou via le site internet, qui n'a pas pour but de modifier ou d'élargir cette situation. De tels accès et utilisation sont toujours soumis aux : (i) Conditions générales ; (ii) Avertissements sur les risques et (iii) Avertissement complet. Un tel contenu n'est par conséquent fourni que pour information générale. En particulier, sachez que les contenus de notre plateforme de trading en ligne ne sont ni une sollicitation ni une offre de participation à toute transaction sur les marchés financiers. Le trading sur les marchés financiers implique un niveau significatif de risques pour votre capital.
Tout le matériel publié dans notre Centre de trading en ligne est destiné à des fins de formation / d'information uniquement et ne contient pas – et ne doit pas être considéré comme contenant – des conseils et recommandations en matière de finance, de fiscalité des investissements ou de trading, ou un enregistrement de nos prix de trading ou une offre, une sollicitation, une transaction à propos de tout instrument financier ou bien des promotions financières non sollicitées à votre égard.
Tout contenu tiers, de même que le contenu préparé par XM, tels que les opinions, actualités, études, analyses, prix, autres informations ou liens vers des sites tiers contenus sur ce site internet sont fournis "tels quels", comme commentaires généraux sur le marché et ne constituent pas des conseils en investissement. Dans la mesure où tout contenu est considéré comme de la recherche en investissement, vous devez noter et accepter que le contenu n'a pas été conçu ni préparé conformément aux exigences légales visant à promouvoir l'indépendance de la recherche en investissement et, en tant que tel, il serait considéré comme une communication marketing selon les lois et réglementations applicables. Veuillez vous assurer que vous avez lu et compris notre Avis sur la recherche en investissement non indépendante et notre avertissement sur les risques concernant les informations susdites, qui peuvent consultés ici.
