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GSOIL-OCT24

Análisis XM

Análisis XM - Hace 18 minutosNeutral

Daily Comment – Markets maintain upbeat mood ahead of PCE inflation

China stimulus and rate cut bets propel stocks higherDollar caught in choppy trading as crucial inflation data awaitedYen surges as new LDP leader in favour of rate hikes set to become PMGold scales fresh record highs before easingMarkets lifted by China’s stimulus blitzEquity markets look set to finish the week in a buoyant mood amid renewed optimism about China’s economic prospects following Beijing’s latest stimulus efforts and as the Fed and ECB strive to achieve a soft landing.Earlier
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 horasNeutral

Technical Analysis – GBPJPY has an unstoppable rally to 2-month high

GBPJPY surpasses 50- and 200-day SMAsStochastic and RSI tick up in overbought regionsGBPJPY has created an aggressive bullish rally to a fresh two-month high of  195.95 over the last ten days following the strong rebound off the 183.70 support level. The market successfully surpassed the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 195.00 round nu
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 horasNeutral

Technical Analysis – Will the AUDUSD rally pause prove temporary?

AUDUSD continues to experience high volatilityIt tests the resistance set by a long-term trendlineMomentum indicators send a mixed message AUDUSD is trading sideways today, following three very volatile sessions that pushed it to the highest level since February 2023. It is currently testing the resistance set by the February 25, 2021 downward sloping trendline, with today’s US PCE report potentially proving pivotal in the outcome of this battle.
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Análisis XM - Hace 19 horasNeutral

Central banks easing: the race to the bottom has officially commenced

Fed to lead the easing spree in the fourth quarter of 2024A conservative approach is priced in for ECB and BoESNB, BoC and RBNZ to ease further; RBA could follow suitBoJ could surprise with another rate hike by year-end More rate cuts on the way in the fourth quarter of 2024Another round of central banks’ meetings has been completed with the Fed stealing the show by announcing the start of its easing cycle.
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Análisis XM - Hace 20 horasBearish

Technical Analysis – US dollar index may visit 14-month low again

US dollar index dived beneath 100.00 on Wednesday’s sessionTechnical oscillators tick downThe US dollar index has lost its positive momentum after rebounding off the 14-month low of 99.90. In the short term, the market could retain the bearish structure as the RSI ticks lower below the neutral level of 50, while the stochastic is heading down.If the price continues south, Wednesday's low of 99.90 could provide immediate support before the index touches the 99.25 bottom, taken from the lo
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Análisis XM - Hace 21 horasBullish

Technical Analysis – Silver on the verge of a major bullish trend reversal

Silver bulls roar back; make efforts to resume long-term uptrend above 32.49Price hovers near overbought zone; trend signals remain encouraging above 31.50Silver made a comeback on Thursday after a temporary pause, with scope to challenge May’s eleven-year high of 32.49, which it didn’t reach in July.The rebound near the broken resistance line at 30.60 indicated a bullish trend reversal recently, and although the RSI and stochastic oscillator are near overbought levels, they haven’t peaked
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Análisis XM - Hace 23 horasNeutral

Midweek Technical Look – USDJPY, GBPUSD, Gold

Gold follows bullish pattern; looks for fresh buying above 2,650  GBPUSD comes under pressure after 2½-year high; downside pressure may persistUSDJPY makes progress but is not out of the woods
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 díaBearish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY flirts with short-term diagonal line

USDJPY tries to surpass the 23.6% FibonacciMACD and RSI gain momentumUSDJPY is challenging the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the down leg from 161.94 to 139.56 at 144.80, as well as the very short-term downtrend line, creating a bullish correction from the 14-month low of 139.56.The technical oscillators are currently mirroring the market's latest upside movement.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 díaNeutral

Daily Comment – Dollar bounces back as stocks lifted from more Chinese stimulus

US dollar rebounds ahead of Powell and other Fed speakersUS futures also turn positive as Asian rally continues on China optimismSNB cuts rates by 25 bps as expected as ECB mulls October cutDovish Fed bets can’t keep the dollar downThe US dollar is holding firm on Thursday after bouncing back strongly on Wednesday to recoup some of its post-Fed losses.
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 díaNeutral

Quick Brief – Oil bears take the driver’s seat

Oil tumbles as Saudi Arabia prepares to drop $100 price targetPBoC measures fail to provide supportMarket ignores US inventories and tensions in the Middle EastOil prices fell around 2.5% on Thursday due to easing concerns about supply disruptions in Libya after factions signed an official accord on appointing a central bank governor, thereby ending the dispute regarding their central bank and oil revenue.The tumble accelerated today after the Financial Times reported that Saudi Arabia is ready
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Análisis XM - Hace 1 díaBearish

