No need to panic as turbulent earnings season looms
STOXX 600 up 0.3%
Defensives lead, banks dip
China jitters persist
Wall St futures edge lower
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NO NEED TO PANIC AS TURBULENT EARNINGS SEASON LOOMS
Barclays says the earnings season is shaping up as a tricky one for investors, but advises them "to stay the course" ahead of a possible cyclical rally in the final part of the year.
The UK bank's strategists, led by Emmanuel Cau, are warning of potential turbulence ahead, driven by a likely cut to 2025 forecasts, which they believe are still too rosy.
The outlook for the third quarter is far from sunny, with pre-announcements taking a more negative tone than usual and economic surprises pointing to a soft earnings delivery.
"High FY25 estimates may bring more clearing events," they caution, suggesting that more downgrades may be on the way.
That however is no reason to panic. Despite the expected volatility, Barclays looks upbeat.
"Performance and valuation may cause dispersions over Q3, while investors may stay put ahead of the US election. But we don't think this will alter the overall direction of travel if a soft landing remains in prospect, which would mean more rotation to cyclicals as we get closer to 2025".
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EARLIER ON LIVE MARKETS:
STOXX INCHES UP, OFF 2-WEEK LOWS CLICK HERE
EUROPEAN FUTURES POINT TO MUTED START CLICK HERE
CHINA STOCKS GET A REALITY CHECK; EUROPE SHUDDERS CLICK HERE
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