Stifel expects solid year-end for European airlines
** Capacity rationality and lower fuel costs have brightened the short-term outlook for European airlines and airports, Stifel says, adding it sees upside to this year's estimates
** Still, the broker is cautious the market might get "too excited" about lower fuel prices, ignoring their "pass-through" character in the medium to long term
** "We would caution against extrapolating the current favourable trend of rational capacity and lower fuel costs too much into 2025," Stifel says
** The brokerage ups the German carrier Lufthansa LHAG.DE to "hold" from "sell", as it is encouraged by its slowing down capacity growth to only 1.4% this winter, bringing supply/demand back into balance
** Still, Stifel is 6% below 2025 consensus on the German airline as it continues to expect complex issues impacting efficiency
** For both Lufthansa and Air France-KLM AIRF.PA ("buy"), the broker is above Q3 consensus (6-7%) and expect trading outlooks to be "reassuring"
** Ryanair RYA.I ("buy") remains Stifel's preferred long-term pick, for which the broker is 11% above consensus for FY 2025
Reporting by Amir Orusov
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