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Analyses des marchés boursiers

Was the recent stock market slump an overreaction? – Stock Markets

US indices took a hit after a soft NFP report sparked recessions fears But risk sentiment rebounded, and investors eagerly bought the dip What events may disrupt the market's supposed immunity to downside risks?   V-shaped recovery July’s softer-than-expected NFP report sent shockwaves across all asset classes as fears that the US economy is on the brink of a recession emerged.
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Asian markets bounce back; eyes on local data, not just US CPI – Preview

Asian equities extend rebound ahead of key data Japanese GDP, Aussie jobs and Chinese indicators on the agenda Any upsets could roil the fragile sentiment A cautious rebound for stocks Stock markets in Asia have not been immune to the global selloff in August amid the unwinding of the yen carry trade and renewed fears about a US recession.
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US 500 cash index rebounds from 3-month low The price jumps above 50-SMA on the 4-hour chart Momentum indicators are tilted to the upside The US 500 stock index (cash) came under severe selling pressure last week, dropping to its lowest level since early May. However, the price seems to be in a recovery mode since its recent bottom, with the bulls reclaiming the 50-period simple moving average (SMA).
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Is the US data that bad to justify a rate cut?

The recent acute market reaction occurred due to increased recession fears Surprise indices point to a more balanced US economic situation Recessions tend to be caused by one-off major events The recent market drop has been attributed to higher chances of a US recession It has been a very volatile period in markets. The recent higher-than-expected rate hike by the BoJ caused a knee-jerk reaction in Japanese stock markets that led to the yen making significant gains across the boar
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Technical Analysis – US 100 index shifts to the sidelines

US 100 index opens the day in neutral mood   Some recovery likely but outlook could stay cloudy below 18,822 Earnings season continues with Disney’s results on August 7   The US 100 stock index had a boring start to Tuesday’s session, remaining neutral around Monday’s closing price and the 18,100 level. Previously, the price staged a nice rebound near the 2023-2024 support trendline and bounced back above its 200-day SMA, increasing optimism that the bulls could soon take o
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Technical Analysis – JP 225 index tries to find footing after 20% crash

JP 225 index plummets to 10-month low amid global stock meltdown Oversold signals detected; but bulls could show up above 33,585   Japan’s 225 stock index (cash) started the month on the wrong foot, sinking by a massive 21% to a 10-month low of 30,361 in the wake of recession fears in the US and as the bruised yen finally entered a bullish cycle.
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Market angst pushes volatility higher across the board – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility skyrockets as recession fears resurface Volatility in commodities jumps as geopolitics takes centre stage Stock indices experience much stronger volatility, decoupling from Bitcoin Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, jumped to the highest level of the past month as fears of recession, on the back of last Friday’s weak US labour market report, resulted in the market pricing in an aggressive easing path for most central banks during 2024.
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Disney reports Q2 earnings amid a severe stock rout – Stock Markets

Walt Disney unveils earnings before market’s opening bell on August 7 Solid revenue and profit growth is expected despite recent stock selloff Valuation is currently at its lowest levels since the Covid-19 outbreak Flat in the year despite an impressive start Although the year started with the best auspicious signs for Disney, which were also reinforced by a very strong Q1 earnings report, things turned ugly very quickly.
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Amazon stock experienced a pullback from its all-time high But the price found strong support ahead of Q2 earnings Momentum indicators are heavily tilted to the downside Amazon’s stock has been in a steady uptrend since late 2023, storming to a fresh record peak of 201.00 on July 8. Although the price corrected lower, falling victim of a broader tech selloff, it seems to have paused its retreat and recouped some losses ahead of its Q2 earnings announcement on Thursday.
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Apple earnings awaited amidst slowing sales in China – Stock Markets

Apple expected to announce EPS and revenue growth China sales and AI may take center stage Valuation and performance allow room for recovery The iPhone maker announces results on Thursday, after the closing bell   Earnings to grow from a year ago On August 1, after the closing bell on Wall Street, Apple is scheduled to announce its earnings results for fiscal Q3, with expectations pointing to earnings-per-share (EPS) of $1.35, marking an increase of 7.08% from the same reporti
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Technical Analysis – Facebook stock holds bullish bias but strong resistance awaits near SMAs

