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USDJPY

Análisis XM

Análisis XM - Hace 8 minutos

Will the Fed cut by 25 bps or 50 bps? – Preview

Fed is expected to cut rates, but is it too late to the game? Intense speculation about size of cut as markers lean towards 50 bps New dot plot will also be crucial in Wednesday’s decision at 18:00 GMT Fed to join rate-cut club The timing of the Fed’s first interest rate cut of the cycle has been the dominant market theme all year, but since the summer, the narrative has changed to the size of the cut, not when.
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Análisis XM - Hace 17 horas

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD

EURUSD speeds up to test 1.1100 area as debate over a bold Fed rate cut continues USDJPY hits 14-month low; BoJ awaited to give direction on rate hikes GBPUSD shifts to the upside ahead of CPI data and BoE rate decision   FOMC rate decision --> EURUSD The Fed will announce its rate decision on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT and the question is not if, but by how much it will cut interest rates.
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Análisis XM - Hace 23 horas

Daily Comment – Slow start to the week ahead of the Fed meeting 

Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024 Another assassination attempt against Trump Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high Stocks are in anticipation mode A very important week has commenced with the US equity markets digesting last week’s impressive performance.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 díaBearish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY unlocks new 14-month low

USDJPY dives below 140.70 key level Momentum oscillators continue downside pressure USDJPY has declined considerably towards a new 14-month low of 139.56 earlier today, continuing the significant sell-off. The price has been in a bearish tendency since mid-August with the technical oscillators confirming the current move. The MACD oscillator is standing beneath its trigger and zero lines, while the RSI is crossing below the 30 level.
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Análisis XM - Hace 4 días

Week Ahead – Fed to cut interest rates, BoE and BoJ to remain on hold

Investors are split between a 25 and 50bps Fed rate cut BoE expected to stand pat, but resume cuts in November BoJ to also stay on hold, focus to fall on future hike signals Let the Fed cuts begin Since the July US employment report, which sparked fears of recession, investors have been trying to figure out the size of the potential rate cut the Fed will deliver at its September gathering, and the moment of truth has finally come.
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Análisis XM - Hace 4 días

Daily Comment – Dollar sinks, gold surges as 50bps Fed cut back in the picture

Soft US PPI and reports of Fed dilemma revive bets of 50bps cut Dollar plunges as yields fall, pushing gold to new all-time high Euro climbs as ECB trims rates but does not signal October cut Fed rate cut expectations swing wildly Expectations of a 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September had all been priced out by investors.
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Análisis XM - Hace 5 días

Daily Comment – Dollar firms after CPI, euro awaits ECB, techs lead equities rebound

US dollar edges up after CPI report wipes out 50-bps rate cut bets Euro stuck on the backfoot in wait for ECB decision Wall Street rebound gathers pace as tech stocks rally Mixed CPI report disappoints US inflation fell to the lowest since February 2021 in August, but the bigger-than-expected drop in the headline figure was overshadowed by an acceleration in the monthly core measure.
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Análisis XM - Hace 6 días

Technical Analysis - USDJPY unlocks new multi-month low at 140.70

USDJPY confirms the bearish tendency MACD and RSI dive near oversold areas USDJPY depreciated to a new nine-month low of 140.70, further strengthening the bearish trend, especially after the break of the long-term uptrend line. In technical terms, the MACD oscillator is descending below its trigger line in the negative region, while the RSI currently indicates a downward trend, nearing the oversold area.
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Análisis XM - Hace 6 días

Daily Comment – Equities are directionless ahead of US inflation report

Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation  US presidential debate dominates headlines Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally Stocks are in anticipation mode US equity indices were mixed yesterday with the Nasdaq 100 index recording another green day and the Dow Jones mimicking the European stock indices’ negative performance.
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Análisis XM - Hace 6 díasBearish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY plummets to new 9-month low

USDJPY confirms the bearish structure Next support at 140.20 Momentum oscillators keep moving negative USDJPY tumbled to a fresh nine-month low of 140.70 earlier today, boosting the bearish structure that started at the beginning of July. If the market ends the day below the 141.60 strong barrier, then the focus will shift to the 140.20 support, taken from the lows in December 2023. Steeper declines could pave the way for a test of the July 2023 trough at 137.20. On the other hand
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 semana

