Trump presidency lifts Wall St to record high; dollar, Treasury yields surge
Corrects second paragraph to say yields rose, not sank
Major stock indexes on Wall St hit record highs; Tesla jumps
Dollar climbs, euro down 2%
Treasury yields surge as 30-year yield rises as much as 20 bps
Mexican peso hits two-year low
By Koh Gui Qing and Dhara Ranasinghe
NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 6 (Reuters) -Wall Street marched to record highs on Wednesday and major stock markets around the world surged, while bitcoin hit an all-time-high and the dollar was set for its biggest one-day jump in four years after Donald Trump was elected U.S. president.
Trump's decisive victory pummelled long-dated Treasuries and revived the "Trump trade,"as yields rose in anticipation that Trump will hike tariffs as he has promised, increasing the U.S. deficit and inflation and causing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by less than it otherwise would have.
Trump, 78, recaptured the White House in Tuesday's election with resolute support, despite news reports and polls that said it was a closely contested election.
"In the near term, we see U.S. equities supported by solid economic and corporate earnings growth, political clarity and Federal Reserve rate cuts," BlackRock Investment Institute said. "Longer term, much depends on how much of Trump’s agenda is enacted."
The VIX, a measure of stocks' volatility also perceived as "Wall Street's fear gauge," dived 21% as investors celebrated in part the clarity of the election outcome and scooped up risky assets across the board.
The S&P 500 Index .SPX jumped 2.4%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 3.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite leapt 2.7%. All three indexes hit record highs on Wednesday. .N The MSCI index for world stocks .MIWD00000PUS rose 1.3%.
Shares in electric car maker Tesla TSLA.O leapt 13.6% after Elon Musk, its billionaire chief executive officer, emerged as one of Trump's key supporters in the final leg of his 2024 campaign.
Investors appeared to bet on Tesla's benefiting from Musk's ties with Trump , who has said he would a create a government efficiency commission headed by Musk to cut federal spending.
Shares in Trump's social media company, Trump Media & Technology Group DJT.O, gained 3.6% to $35.10 after surging as much as 42% overnight. The stock has halved in value since hitting a record high in March.
The dollar index =USD rallied 1.6% and was set for its best day since March 2020.
Outside the United States, investors were decidedly less euphoric, weighed by concerns that higher tariffs under Trump would hurt global trade and economic growth.
European shares gave up earlier gains and fell 0.5% .STOXX. Mexico's peso sank to its weakest level in over two years.
"The market is definitely moving in line with the Trump playbook; stocks and small caps, in particular, are higher on the idea that Trump will be good for U.S. companies," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist for Principal Asset Management in London.
"Across emerging markets, you can see China and Europe are struggling with the idea that they could face higher tariffs, and U.S. bond yields higher with expectations for a higher fiscal deficit and inflation."
BONDS DISCONNECT
U.S. borrowing costs surged particularly for longer-dated bonds, suggesting concern from investors about the U.S. deficit path.
The 10-year Treasury yield US10YT=RR rallied 16.2 basis points to 4.4551%, its largest gain in a single day in nearly seven months.
The 30-yearTreasury yield US30YT=RR rose 18.5 bps to 4.6339%, its biggest one-dayincrease since March 2020's pandemic-inducedvolatility. US/
While markets 0#FF: were still confident the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the close of its two-day meeting on Thursday FEDWATCH, they slightly reduced bets on further easing in December.
"The big challenge for markets is that if you do see tariffs come through you need to balance the short-term nature of inflation risks with the medium-term aspect of lower growth," said Justin Onuekwusi, chief investment officer at investment firm St. James's Place. "The market appears to be thinking about inflation right now."
In contrast, European government bonds rallied, and German two-year bond yields fell 11 basis points to 2.19% DE2YT=RR, while money markets priced in lower European Central Bank rates.
"For European businesses, Trump’s return to the White House would mean considerable trade policy and geopolitical uncertainty, with negative implications for growth on the continent," said Berenberg chief economist Holger Schmieding.
CURRENCY WINNERS AND LOSERS
Bitcoin BTC= emerged as one of the clear winners of the day.
The cryptocurrency climbed to a record high of $75,459 and was last up 9%. Trump is seen as more actively supportive of cryptocurrencies than the Democratic candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris.
In traditional currencies, the euro was hurt by potential tariffs and the widening differential between U.S. and European rates. It was last down 1.7% at $1.0740 EUR=EBS, set for its biggest daily fall since 2016's Brexit referendum and outpacing a 1.3% fall in sterling GBP=D3.
The dollar jumped 1.9% to 154.43 Japanese yen, JPY=EBS, and gained 1.4% on the offshore yuan CNH= to 7.1969 yuan amid reports Chinese banks were selling dollars to slow the yuan's decline.
China is seen on the front line of tariff risk, and its currency in particular is trading on tenterhooks with implied volatility against the dollar CNHSWO= around record highs.
Chinese stock markets have surged to almost one-month highs as investors expect a meeting of top policymakers in Beijing this week to approve local government debt refinancing and spending. Chinese blue chips .CSI300 lost early gains to turn flat, and Hong Kong stocks .HSI fell over 2%.
