• Nvidia’s stock extends exponential rally; pauses slightly below 130

• There is potential for more upside as overbought signals not confirmed yet

• Earnings due on Wednesday, August 28 after market close

Nvidia staged another descent rally along with other tech stocks on Monday, sparking optimism that the ongoing bullish wave is not part of a bearish trend, and that the worst is now behind us as the price violated the tentative descending trendline taken from June’s record high.

Some stability would not be a big surprise following two quick progressive weeks. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the previous bearish cycle is in the neighborhood at 130.30 and could cap upside pressures. Note that the stochastic oscillator is flattening after surpassing its previous highs in the overbought zone, warning that the bears might be around the corner.

However, there are indications that the bullish cycle will continue for a while longer before the bears regain control. The RSI is some distance below its 70 overbought level and the MACD has just stepped into the positive region. Additionally, the price has marginally surpassed the Ichimoku cloud, and both the %D and %K lines have shown a bullish crossover.

If the stock remains above the upper band of the cloud at 128.20, it could gain momentum and reach July’s peak of 134.88 or even test its all-time high of 140.29. Further up, the price could take a breather near the broken ascending trendline from May’s lows at 148.26 before meeting the 150.00 psychological level.

On the downside, the 123.90 region could buffer selling interest ahead of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 120.00. If the 117.00 region gives way too, the next stop could be near the 20-day SMA at 112.00 or lower at 108.00.