Equities volatility jumps as sentiment turns negative – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility remains low as market digests US data prints Volatility in commodities remains low apart from oil Stock indices and bitcoin experience much higher volatility Volatility in the main FX pairs, including euro/dollar, has eased in the past few days as the market is digesting last week’s US labour market data and preparing for Wednesday’s CPI report, which could play a role in determining the size of the imminent Fed rate cut.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 semanaNeutral

Technical Analysis – USDJPY lacks direction, looks to US CPI

USDJPY hovers around 20-period moving average (SMA) Some upside momentum still present Next move will likely depend on US CPI report USDJPY is consolidating around its 20-period SMA after the rebound from the one-month low of 141.76 quickly ran out of steam. The RSI is fluctuating right beneath the 50-neutral mark, but the MACD continues to rise above its red signal line in the negative territory.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 semana

Could US CPI tip the balance in favour of a 50bps Fed rate cut? – Preview

Market is digesting last week’s US labour market data The August CPI report could fuel 50bps rate cut expectations Dollar weakness could continue if inflation surprises to the downside The US inflation report will be published at 12:30 GMT on Wednesday Markets are preparing for the first Fed rate cut At the recent Jackson Hole Symposium, Fed Chairman Powell indirectly pre-announced the September 18 rate cut and highlighted the importance of the labour market in the current
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 semana

Daily Comment – Dollar and equities rebound from NFP-led losses as focus turns to US CPI

US jobs report adds to slowdown fears but provides no clarity about Fed policy Dollar whipsaws while stocks tumble as ‘September effect’ takes hold But risk sentiment improves ahead of US CPI report and ECB decision Signs of optimism after NFP bloodbath Markets began the second week of September in a somewhat more upbeat mood as US slowdown jitters were put on hold even as inflation data out of China pointed to persistently weak demand in the world’s second-largest economy.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 semana

Weekly Technical Outlook – EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD

ECB’s rate cut is expected with EURUSD staying below 1.1200 US CPI data may be another sign before Fed’s decision GBPUSD may plunge further if UK employment data disappoint ECB interest rate decision --> EURUSD Several important economic data releases and events may affect market sentiment in the next few days, following a gloomy week.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 semanas

Week Ahead – ECB poised to cut again, US CPI to get final say on size of Fed cut

ECB is expected to ease again, but will it be another ‘hawkish cut’? US CPI report will be the last inflation update before September FOMC UK monthly data flurry begins with employment and GDP numbers ECB to cut rates for second time The European Central Bank’s carefully choreographed rate-cutting cycle got off to an awkward start in June after last-minute data upsets.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 semanas

Daily Comment – Investors lock gaze on NFP data

Dollar slides as data offer little respite to concerned investors NFP to accelerate somewhat, but PMI surveys pose downside risks S&P 500 and Dow Jones end in red ahead of the job numbers Gold rebounds, approaches record high; oil stabilizes Data fail to alleviate investors’ worries The dollar traded lower against all of its major counterparts on Thursday as the boost received by the better-than-expected initial jobless claims and the improving ISM non-manufacturing PMI
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 semanas

Quick Brief – US ADP numbers surprise to the downside

ADP employment prints at 99k, missing expectations Odds of 50bps Fed rate cut rise again USDJPY declines considerably The US ADP employment data published today revealed a lower-than-expected rise in private sector jobs; it rose to 99k from a revised 111k previously and is below the forecast of 145k. This reading is the lowest since 2021 and could have major implications for the dollar, the stock market and the Federal Reserve's possible rate decision.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 semanas

Daily Comment – Equities weakness lingers as focus remains on US data

Equities remain on the back foot as key US data on the menu today ADP, jobless claims and ISM Services could prove market moving Dollar’s mixed performance continues, yen benefits OPEC+ production rumours fail to push oil prices higher US data releases in the spotlight Equity markets continue to exhibit a rather unexpected fragility as second tier data like Wednesday’s JOLTs job openings resulted in another negative session in most stock indices around the globe.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 semanas

Stocks could suffer after the September Fed rate cut

US labour market data to determine the size of the first Fed rate cut History points to an increased possibility of a 50bps move Analysis reveals sizeable equities’ weakness after the initial cut Following Fed Chairman Powell's appearance at the Jackson Hole Symposium and this indirect announcement of the much-discussed Fed rate cut, the market is counting down to the September 18 meeting.
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