Facebook stock pulls back off 442 Uptrend line acts as support level RSI and MACD suggest more decreases Facebook stock price has rebounded somewhat after falling to a 12-week low of 442 on July 25 but momentum indicators now suggest that the market sentiment might get worse before getting better as the RSI is reversing to the downside below its 50-neutral threshold.
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Technical Analysis – US 100 index stops at uptrend line; positive risks not faded yet

US 100 heads up, standing beneath short-term rising trend line Stochastics point north above oversold region RSI ticks higher below 50 level The US 100 (cash) index had a strong pullback off the 18,715 support, failing to extend its dive from the all-time high of 20,775 below the long-term ascending trend line. Technically, the stochastic oscillator is moving up following the bullish crossover within its %K and %D lines in the oversold zone, while the RSI is ticking slightly up

Is Meta stock still attractive? - Stock Markets

Meta platforms to reveal moderate growth in earnings Focus to stay on the AI front but outlook needs to brighten Meta stock becomes more attractive but not out of the woods yet   Why Q1 season did not go well? The tech earnings season will heat up next week, with Facebook-parent Meta Platforms reporting its Q2 financial statements ahead of its mega tech peers Amazon and Apple on Wednesday after the market close.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index bounces off long-term uptrend line

US 500 bearish correction in short-term is not enough for retracement Momentum oscillators turn up The US 500 (cash) index rebounded significantly off the long-term ascending trend line and surpassed beyond the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). The bearish correctio in the short-term view may came to an end as the technical oscillators are also sloping up.

Can Amazon’s earnings pause the stock retreat? – Stock Markets

Amazon unveils earnings on Thursday August 1 after the market close Impressive earnings growth expected, fueled by advertising and AWS Valuation at historically low levels amid stock’s short-term pullback Strong start to the year Amazon has been having a relatively strong year amid an overall tech outperformance. Firstly, the firm’s e-commerce business has been more than resilient as the US economy appears to be headed for a soft landing.
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What to expect from markets in the run up to US elections?

Presidential race dominates headlines and complicates Fed’s job Equities suffered in the two months leading up to the last six presidential elections Market’s performance in the 2016 pre-election period could be a useful guide Dollar strengthened in 2016 but equities were under pressure Significant developments in the race lately  The recent gun attack against Donald Trump and US President Biden's candidacy withdrawal last weekend have raised even more the profile of
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Alphabet shares surged to a record high earlier in July But stock pulled back due to reaching overbought levels Momentum indicators deteriorate but remain positive Q2 earnings release could provide fresh impetus Alphabet’s shares have been in a steady uptrend since February, posting a fresh all-time high of 193.15 on July 10. However, the price has been experiencing a downside correction since then, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) providing downside protection f
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Technical Analysis – Is Visa stock set for its next bull run?

Visa stock trends southwards; reaches crucial support area Technical signals remain discouraging; bears could take control below 258 Earnings scheduled for release today after market close   Visa stock is currently located at the bottom of a short-term bearish channel and around the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 264.50, which has been a critical pivot point since late 2022. Hence, it will be intriguing to observe if the stock can reverse its direction and move upwards
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Technical Analysis – Tesla stock undecided ahead of earnings

Tesla shares jump to highest level since September 2023 But the latest high was followed by back-and forth-sessions Momentum indicators deteriorate but remain in positive areas Tesla’s shares experienced a massive surge in late June, gaining more than 40% and storming to a fresh 10-month peak of 268.00 on July 7. However, the stock has been trading without a clear direction since then, with investors probably awaiting tomorrow’s Q2 earnings release for fresh guidance.
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US 500 index capped by 20-day SMA Near-term rising line still holds Stochastics and RSI suggest upside moves The US 500 (cash) index rebounded off the short-term uptrend line around the 5,520 support level after falling from a record high of 5,673.39. The technical oscillators suggest a possible market upside retracement. The stochastic oscillator is pointing upwards after the dive towards the 20 level, while the RSI is heading up following the plunge beneath the uptrend line, whi
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