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Ειδήσεις

JPY volatility successfully quashed, options show

BUZZ-COMMENT-JPY volatility successfully quashed, options show July 12 (Reuters) - The price action in FX options since Thursday's U.S. CPI data reinforces expectations of official intervention, but also reflects its success in quashing related volatility and JPY weakness, at least for now. The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is an unknown, but key part, of their premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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Sterling heads for best two-week run since November

Sterling heads for best two-week run since November LONDON, July 12 (Reuters) - The pound coursed towards its best two-week performance against the dollar in eight months on Friday, after data pointed to an improvement in UK growth, while the U.S. economy shows signs of fatigue. Action in the foreign exchange market in the last 24 hours has been dominated by the yen, which rose by the most since early May on Thursday after the Bank of Japan likely intervened to prop it up, just as the dollar wea
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Yen choppy on intervention nerves; Asia shares eye weekly gain

GLOBAL MARKETS-Yen choppy on intervention nerves; Asia shares eye weekly gain Updates prices at 0330 GMT By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, July 12 (Reuters) - The yen swung between losses and gains on Friday in volatile trade, reflecting investors' skittishness after Tokyo was thought to have intervened to prop up the Japanese currency in the wake of a cooler-than-expected U.S.
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US recap: EUR/USD firms after post-CPI yen surge

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD firms after post-CPI yen surge Dollar slammed vs yen , dovish US CPI backs September Fed cut AUD/USD -US inflation fueled a bull run July 11 (Reuters) - The dollar weakened against the majors on Thursday after an unexpected fall in headline U.S. CPI was reported, taking a particularly sharp tumble against the yen that is likely to draw comparisons to bouts of intervention by Japanese officials earlier this year.
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Sterling hits new 2024 high after US CPI dip hints at lower Fed path

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sterling hits new 2024 high after US CPI dip hints at lower Fed path GBP/USD rose to a 2024 peak of 1.2949 and appears poised to rally further after lower-than-forecast U.S. CPI sank U.S. Treasury yields, spurred market betting on a Fed rate cut in September and increased speculation to as many as three rate reductions this year. Falling real weekly earnings further solidified expectations of at least two rate cuts this year, though below-forecast claims data tempered that mood slig
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Japanese yen surges, ringing intervention alarm bells

UPDATE 3-Japanese yen surges, ringing intervention alarm bells Yen set for biggest one-day rally since 2022 US CPI data triggers FX frenzy Traders assess chances of official Japan intervention Updates with comment, graphic; refreshes prices LONDON, July 11 (Reuters) - The Japanese yen surged nearly 3% on Thursday in its biggest daily rise since late 2022, a move that local media attributed to a round of official buying to prop up a currency that has languished at 38-year lows.
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UK election risk to GBP, according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-UK election risk to GBP, according to FX options July 4 (Reuters) - Implied volatility gauges FX realised volatility expectations and is a key component of an FX option premium. Overnight expiry GBP related implied volatility now includes the UK election and is therefore a bellwether for related FX volatility risk. Overnight GBP/USD implied volatility has averaged 7.5 over recent sessions - a premium/break-even of 40 USD pips in either direction for a simple vanilla straddle.
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Yen intervention threat keeps GS on sidelines

LIVE MARKETS-Yen intervention threat keeps GS on sidelines CAC40 up 1.4%, STOXX 600 up 0.3% French election result in focus US futures steady Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of markets brought to you by Reuters reporters. You can share your thoughts with us at markets.research@thomsonreuters.com YEN INTERVENTION THREAT KEEPS GS ON SIDELINES The yen, trading at a 38-year low against the dollar, has decoupled from rate differentials, Goldman Sachs noted, but even as conditions may be in
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Are FX option trade flows predicting USD/JPY outlook?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Are FX option trade flows predicting USD/JPY outlook? June 26 (Reuters) - Given their forward-looking nature, price action in FX options can often be a bellwether for broader FX market sentiment and expectations and USD/JPY options have seen a particular theme emerging of late. There's been increased demand for longer-dated expiry options, particularly 9-month through 1-year, with downside strikes between 145.00 and 135.00. While there are many reasons for certain trading patterns t
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Dollar reined in by threat of Japanese intervention, yen fragile

