Corporate credit spreads widen on Treasury volatility, equity sell-off
By Matt Tracy
Aug 2 (Reuters) -Corporate credit spreads widened and primary bond issuance came to a halt on Friday as equity markets sold off for the second day in a row, following data that raises expectations of a hard landing for the U.S. economy and more interest rate cuts in coming months.
The credit spreads or premium over Treasuries paid by corporate borrowers on investment-grade rated bonds were about 5-7 basis point wider on average Friday from Thursday levels. Junk-rated bond prices were also quoting about 5-10 basis points lower, investors said.
"It is not pretty out there at the moment with credit spreads on newly issued bonds widening out by as much as 5-10 basis points from where they were issued," said Scott Schulte, head of U.S. investment-grade syndicate desk at Barclays Capital.
The weaker ISM data on Thursday followed by the employment numbers a day after put fuel on the fire that the Fed may actually be behind the curve in their ability to successfully achieve a soft landing, he added.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields US10YT=RR dropped as low as 3.79% on Friday, the lowest since December, and were last down 15.9 bps at 3.818%.
The drop came as Friday's data showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 114,000 jobs last month after rising by a downwardly revised 179,000 in June. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls advancing by 175,000 jobs after gaining 206,000 in the previous month.
"We have been in an extremely low volatility period for quite some time now," said Connor Fitzgerald, fixed income portfolio manager at Wellington Management.
"Now I think there's some data that says...things are finally slowing. So if you start pricing even a small percentage chance of a recession, I think investment grade credit spreads will be very sensitive to that," he said.
The spike in market volatility is already increasing funding costs for investment-grade rated companies. The seven new deals that priced on Thursday paid an average 5.8 basis points more in new issue premium. This is higher than the average 2.72 basis points that companies paid to issue new bonds in all of July, according to data from Informa Global Markets.
Persistent volatility in Treasuries could slow the issuance momentum seen in corporate bond markets all through this year. Some $80 billion of new investment-grade bonds are expected to be issued in August, including the $8.8 billion of bonds issued on Thursday, according to IGM.
Reporting by Matt Tracy; Editing by Shankar Ramakrishnan and Toby Chopra
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