Mexico's peso MXN= briefly dropped as low as 20.8038 per dollar for the first time since August 2022, more than 3% below its previous close - the biggest such tumble since Mexico's election in the summer roiled domestic assets.
Ukraine's international sovereign bonds rallied nearly 2 cents, boosted by bets that a second Trump term could lead to a quicker end to Russia's war in Ukraine.
The sharp rise in the dollar pressured oil prices, and other commodities, as it makes them more expensive when buying in other currencies. O/R
U.S. crude CLc1 edged up 0.2% to $72.14 per barrel, while Brent LCOc1 fell 0.4% to $75.17.
Gold prices dropped 2.8% to $2,668.26 an ounce XAU=, off a recent record peak of 2,790.15 GOL/.
Investors position for a Trump win https://reut.rs/3CfrDB3
Bitcoin jumps on Trump's potential victory https://reut.rs/3Yz9q8V
Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe in London; additional reporting by Wayne Cole in Sydney and Alun John in London;
Editing by Angus MacSwan, Marguerita Choy and Leslie Adler
To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on: 0#.INDEXA
Σχετιζόμενα σύμβολα
Τελευταία νέα
Δήλωση αποποίησης ευθύνης: Οι οντότητες του ομίλου XM Group παρέχουν υπηρεσίες σε βάση εκτέλεσης μόνο και η πρόσβαση στην ηλεκτρονική πλατφόρμα συναλλαγών μας που επιτρέπει στον ενδιαφερόμενο να δει ή/και να χρησιμοποιήσει το περιεχόμενο που είναι διαθέσιμο στην ιστοσελίδα μας ή μέσω αυτής, δε διαφοροποιεί ούτε επεκτείνει αυτές τις υπηρεσίες πέραν αυτού ούτε προορίζεται για κάτι τέτοιο. Η εν λόγω πρόσβαση και χρήση υπόκεινται σε: (i) Όρους και προϋποθέσεις, (ii) Προειδοποιήσεις κινδύνου και (iii) Πλήρη δήλωση αποποίησης ευθύνης. Ως εκ τούτου, το περιεχόμενο αυτό παρέχεται μόνο ως γενική πληροφόρηση. Λάβετε ιδιαιτέρως υπόψη σας ότι τα περιεχόμενα της ηλεκτρονικής πλατφόρμας συναλλαγών μας δεν αποτελούν παρότρυνση, ούτε προσφορά για να προβείτε σε οποιεσδήποτε συναλλαγές στις χρηματοπιστωτικές αγορές. Η πραγματοποίηση συναλλαγών στις χρηματοπιστωτικές αγορές ενέχει σημαντικό κίνδυνο για το κεφάλαιό σας.
Όλο το υλικό που δημοσιεύεται στην ηλεκτρονική πλατφόρμα συναλλαγών μας προορίζεται για εκπαιδευτικούς/ενημερωτικούς σκοπούς μόνο και δεν περιέχει, ούτε θα πρέπει να θεωρηθεί ότι περιέχει συμβουλές και συστάσεις χρηματοοικονομικές ή σε σχέση με φόρο επενδύσεων και την πραγματοποίηση συναλλαγών, ούτε αρχείο των τιμών διαπραγμάτευσής μας ούτε και προσφορά ή παρότρυνση για συναλλαγή οποιωνδήποτε χρηματοπιστωτικών μέσων ή ανεπιθύμητες προς εσάς προωθητικές ενέργειες.
Οποιοδήποτε περιεχόμενο τρίτων, καθώς και περιεχόμενο που εκπονείται από την ΧΜ, όπως απόψεις, ειδήσεις, έρευνα, αναλύσεις, τιμές, άλλες πληροφορίες ή σύνδεσμοι προς ιστότοπους τρίτων το οποίο περιέχεται σε αυτήν την ιστοσελίδα παρέχεται «ως έχει», ως γενικός σχολιασμός της αγοράς και δεν αποτελεί επενδυτική συμβουλή. Στον βαθμό που οποιοδήποτε περιεχόμενο ερμηνεύεται ως επενδυτική έρευνα, πρέπει να λάβετε υπόψη και να αποδεχτείτε ότι το περιεχόμενο δεν προοριζόταν και δεν έχει προετοιμαστεί σύμφωνα με τις νομικές απαιτήσεις που αποσκοπούν στην προώθηση της ανεξαρτησίας της επενδυτικής έρευνας και ως εκ τούτου, θα πρέπει να θεωρηθεί ως επικοινωνία μάρκετινγκ σύμφωνα με τους σχετικούς νόμους και κανονισμούς. Παρακαλούμε εξασφαλίστε ότι έχετε διαβάσει και κατανοήσει τη Γνωστοποίησή μας περί Μη ανεξάρτητης επενδυτικής έρευνας και την Προειδοποίηση κινδύνου όσον αφορά τις παραπάνω πληροφορίες, τις οποίες μπορείτε να βρείτε εδώ.