FOREX-Dollar reined in by threat of Japanese intervention, yen fragile Updates prices at 1105 GMT By Amanda Cooper LONDON, June 25 (Reuters) - The dollar backed off the key 160 yen level on Tuesday, as fears of intervention from Japanese officials deterred traders from punishing the yen too severely against any other currencies. Elsewhere, bitcoin BTC= recovered some lost ground after its worst day in more than two months at the start of the week, in part due to flows out of bitcoin exchange-tra
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FX options reveal the true risk of more JPY intervention

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options reveal the true risk of more JPY intervention June 25 (Reuters) - USD/JPY is threatening to retest the 160.24 peak which initiated the first of two bouts of official intervention on April 29 and May 1, but price action in forward-looking JPY-related FX options is different this time. When USD/JPY eventually broke above the prior intervention peak from October 2022 at 151.94 on April 10, 2024, there was a big reaction in FX option markets.
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Sterling edges up against dollar, yen

Sterling edges up against dollar, yen LONDON, June 25 (Reuters) - The pound was one of the better performing major currencies on Tuesday, as a sell-off in the stock market and jitters around politics on both sides of the Atlantic drove more investors towards the comparative safety of the U.S. dollar. Sterling GBP=D3 was last up 0.1% at $1.27, compared with declines in the value of the euro and yen.
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Dollar tempered by threat of Japan intervention, yen fragile

FOREX-Dollar tempered by threat of Japan intervention, yen fragile Updates throughout, adds comment, refreshes prices at 0730 GMT By Amanda Cooper LONDON, June 25 (Reuters) - The dollar attempted to break above the key 160 yen level on Tuesday but with little success as fears of intervention from Japanese officials deterred traders from punishing the yen too severely against other currencies.
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Whatever BOE delivers, worth betting cable near top

BUZZ-COMMENT-Whatever BOE delivers, worth betting cable near top June 19 (Reuters) - Whatever message the Bank of England delivers on Thursday it's worth betting cable is near the top. Now that inflation has finally returned to target traders betting on a rise will likely be encouraged to sell by a view toward cutting interest rates in the future.
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FX options double the risk premium for GBP/USD downside

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options double the risk premium for GBP/USD downside June 18 (Reuters) - Risk reversals are an FX option strategy to capture FX volatility in a particular direction and those in GBP/USD have seen their downside over upside strike premiums double over recent sessions. Volatility is an unknown yet key parameter of an FX option premium so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute.
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Tokyo players shun EUR and GBP pre-elections, after?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Tokyo players shun EUR and GBP pre-elections, after? June 18 (Reuters) - Tokyo players are likely to shun EUR and GBP until French and British elections in July . Depending on the outcomes, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY could remain out of favour even beyond next month. EUR/JPY fell to a 167.54 EBS low on June 14 following right-wing party gains in European Union elections and French President Emmanuel Macron's call for snap legislative elections .
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Here's the BoJ risk to according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-Here's the BoJ risk to JPY - according to FX options June 13 (Reuters) - The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is gauged with implied volatility when setting the premium, making implied volatility a risk bellwether for impending events. Overnight/next day expiry is the shortest duration option and any changes to its implied volatility and subsequent premiums therefore offer a insight to the perceived FX volatility risk attached to major events covered by its expiry, such as
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Don't bet on a big GBP reaction to the UK election

BUZZ-COMMENT-Don't bet on a big GBP reaction to the UK election June 6 (Reuters) - FX options are forward looking and thrive on FX volatility, but their current pricing suggests that traders aren't expecting the July 4 UK election to create too much in the way of additional GBP volatility. Volatility is an unknown yet key parameter of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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There's potential value in USD/JPY FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-There's potential value in USD/JPY FX options June 6 (Reuters) - FX volatility traders looking for potential value might consider USD/JPY options, where FX realised volatility has increased. FX volatility is an unknown but key parameter of an FX option premium so dealers use implied volatility as a substitute. That creates an opportunity to trade any disparity between implied and realised volatility.
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US recap: Big JOLTS drop dulls dollar's haven bid

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: Big JOLTS drop dulls dollar's haven bid USD/JPY-JOLTS drop adds to derisking dive before upcoming essential US data AUD/USD-Bulls put up a fight after JOLTS report June 4 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Tuesday, along with the yen, on risk aversion but the U.S. currency retreated from its highs after a plunge in JOLTS job openings added to a string of weakening U.S.
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