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What to Watch in the Day Ahead - Friday, August 30



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Investors await the release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which could provide further clues on the size of the interest-rate cut at the September meeting and the pace of the easing cycle. Economists forecast the PCE price index likely rose 0.2% in July, after nudging up 0.1% in June. The PCE price index is expected to have risen 2.6% through July from a year ago, compared with 2.5% in the previous month. The core PCE price index, which excludes volatile food and energy components, is expected to gain 0.2% in July, matching June's rise. In the 12 months through July, core PCE inflation is expected to have advanced 2.7%, after a rise of 2.6% in the month before. Separately, consumer spending in July likely advanced 0.5%, compared with June's 0.3% rise. Personal income is expected to have grown 0.2% in July, the same rate as in June. Additionally, University of Michigan's final reading on the overall index of consumer sentiment for August is likely to show a reading of 68, compared with a final reading of 66.4 in July.

Canadian investors will look out for gross domestic product (GDP) figures. The country's economy likely expanded 0.1% in June, after growing 0.2% in May. For the second quarter, GDP growth is projected to be 1.6%, compared with a 1.7% advance in the previous quarter.

In Latin American economic front, Brazil's statistics agency IBGE is expected to report that unemployment rate likely increased 6.8% in July, following a 6.9% rise in June. Meanwhile, the country's primary budget deficit likely shrank to 5 billion reais in July from 40.837 billion reais in the previous month. Separately, Chile's manufacturing output data for July is scheduled for release.

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Compiled by Malini K; Editing by Shreya Biswas

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