AUDCAD is pushing under the 0.8900 handle, after holding below the downtrend line and being capped by the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The pair appears to be heading for a revisit of the more than 9-year low of 0.8834 - this being the lower boundary of a six-month trading range.

The short-term oscillators seem to agree with the negative outlook. The MACD, although above its red trigger line in the negative region, is looking to move back below it, while the RSI is weakening in the bearish zone. Moreover, within the downward sloping SMAs, the 50-day one has completed a bearish crossover with the 100-day SMA.

If sellers sustain the fall underneath the downtrend line, the tough multi-year low of 0.8834 (lower boundary of range) could be first to halt further loss of ground. Steering past the bottom, the 0.8800 round number could provide the next obstacle for the bears ahead of the 0.8700 psychological number. If sellers persist, the 0.8577 low may be next to move into the spotlight.

Alternatively, above the 0.8900 hurdle, initial resistance could come from the descending trendline. Overrunning the trendline, the 50- and 100-day SMAs currently around 0.8990 could interrupt the move towards the 0.9020 level, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the down leg from 0.9613 to 0.8834. Next, the high of 0.9048 and the 200-day SMA overhead could impede the climb from reaching the 38.2% Fibo of 0.9131 and nearby upper boundary of the range at 0.9149.