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Stocks, FX steady ahead of US data; geopolitics in focus as rouble falls



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Updated at 0840 GMT

Rouble weakens past 92 per dollar

Fitch downgrades Israel's credit rating

MSCI reclassifies Kenya indexes

MSCI EM stocks, FX indexes both up 0.06%

By Lisa Pauline Mattackal

Aug 13 (Reuters) -Emerging market stocks were little changed on Tuesday as investors awaited key data this week for clues on the health of the world's largest economies, while the rouble continued to weaken as Russia's fighting with Ukraine intensified.

The rouble RUB= slid past 92 per dollar for the first time in three months as Ukraine continued its biggest attack on Russian territory since the war began.

The rouble has lost nearly 9% against the dollar, and around 9.5% against the euro EURRUB=, since Ukraine's Aug. 6 incursion, according to LSEG data.

Meanwhile, focus is on inflation data from the United States, due Wednesday, for further signals on whether a larger-than-usual interest rate cut, a likely boon for emerging market assets, could be on the table at the Federal Reserve's September meeting.

MSCI's index of emerging market stocks .MSCIEF and the broader EM currency index .MIEM00000CUS were little changed.

U.S. producer price data is also due later on Tuesday. Chinese industrial output and retail sales data later in the week will be closely watched for clues on demand growth and the likelihood of government stimulus.

"Receding U.S. demand will deprive the world economy of its main support, while Chinese demand is unlikely to fill the void given lacklustre economic conditions and relatively timid stimulus, BCA Research said, noting that emerging market equities would be particularly vulnerable.

Further on the geopolitical front, Fitch downgraded Israel's credit rating to "A" from "A-plus" on Monday, citing worsening geopolitical risk while keeping the rating outlook negative.

Israeli assets had come under pressure on Monday prior to the announcement, with stocks .TA125 falling, the shekel ILS= weakening 1.5% against the dollar and an index of government bonds .MERG0IS down nearly 0.5%.

Israeli stock markets were closed for a holiday on Tuesday, but the shekel was slightly stronger against the dollar.

In Europe, the Hungarian forint EURHUF= led regional currency gains against the euro. The euro weakened 0.3% against the forint, and 0.2% versus the Polish zloty EURPLN=.

Among equities, Poland's main stock index .WIG20 edged up 0.1% after its best day since November. Shares of Alior Bank ALRR.WA rose 6.7% after its addition to MSCI's Poland Global Standard Index.

South Africa's rand ZAR= strengthened 0.3% against the dollar ahead of employment and mining data. The rand has risen for the past five sessions.

MSCI added that its Kenya indexes would be reclassified into a "very low liquidity" market category.


HIGHLIGHTS:

** EXPLAINER-What is the Chinese yuan carry trade and how is it different from the yen's?

** Philippines central bank sees room to keep rates unchanged, governor says

** India's weight on key MSCI equity index rises to record high; $3 bln inflows likely


For TOP NEWS across emerging markets nTOPEMRG

For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see CEE/

For TURKISH market report, see .IS

For RUSSIAN market report, see RU/RUB


For graphic on emerging market FX performance in 2024 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

For graphic on MSCI emerging index performance in 2024 https://tmsnrt.rs/2OusNdX


Reporting by Lisa Mattackal in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak Dasgupta

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