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GBPUSD


Έρευνα XM

Week Ahead – Investors brace for NFP amid Fed rate cut speculation

Traders see decent chance for 50bps Fed cut in September Powell adds extra importance to jobs data, NFP awaited BoC decides on rates, third consecutive cut is fully priced in Aussie traders lock gaze on GDP numbers   Bets for double Fed cut remain elevated Here comes another NFP week, with investors eagerly awaiting the results as they try to discern the size and pace of the Fed’s forthcoming rate cuts.
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Midweek Technical Look - GBPUSD, gold, oil

GBPUSD weakens its momentum slightly beneath the 2½-year high Gold battles with record high; still above 2,500 WTI crude oil erases some losses but has lots of room for improvement
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Daily Comment – Markets cautious as Nvidia earnings and key US data loom

Dollar pauses slide as jobs and inflation data awaited Yen pulls back but hawkish BoJ signals keep it elevated Wall Street awaits Nvidia, oil retreats on demand worries Dollar awaits key data for direction The US dollar extended its slump against all its major peers on Tuesday, as in the absence of any top-tier data and shocking headlines, investors continued to digest Powell’s dovish stance at Jackson Hole.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD surged to 2½-month high

GBPUSD rallies since August 8 with no bearish correction Momentum oscillators are overbought levels GBPUSD skyrocketed to another fresh almost two-and-a-half-year high of 1.3245, recorded earlier in the day. The pair is extending its buying interest, which started back in April with an impressive bullish rally after rebounding off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.2670. Technically, the stochastic oscillator is resting in the overbought territory, while the RSI is ticking n
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Daily Comment – Rate cut euphoria tempered by geopolitics as oil surges

Mood turns cautious amid geopolitical uncertainty in Libya and Gaza Fears of supply disruptions drive up oil prices, S&P 500 closes lower China concerns also weigh but European stocks turn positive as data awaited Geopolitical risks take over as oil rallies Equity markets were mixed on Tuesday and the US dollar consolidated as investors turned cautious ahead of the week’s main events amid renewed fears about disruptions to oil supply.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD: Is the next downturn approaching?

GBPUSD’s bull run slows down near a familiar resistance area Some stability is likely; sellers need a close below 1.3188 to gain control   GBPUSD opened the week with marginal losses after its almost uninterrupted two-week rally was rejected near the key resistance trendline at 1.3229 for the third time. While the bulls are trying to make a comeback today, the RSI and Stochastic oscillator are both flatlining in the overbought zone, indicating a high risk of a downside correction
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Daily Comment – Powell signals it’s time to cut; dollar sinks but risk rally muted

Powell says the time has come for rate cuts, pushing yields and dollar lower But cautious rally in stocks as Nvidia earnings, inflation data awaited Oil jumps amid fresh escalation between Israel and Hezbollah Powell green lights rate cuts Fed Chair Jerome Powell locked in a September rate cut on Friday, using his Jackson Hole address to signal the Fed’s long-awaited pivot toward an easing cycle.
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Market Comment – Markets position ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech

Dollar rebounds despite jobless claims increase Traders position for Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech Yen rebounds as BoJ’s Ueda appears willing to continue hiking rates Wall Street slips as tech shares weigh, gold pulls back Fed cut bets readjusted ahead of Powell’s speech The US dollar rebounded against all but one of its major peers on Thursday, with the only exception being the British pound.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD unlocks new high above 1.3100

GBPUSD extends bullish rally for the 6thstraight day Stochastics indicate overstretched market RSI continues to move up GBPUSD has been in an extremely bullish rally over the last six days, recording a new 13-month high of 1.3128. The market added almost 4% following the bounce off the 200-day SMA and the medium-term ascending trend line.
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Market Comment – Dovish Fed and labor data weigh on dollar

Fed minutes reveal some members wanted a July cut Nonfarm payroll growth revised down by the most since 2009 PMIs in focus ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech Wall Street gains ground, oil extends slide Dollar slips as traders ramp up Fed cut bets The dollar extended its slide against its major counterparts on Wednesday, as the minutes of the July 30-31 Fed gathering revealed that officials are strongly leaning towards a September rate cut, with some members being willing
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Market Comment – Dollar looks at the Fed minutes for a small boost