Technical Analysis – WTI crude oil plunges in descending tendency

WTI dives 7% from 73.30200-day SMA moves horizontallyMACD and stochastics confirm bearish outlookWTI crude oil prices have lost more than 7% over the last couple of days after the pullback from the 73.30 resistance level. The commodity is also declining beneath the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) with the next support coming from the 17-month lo
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasBullish

Copper futures jump above 4.50 but yet to reach 50% FibonacciSigns of overbought market might limit further gains in short termCopper futures (HGCOP) have climbed to more than two-month highs, reaching 4.5495 earlier today. But the price has now reversed lower amid overbought conditions in the momentum indicators. The RSI is about to cross into the overbought 70 region, but the stochastics have already entered it.The pullback comes as the industrial metal approaches the 50% Fibonacci retracement
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasBearish

Technical Analysis - USDCAD tumbles and hits support near 1.3425

USDCAD falls sharply, accelerating prevailing retreatBoth the RSI and the MACD detect bearish momentumA break below 1.3425 could extend the fall towards 1.3350For the outlook to brighten, a rebound above 1.3645 may be neededUSDCAD fell sharply on Tuesday, extending the retreat that started on Thursday after the pair hit resistance at 1.3645, slightly above the lower bound of the sideways range that contained most of the price action between April and August.Yesterday’s tumble was paused today
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasBullish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD retreats from 2½-year high

GBPUSD may create bearish correction in short-termStochastic and RSI turn downGBPUSD is ticking lower after it posted a fresh two-and-a-half-year high of 1.3428 during today’s session.According to technical oscillators, the stochastic is creating a bearish crossover between its %K and %D lines in the overbought region, while the RSI is falling from the 70 level.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasNeutral

Technical Analysis – GBPAUD correction might have legs

GBPAUD in the red again todayBoth BoE and RBA have refrained from cutting ratesMomentum indicators are inconclusive at this stage GBPAUD is trading slightly lower today, within the busy 1.9440-1.9521 area, and close to the recent peak of 1.9699. GBPAUD has managed to break below both the July 10, 2024 trendline and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), but a stronger correction is needed to validate this move.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasNeutral

Technical Analysis – Another record for the US 500 index

US 500 stock index hits another all-time highTechnical signals mixed; more buying awaited above 5,750 The US 500 stock index restarted its positive trend on Tuesday, inching up to a record high of 5,736 after keeping its foot on the rising almost one-year-old constraining line at 5,674.Mixed technical signals are observed, with the RSI slightly below its 70 overbought level and the stochastic oscillator returning to the overbought region with a positive slope, indicating the possibility of add
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasNeutral

S&P 500 hits another record on Fed put but tech stocks look shaky – Stock Markets

S&P 500 and Dow Jones close at new peaks but Nasdaq stuttersFed rate cut boosts risk appetite, China stimulus further lifts sentimentBut tech stocks are mixed as AI rally cools, earnings doubts creep inThe bulls return from summer hiatusAfter a prolonged period of unusual calm in the markets, volatility was back with a vengeance during the summer and autumn got off to an equally bumpy start.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasBearish

Gold prices may post bearish correctionMomentum oscillators lose steamGold prices are losing their strong positive momentum after flying to the 2,670.50 record high in the preceding couple of sessions. Moreover, the technical oscillators look overstretched. The MACD is easing above its trigger and zero lines, while the RSI is pointing down from the 70 level.If the commodity ticks lower may move towards the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) at 2,630 ahead of the 2,622 support level.
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasNeutral

Technical Analysis – NZDUSD puts life back to short-term uptrend

NZDUSD marks new higher high for 2024Positive momentum might soften; eyes on 0.6368NZDUSD stretched its exciting rally to a new nine-month high of 0.6354 on Wednesday before experiencing mild losses.The pair surpassed August’s bar with a bang, shifting the spotlight to the December 2023 peak of 0.6368. Given the strengthening overbought signals coming from the RSI and the stochastic oscillator, the rally could soon calm down.A decisive close above 0.6368 could stage a new bull wave towards th
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Análisis XM - Hace 2 díasNeutral

Daily Comment – Equities are on autopilot but cannot help the dollar

Increased expectations for another 50bps Fed cutDollar continues to suffer but euro’s strength is perplexingPositive impact of China’s measures gradually fadesGold and oil diverge despite Middle East developmentsIs the Fed preparing for another 50bps cut? The markets seem to have settled down after last week’s big events with equities rallying, the US dollar underperforming and gold climbing regardless of the newsflow.
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