XM no presta servicios a los residentes de Estados Unidos de América.

Forint underperforms as dollar strength pressures emerging markets



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-Forint underperforms as dollar strength pressures emerging markets</title></head><body>

By Anita Komuves

BUDAPEST, Oct 10 (Reuters) -Hungary's forint weakened past the psychological 400-per-euro level again on Thursday, underperforming regional peers as it was pressured by dollar gains while a central bank deputy governor dampened rate cut expectations for this year.

The currency EURHUF=, central Europe's worst performer so far this year, weakened 0.5% on the day to trade at 400.55 per euro as it was pressured by a stronger dollar and a rise in U.S. Treasury yields, two traders in Budapest said.

"Both the forint and the zloty gave up their gains from the previous two session," one trader said.

The forint was hovering near an 18-month low hit last week, when it was pressured by tensions in the Middle East and a shift in the U.S. interest rate outlook.

Deputy Central Bank Governor Barnabas Virag flagged a likely pause in the National Bank of Hungary's (NBH) rate cuts on Thursday in an interview with Reuters.

"The developments which have unfolded since the end of September justify that in this environment the scope for decisions has definitely shifted towards pausing the rate cut cycle," Virag said.

A second trader said that most market participants now expect the NBH to keep rates unchanged at the Oct. 22 meeting.

"If they do not cut, that could calm the market," he said. "What worries me is whether the government will put pressure on the bank to cut further," he said.

Faced with a weak recovery from last year's recession, Prime Minister Viktor Orban's government has called on the NBH to cut rates more sharply, though the veteran leader has toned down his pressure on the bank ahead of an NBH leadership change in March.

Data published on Thursday showed Hungarian inflation falling to the central bank's 3% target for the first time since January 2021. In the Czech Republic, consumer prices jumped 2.6% year-on-year, more than expected.

The crown EURCZK= edged up 0.09% on the day to trade at 25.322 per euro, but remained close to near two-month lows hit last week.

Falling financing costs in Hungary and the Czech Republic have been a drag on the countries' currencies while stable rates in Poland support the zloty, even though a strengthening dollar weighs on all of the region's currencies.

The zloty EURPLN= dipped 0.26% on the day to trade at 4.305 per euro.

Investors were also eyeing inflation data from the U.S. scheduled to be released later in the day.




CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1156 CET






CURRENCIES







Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




trade

close

change

in 2024

EURCZK=

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.3220

25.3450

+0.09%

-2.45%

EURHUF=

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

400.5500

398.5500

-0.50%

-4.34%

EURPLN=

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.3050

4.2940

-0.26%

+0.92%

EURRON=

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9757

4.9760

+0.01%

-0.03%

EURRSD=

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.0000

117.0600

+0.05%

+0.21%


Note: daily change

calculated from


1800 CET












Latest

Previous

Daily

Change





close

change

in 2024

.PX

Prague

.PX

1591.70

1586.8800

+0.30%

+12.57%

.BUX

Budapest

.BUX

73838.05

74011.67

-0.23%

+21.80%

.WIG20

Warsaw

.WIG20

2309.64

2321.28

-0.50%

-1.42%

.BETI

Bucharest

.BETI

17612.32

17656.26

-0.25%

+14.58%













Spread

Daily






vs Bund

change in


Czech Republic





spread

CZ2YT=RR

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.3180

0.0510

+104bps

+3bps

CZ5YT=RR

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.6400

0.0640

+150bps

+5bps

CZ10YT=RR

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

3.9120

0.0340

+164bps

+2bps


Poland






PL2YT=RR

2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.9100

0.0140

+263bps

-1bps

PL5YT=RR

5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.2130

0.0290

+307bps

+1bps

PL10YT=RR

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.4840

-0.0120

+321bps

-3bps










FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS







3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank


Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

3.78

3.47

3.30

4.17


Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.15

5.84

5.57

6.31


Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.78

5.45

4.95

5.86


Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices





**************************************************************





Writing by Anita Komuves
Editing by Mark Potter

For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news EMRG CEEU CEE/ Spot FX rates Eastern Europe spot FX EEFX= Middle East spot FX MEFX= Asia spot FX ASIAFX= Latin America spot FX LATAMFX= Other news and reports World central bank news CEN Economic Data Guide ECONGUIDE Official rates GLOBAL/INT Emerging Diary EMRG/DIARY Top events M/DIARY Diaries DIARY Diaries Index IND/DIARY
</body></html>

Descargo de responsabilidades: Cada una de las entidades de XM Group proporciona un servicio de solo ejecución y acceso a nuestra plataforma de trading online, permitiendo a una persona ver o usar el contenido disponible en o a través del sitio web, sin intención de cambiarlo ni ampliarlo. Dicho acceso y uso están sujetos en todo momento a: (i) Términos y Condiciones; (ii) Advertencias de riesgo; y (iii) Descargo completo de responsabilidades. Por lo tanto, dicho contenido se proporciona exclusivamente como información general. En particular, por favor tenga en cuenta que, los contenidos de nuestra plataforma de trading online no son ni solicitud ni una oferta para entrar a realizar transacciones en los mercados financieros. Operar en cualquier mercado financiero implica un nivel de riesgo significativo para su capital.

Todo el material publicado en nuestra plataforma de trading online tiene únicamente fines educativos/informativos y no contiene –y no debe considerarse que contenga– asesoramiento ni recomendaciones financieras, tributarias o de inversión, ni un registro de nuestros precios de trading, ni una oferta ni solicitud de transacción con instrumentos financieros ni promociones financieras no solicitadas.

Cualquier contenido de terceros, así como el contenido preparado por XM, como por ejemplo opiniones, noticias, investigaciones, análisis, precios, otras informaciones o enlaces a sitios de terceros que figuran en este sitio web se proporcionan “tal cual”, como comentarios generales del mercado y no constituyen un asesoramiento en materia de inversión. En la medida en que cualquier contenido se interprete como investigación de inversión, usted debe tener en cuenta y aceptar que dicho contenido no fue concebido ni elaborado de acuerdo con los requisitos legales diseñados para promover la independencia en materia de investigación de inversiones y, por tanto, se considera como una comunicación comercial en virtud de las leyes y regulaciones pertinentes. Por favor, asegúrese de haber leído y comprendido nuestro Aviso sobre investigación de inversión no independiente y advertencia de riesgo en relación con la información anterior, al que se puede acceder aquí.

Advertencia de riesgo: Su capital está en riesgo. Los productos apalancados pueden no ser adecuados para todos. Por favor, tenga en cuenta nuestra Declaración de riesgos.