Dollar weakness dominates the FX space Today’s Fed minutes could halt the euro/dollar rally Markets are gearing up to the Powell's Jackson Hole speech Oil prices remain under pressure  Dollar underperformance continues The euro continues to take advantage of the US dollar’s weakness by trading to the highest level since December 2023. This pair has managed to quickly climb above the critical 1.1032-1.1095 area, which has acted as strong resistance in the recent pas
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Volatility ebbs as recession fears evaporate – Volatility Watch

Besides EUR/USD, FX volatility subsides as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in precious metals is still high, but oil enters calmer waters Stock indices and Bitcoin volatility at their bottom of their 30-day range Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected July NFP report have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths. This week, investors are focused on Jerome Powell's Jackson H
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Market Comment – Dollar under pressure ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

Stocks in the green again as investors await the Jackson Hole gathering Economists look for strong Fed easing in 2024 despite recession talk dissipating Dollar remains on the back foot against most currencies Aussie fails to benefit from hawkish minutes; loonie could suffer from weak CPI Stocks still in the green Stocks continue to enjoy green sessions as the market is counting down to Friday’s Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chairman Powell.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD awaits strong resistance near 1-year high

GBPUSD’s rebound off 200-day SMA still holds Stochastic in overbought area RSI ticks south above 50 level GBPUSD continues last week's rebound off the 200-day SMA and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level of the up leg from 1.2300 to 1.3045 at 1.2670, but with some weakness today. The intraday bias looks neutral to negative, as the stochastic is still standing above the 80 level but is losing some steam, while the RSI, although above 50, seems to be making its way down.
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Week Ahead – Jackson Hole and PMIs enter the spotlight

As recession fears ease, investors lock gaze on Jackson Hole Eurozone and UK PMIs to affect ECB and BoE expectations Canadian inflation could back third consecutive BoC cut Japan’s Nationwide CPI data also on the agenda Jackson Hole to test overly dovish Fed cut bets Following the unjustified panic triggered by the weaker-than-expected NFP report for July, investors have taken a calmer stance, thereafter, reevaluating their aggressive Fed rate cut bets as the incoming data s
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Market Comment – US retail sales eyed after CPI report fails to set off fireworks

US inflation eases further in July but market reaction is muted Wall Street unimpressed, dollar mixed Yen and pound supported by upbeat GDP data US CPI does little for 50-bps cut hopes The steady recovery in risk appetite remains on track following yesterday's inflation numbers out of the US that seem to have somewhat underwhelmed investors.
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Market Comment – Markets perk up as soft PPI sets the tone ahead of US CPI

Stocks perk up after soft US producer prices, all eyes now on CPI report Kiwi slumps after RBNZ cuts rates and signals more to come Pound also slips on weaker-than-expected UK inflation data Gold holds near record high as dollar skids, ME tensions mount Mood brightens ahead of US CPI data The rebound in equity markets gained further traction on Tuesday after US producer prices rose less than expected in July, raising hopes that today’s report on consumer prices will also sur
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Market anxiety fades but volatility remains high – Volatility Watch

FX volatility smoothens a little bit as markets digest rate path repricing Volatility in commodities still high amid resurgence of geopolitical tensions Stock indices and Bitcoin still volatile while traders unwind bearish bets  Recession concerns from a weaker-than-expected NFP report two weeks ago have been fading, though they led to notable adjustments in expectations about major central banks' interest rate paths.
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Market Comment – Stocks edge up in calm before the storm

Stocks edge higher as gold benefits from geopolitical risks Pound rallies despite shock claimant count change French political issues return to the foreground RBNZ meeting could lead to significant kiwi underperformance Stocks edge higher as gold climb continues  It was another uneventful session yesterday with most stock indices continuing to recover from last week’s rout.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD battles with 50-day SMA

GBPUSD advances after its bounce off 200-day SMA A potential breach of 50-day SMA could improve outlook Oscillators suggest strengthening positive momentum GBPUSD had been on the rise following its deflection at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on August 8. After four consecutive daily green candlesticks, the pair is on track to reclaim its 50-day SMA as the momentum indicators are hinting at an improving positive bias.
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